Cheerful-Subscription — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$354

Unrealized P&L

-$59

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

117

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$7.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$323

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-28 07:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

74% 27% +$776

Politics

12% — —

Sports

12% 11% -$325

Crypto

2% 33% -$97

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+270	$100	50¢	$136	+$36	10-04 17:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+641	$150	18¢	$112	-$38	10-28 07:21
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+3,229	$132	2¢	$74	-$58	07-15 20:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	5	$538	418	418	+0	Yes	+$158	06-07 17:42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	2	$350	250	250	+0	Yes	+$150	04-28 21:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$341	294	294	+0	Yes	+$141	10-04 17:34
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$311	1,739	1,562	+177	No	+$151	10-26 19:00
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$268	5,420	2,191	+3,229	open	—	07-15 20:43
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	2	$246	146	146	+0	Yes	+$46	07-02 20:54
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	2	$230	130	130	+0	Yes	+$30	07-01 18:15
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?	2	$225	1,000	500	+500	No	+$175	07-07 17:44
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$213	10,000	3,323	+6,677	No	-$7	07-01 04:54
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	3	$205	140	140	+0	Yes	+$75	07-01 04:52
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$202	120	120	+0	open	—	09-28 13:39
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	2	$188	385	192	+192	No	-$12	07-01 20:57
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?	3	$188	294	294	+0	Yes	+$88	06-11 21:05
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?	2	$187	196	196	+0	Yes	+$147	07-14 20:57
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$168	617	617	+0	Yes	-$32	06-29 20:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	2	$150	641	0	+641	open	—	10-28 07:21
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$149	101	101	+0	open	—	10-11 17:59
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$148	4,545	4,545	+0	open	—	06-16 19:36
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals	2	$145	96	96	+0	Yes	+$45	06-13 19:24
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	2	$145	125	125	+0	Yes	+$105	07-02 21:00
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	6	$143	245	245	+0	No	+$43	06-07 17:01
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	2	$143	94	94	+0	Yes	+$43	07-04 18:51
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$110	6,111	0	+6,111	No	-$110	05-22 16:26
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$108	70	70	+0	Yes	+$31	05-30 19:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$100	270	0	+270	open	—	10-04 17:36
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	917	0	+917	No	-$100	06-11 10:58
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	1	$100	244	0	+244	No	-$100	07-03 15:01
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$89	144	144	+0	Yes	-$11	10-26 17:30
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 3pt5	1	$80	175	0	+175	Under	-$80	06-15 16:06
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$79	242	242	+0	No	-$1	05-30 17:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:21:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x9bd0e2…
10-26 19:00:50	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	532	20¢	$106	0x1590a8…
10-26 17:32:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x6182c2…
10-26 17:31:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	31	20¢	$6	0x6c9fde…
10-26 17:31:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	125	20¢	$25	0xfe048c…
10-26 17:30:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	144	27¢	$39	0x3b4ae7…
10-26 13:36:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	144	35¢	$50	0xe8bf21…
10-25 20:29:33	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	870	11¢	$92	0x204a60…
10-20 20:23:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,739	5¢	$80	0xa77a62…
10-20 20:18:54	Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	64	4¢	$3	0x90810e…
10-11 17:59:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	101	78¢	$79	0x76587e…
10-05 20:07:37	Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x941702…
10-04 17:36:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x63d227…
10-04 17:35:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	391	26¢	$100	0x1ff1c8…
10-04 17:34:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	294	82¢	$241	0x84812b…
09-28 13:40:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xd2c68c…
09-28 13:39:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	120	85¢	$102	0x001f0f…
09-23 10:50:35	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	69¢	$70	0xd2d57f…
09-23 10:50:10	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x87de9a…
07-19 19:30:54	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xa6160e…
07-18 21:36:09	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0xb165a0…
07-18 21:35:48	Exact Score: France 1 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	74	14¢	$10	0x705f2e…
07-16 09:53:53	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x62b4fc…
07-16 09:52:16	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x7b6dfb…
07-16 09:52:10	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x061688…
07-16 09:51:05	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	476	2¢	$10	0x4a9dcb…
07-16 09:50:59	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0x497c72…
07-16 09:50:49	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0xb1f6a4…
07-16 09:50:35	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x571ec5…
07-15 20:50:50	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	120	7¢	$8	0xb224a8…
07-15 20:43:29	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,229	3¢	$100	0xe9bca5…
07-15 20:39:19	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	159	31¢	$50	0x03e995…
07-14 21:01:25	Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x9cf025…
07-14 21:01:07	Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xf792d0…
07-14 21:00:56	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x5f4895…
07-14 20:57:04	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?	Yes	SELL	196	85¢	$167	0x752f6c…
07-14 20:50:46	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x618b7f…
07-14 19:35:55	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	251	4¢	$10	0xf76593…
07-14 19:35:20	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	196	10¢	$20	0x7a9469…
07-14 19:02:43	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x5cb4d1…
07-14 19:02:31	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x48414e…
07-12 10:26:46	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0x0118ce…
07-11 20:26:22	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x877253…
07-11 20:26:08	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x88ca68…
07-11 20:25:55	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x621dc5…
07-11 20:25:37	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x3d12ee…
07-11 12:51:28	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x855c8c…
07-11 12:50:53	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x2f5e57…
07-11 12:50:34	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xbaca32…
07-09 20:34:46	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x92c2a6…
07-09 18:53:01	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0xd58332…
07-09 07:17:22	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xe90497…
07-09 07:17:08	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0x60fb99…
07-09 07:17:02	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x179c92…
07-07 22:54:41	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x560eb7…
07-07 18:01:43	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe1c187…
07-07 17:47:38	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	133	25¢	$33	0x6d6ae0…
07-07 17:44:55	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	500	40¢	$200	0x5ab03e…
07-07 11:53:53	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x7e9b7e…
07-07 11:53:40	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x2a5f86…
07-07 11:24:02	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x5832cd…
07-07 11:23:43	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x4ba9fa…
07-07 11:23:28	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$25	0xaee5e0…
07-04 23:02:34	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x485dc1…
07-04 23:02:32	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0xa9651d…
07-04 23:02:19	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x037292…
07-04 21:13:17	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x406593…
07-04 21:11:38	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	240	8¢	$20	0x6cebe5…
07-04 18:51:14	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	94	98¢	$93	0x0fb8eb…
07-04 18:49:53	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	SELL	83	65¢	$54	0x7052cd…
07-04 16:45:56	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x9e21c0…
07-04 16:45:40	Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	334	6¢	$20	0x263b81…
07-04 16:45:08	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x8ba67c…
07-03 22:50:46	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6c2842…
07-03 22:50:16	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x746a04…
07-03 22:40:35	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	161	12¢	$20	0x1a7aa7…
07-03 22:39:40	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x850c7a…
07-03 21:00:46	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xb0d5d1…
07-03 21:00:40	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	286	3¢	$10	0x48c801…
07-03 21:00:19	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x6adf06…
07-03 15:01:38	Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x9fe044…
07-03 15:01:08	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x042fb1…
07-03 04:07:28	Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa7f463…
07-03 03:57:58	Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x903bbd…
07-03 03:55:22	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xb7fd53…
07-02 21:13:50	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 extra time	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc8b0bf…
07-02 21:13:26	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xbc8dbb…
07-02 21:00:26	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x48f06e…
07-02 20:54:56	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x8ba14c…
07-02 19:38:47	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x624acb…
07-02 19:36:16	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xd4b1e5…
07-02 19:35:05	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0x17123b…
07-02 18:15:01	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x331769…
07-01 20:57:17	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	192	46¢	$88	0x2545eb…
07-01 19:11:28	Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe1e6d8…
07-01 19:10:19	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x5bd069…
07-01 19:10:02	Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6ef5f9…
07-01 18:15:17	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x03973e…
07-01 14:51:23	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x7d3b8e…
07-01 14:50:35	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x45f833…