Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on November 7?
No won
Total volume
$412
Trades
41
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-11-07
First seen
2026-11-05
last 11-06 11:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $155
vs crowd: 0% YES on $352)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $0 | $145 | $145 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $0 | $70 | $70 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $0 | $137 | $137 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $0 | $155 | $154 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $0 | $70 | $70 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $50 | $50 |
| Median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $60 | $60 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $17 | $17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +83 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 11-05 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | +80 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 11-06 00:05 |
| Alienated-Developer 0x0b63…a379 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 11-06 11:47 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-06 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8db…ca1d | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 11-06 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 11-05 16:00 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 11-05 08:43 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 11-05 08:42 |
| Useful-Carbohydrate 0x94e5…52be | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-05 08:42 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-05 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9da0…98c4 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 11-05 08:42 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 11-05 08:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-06 00:53 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-06 00:53 |
| Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-06 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xe73a…2335 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-06 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7e5…4c4a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-05 09:00 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-05 09:00 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-05 08:19 |
| Pointless-Handover 0x1dfe…b4f9 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-06 00:53 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-06 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xbfbe…da52 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-06 00:53 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-05 08:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-06 11:47:37 | Occasional-Yard 0xae57…813f | No | SELL | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x5c2e55… |
| 11-06 11:47:37 | Alienated-Developer 0x0b63…a379 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x5c2e55… |
| 11-06 00:53:24 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c682f… |
| 11-06 00:53:24 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c682f… |
| 11-06 00:53:24 | (anonymous) 0xe73a…2335 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c682f… |
| 11-06 00:53:24 | Pointless-Handover 0x1dfe…b4f9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c682f… |
| 11-06 00:53:24 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c682f… |
| 11-06 00:53:24 | (anonymous) 0xbfbe…da52 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c682f… |
| 11-06 00:53:24 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c682f… |
| 11-06 00:53:24 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c682f… |
| 11-06 00:53:24 | (anonymous) 0xf8db…ca1d | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x5c682f… |
| 11-06 00:05:36 | Occasional-Yard 0xae57…813f | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x5eb812… |
| 11-06 00:05:36 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5eb812… |
| 11-06 00:05:36 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5eb812… |
| 11-05 16:00:27 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbc82d9… |
| 11-05 16:00:27 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xbc82d9… |
| 11-05 09:00:16 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5dcfdd… |
| 11-05 09:00:16 | (anonymous) 0xc22b…deab | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5dcfdd… |
| 11-05 09:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf2283… |
| 11-05 09:00:00 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf098c6… |
| 11-05 09:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf098c6… |
| 11-05 09:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xd7e5…4c4a | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x48587b… |
| 11-05 09:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x48587b… |
| 11-05 09:00:00 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xdf2283… |
| 11-05 08:43:30 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x039200… |
| 11-05 08:43:30 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x039200… |
| 11-05 08:43:01 | (anonymous) 0xc22b…deab | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x414874… |
| 11-05 08:43:01 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x414874… |
| 11-05 08:42:21 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x536bd0… |
| 11-05 08:42:21 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x536bd0… |
| 11-05 08:42:19 | (anonymous) 0x9da0…98c4 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xb9b6ce… |
| 11-05 08:42:19 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x77864f… |
| 11-05 08:42:19 | Useful-Carbohydrate 0x94e5…52be | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x261aba… |
| 11-05 08:42:19 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9b6ce… |
| 11-05 08:42:19 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x77864f… |
| 11-05 08:42:19 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x261aba… |
| 11-05 08:42:19 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x261aba… |
| 11-05 08:19:49 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x1548c8… |
| 11-05 08:19:49 | Useful-Carbohydrate 0x94e5…52be | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1548c8… |
| 11-05 08:19:45 | Useful-Carbohydrate 0x94e5…52be | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e124f… |
| 11-05 08:19:45 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x4e124f… |