Occasional-Yard — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

2,793 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$40

$70.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$89

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 11-13 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 228 days

Categories

Sports

41% 83% -$88

Other

41% 79% +$6

Crypto

17% 81% -$4

Tech

1% 71% +$2

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on November 13?	No	—	+50	$50	99¢	$50	$0	11-12 00:17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on November 14?	No		+40	$40	98¢	$39	-$1	11-13 00:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba det okc 2026 03 30 spread home 14pt5	6	$596	300	300	+0	Pistons	-$1	03-31 04:24
nba okc phi 2026 03 23	8	$564	284	284	+0	Thunder	+$0	03-24 01:04
nba phi det 2026 03 12	8	$490	245	245	+0	Pistons	+$0	03-13 01:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	11	$480	250	250	+0	Yes	$0	07-29 10:34
nhl dal cal 2026 03 03	6	$470	236	236	+0	Stars	+$1	03-04 04:06
nba ind por 2026 03 08	6	$446	223	223	+0	Trail Blazers	+$0	03-09 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 02:00 UTC	4	$400	201	201	+0	Up	+$0	03-01 02:14
nba det bkn 2026 03 10	10	$393	446	446	+0	Pistons	-$1	03-11 01:29
nba lal ind 2026 03 25	6	$391	196	196	+0	Lakers	+$0	03-26 01:33
nba mem cha 2026 03 21	4	$371	186	186	+0	Hornets	+$0	03-22 01:07
bitcoin above 66k on march 4	4	$367	185	185	+0	Yes	+$1	03-04 14:48
nba chi sas 2026 03 30	5	$362	181	181	+0	Spurs	$0	03-31 02:14
nba gsw bos 2026 03 18	4	$350	176	176	+0	Celtics	$0	03-19 01:10
bun hei hof 2026 03 07 hof	6	$328	165	165	+0	Yes	$0	03-07 16:23
bitcoin up or down march 1 1am et	19	$322	251	251	+0	Down	+$1	03-01 06:55
nba nop phx 2026 03 06	8	$319	161	161	+0	Suns	+$0	03-07 04:45
bitcoin up or down february 28 8pm et	6	$303	154	154	+0	Up	+$1	03-01 01:59
nba tor hou 2026 03 10	4	$296	149	149	+0	Rockets	+$2	03-11 02:15
lol al ig1 2026 03 03	8	$293	151	151	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$3	03-03 12:15
nba bkn sac 2026 03 22	4	$293	147	147	+0	Kings	-$1	03-23 00:39
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$286	145	145	+0	No	$0	03-10 10:00
nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	4	$269	141	141	+0	Heat	$0	03-06 02:46
nba gsw hou 2026 03 05	4	$260	148	148	+0	Warriors	-$5	03-06 03:25
nba sas mem 2026 03 25	5	$245	125	125	+0	Spurs	-$1	03-26 01:57
nba cha bos 2026 03 04	4	$234	119	119	+0	Hornets	+$4	03-05 02:37
nba phx sac 2026 03 03	2	$225	97	129	-32	Suns	+$0	03-04 06:27
cbb nevada wyom 2026 03 03	3	$222	112	112	+0	Wyoming Cowboys	+$2	03-04 05:28
nba sac lac 2026 03 14 spread home 13pt5	3	$220	147	74	+73	Kings	+$0	03-15 04:51
nba min lal 2026 03 10	5	$219	144	76	+68	Lakers	+$0	03-11 05:21
wta kalinin gorgodz 2026 03 02	6	$218	152	152	+0	Anhelina Kalinina	-$22	03-04 09:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 00:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on November 14?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9afec9…
11-12 00:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on November 13?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9cc0c6…
11-12 00:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 12?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xfe5040…
11-11 12:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on November 12?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x7219ba…
11-11 12:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 12?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5b3798…
11-11 12:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 9°C on November 11?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x039f09…
11-10 00:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 9°C on November 11?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb31e8c…
11-10 00:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on November 10?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xe9af46…
11-09 00:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on November 10?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3c0685…
11-09 00:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 9?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x52298d…
11-08 11:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 9?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd2fce7…
11-06 11:48:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb9e45d…
11-06 11:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on November 7?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x5c2e55…
11-06 11:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on November 6?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xeb57bc…
11-06 00:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on November 7?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x5eb812…
11-05 00:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on November 6?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x503ec0…
11-05 00:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on November 5?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc9936b…
11-04 00:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 5?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9e7ac9…
11-04 00:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on November 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5fb70f…
11-04 00:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on November 4?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xce89bb…
11-03 00:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on November 4?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xddf3f4…
11-01 09:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 2?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x559904…
11-01 09:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on November 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6ba94c…
11-01 09:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on November 1?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x201c66…
10-31 13:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcd7e85…
10-31 13:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on November 1?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xf9dba1…
10-31 13:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on October 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2fc01d…
10-31 13:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 1?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x120baf…
10-31 05:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 1?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x8cdac5…
10-30 00:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on October 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x32d7dc…
10-29 01:07:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7b37ea…
10-29 00:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x0888c2…
10-29 00:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or higher on October 29?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x56b274…
10-28 14:20:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa498d3…
10-28 00:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x51f72c…
10-28 00:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 28?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x727a9c…
10-27 00:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc2cbc7…
10-27 00:25:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x97c9e7…
10-26 01:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2d196d…
10-26 01:00:03	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a9963…
10-26 00:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 26?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x292a58…
10-25 04:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 26?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe53312…
10-25 04:27:23	Warriors vs. Suns	Suns	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xfadf2e…
10-25 04:26:36	Warriors vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8ff188…
10-25 02:55:50	Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb6ea2e…
10-25 02:50:36	Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x477ab6…
10-25 02:42:03	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xbd42cf…
10-25 02:29:44	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeca23b…
10-25 02:28:09	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xedc612…
10-25 02:23:12	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe91a8e…
10-25 02:18:59	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc04193…
10-25 02:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7cc76b…
10-25 02:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 25?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa5921b…
10-24 06:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x825fe5…
10-24 04:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 25?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x22b1a0…
10-24 04:34:14	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1e3849…
10-24 04:32:27	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7fb32c…
10-24 04:30:33	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd422bb…
10-24 04:28:42	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0f8119…
10-24 02:31:03	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb73d57…
10-24 02:29:18	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x714070…
10-24 02:28:59	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb80bc1…
10-24 02:21:06	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x63e3f8…
10-24 02:20:39	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc1f7d6…
10-24 01:59:18	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x1f9cd3…
10-24 01:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 24?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7ee54f…
10-23 13:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xaa5c60…
10-23 10:09:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xed98bb…
10-23 10:08:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7534dd…
10-23 00:49:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x738c5e…
10-23 00:49:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe14564…
10-23 00:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on October 23?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x1704fa…
10-22 13:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on October 23?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5d309d…
10-22 13:51:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0xe58022…
10-22 00:48:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x46d5aa…
10-22 00:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C or higher on October 21?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3198fb…
10-22 00:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 22?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7d0223…
10-21 01:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x63f3d8…
10-20 00:47:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C or higher on October 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x59849c…
10-20 00:45:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xec39ee…
10-19 00:44:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3f5a21…
10-19 00:42:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 19?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x52c453…
10-18 07:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 19?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x1644c6…
10-18 07:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on October 18?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe3b2ba…
10-17 05:02:35	highest temperature in shanghai on october 18 2026 25corbelow	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7d27e9…
10-17 04:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on October 17?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x300a4a…
10-16 05:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on October 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8cdeef…
10-16 05:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x549c01…
10-15 08:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x482022…
10-15 08:15:43	bitcoin above 86k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbb18e1…
10-15 08:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 15?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3213e0…
10-14 15:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 15?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x217c04…
10-14 15:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 15?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xcf6341…
10-14 15:44:04	bitcoin above 78k on october 14 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xed5a8a…
10-14 00:39:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x496173…
10-14 00:32:19	Pacers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x440e7a…
10-14 00:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x182272…
10-14 00:14:09	Pacers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4d3a37…
10-14 00:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 14?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x90ddb4…
10-13 01:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 14?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x18695d…