Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
35.0%
Resolved
41
Trades
259
lifetime
Volume
$209
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$9
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 08-07 00:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Politics
73% 59% -$9
Other
27% 50% +$4
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-07).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -6 -$4 82¢ $-5 -$1 07-20 14:26
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$1 05-02 03:59
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 07-02 23:18
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-04 11:51
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +4 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-02 00:24
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 Yes +8 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 08-07 00:46