Repulsive-Puppet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.6%

Resolved

Trades

18,064

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-07 23:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

86% 25% $-2

Politics

7% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-1

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 380 399	388	$485	3,689	3,752	-64	open	—	03-24 16:06
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	208	$450	1,133	1,165	-32	open	—	03-26 15:09
highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 16c	169	$308	652	587	+65	open	—	03-21 02:36
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 20	120	$236	786	724	+62	open	—	03-20 15:58
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 360 379	186	$231	2,026	1,935	+91	open	—	03-25 13:50
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	49	$218	150	163	-13	open	—	03-04 08:24
will bolivia qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	79	$214	287	256	+31	open	—	03-29 07:22
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 180m and 190m	198	$210	1,207	1,166	+41	open	—	04-06 18:39
highest temperature in toronto on march 21 2026 5c	122	$190	375	368	+7	open	—	03-21 19:34
highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 14c	135	$180	578	495	+83	open	—	03-21 05:26
will junaid ahmed be the democratic nominee for il 08	80	$174	402	277	+125	open	—	03-18 01:27
highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 12c	100	$170	332	310	+22	open	—	03-21 04:33
highest temperature in singapore on march 20 2026 32c	90	$169	332	291	+41	open	—	03-20 05:24
highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 11c	104	$158	284	285	-1	open	—	03-21 00:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	80	$154	294	291	+3	No	$-2	04-02 19:06
jef quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 07 2026 0pt96	64	$148	291	440	-149	open	—	01-07 16:52
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 340 359	106	$142	892	1,014	-122	open	—	03-25 23:28
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	124	$142	983	884	+99	open	—	04-28 08:46
will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	58	$137	302	300	+2	open	—	04-12 19:54
highest temperature in ankara on march 20 2026 7c	95	$136	350	349	+0	open	—	03-20 11:18
highest temperature in seoul on march 20 2026 12c	101	$134	338	321	+17	open	—	03-20 04:44
highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 18c	90	$132	295	268	+26	open	—	03-20 02:49
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	62	$118	209	196	+14	open	—	04-06 02:55
will melissa bean be the democratic nominee for il 08	36	$117	91	97	-6	open	—	03-15 22:27
highest temperature in seoul on march 20 2026 11c	70	$116	192	187	+5	open	—	03-20 00:04
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 115 139	73	$115	339	347	-8	open	—	03-20 09:39
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 0 39	230	$99	2,150	1,942	+209	open	—	03-20 06:49
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 100 119	53	$97	190	173	+17	open	—	03-26 18:07
highest temperature in paris on march 20 2026 18c	80	$95	234	223	+12	open	—	03-20 14:30
highest temperature in shanghai on march 20 2026 15c	155	$95	779	770	+10	open	—	03-20 04:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 23:04:57	Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xc7b991…
08-07 20:38:27	Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0xe4d086…
08-06 13:23:33	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x9755eb…
08-06 13:13:36	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0xc580cc…
08-06 12:47:51	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x64ecb7…
08-06 12:45:06	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x7b57bf…
08-06 11:48:50	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x5a037e…
08-06 07:30:50	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x8f14f6…
08-06 07:30:24	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x3b9b4a…
08-06 07:16:27	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xb2428b…
06-29 15:15:52	Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$1	0xa2049f…
06-29 07:41:49	Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x39705b…
06-27 11:09:35	Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xf1ebb2…
06-26 21:01:47	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xed06da…
06-25 15:32:50	New Half-Life game by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x6b3c71…
06-25 14:35:55	New Half-Life game by June 30?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xb12463…
06-25 11:16:04	New Half-Life game by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xe9aaed…
06-25 11:08:22	New Half-Life game by June 30?	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x4891fc…
06-25 05:17:05	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x27394f…
06-24 22:50:04	Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x9bc9fa…
06-24 21:45:20	Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x01fb25…
06-24 21:24:28	Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x0501d9…
06-24 17:34:40	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xeb9cbc…
06-24 17:05:02	Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x126c68…
06-24 17:01:55	Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xd5bc88…
06-24 16:58:34	Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x10f52d…
06-24 15:55:10	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf6bee2…
06-24 13:30:59	Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0xca4620…
06-22 19:42:26	Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xf88660…
06-10 11:12:15	Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x3e0e19…
06-06 16:06:28	Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x7e43db…
06-04 19:55:28	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x010ae8…
06-04 15:40:27	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x30c412…
06-04 14:30:16	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xf58516…
06-04 14:30:15	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xe8554d…
06-04 14:30:15	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x601196…
06-04 14:30:13	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x45bb67…
06-03 11:49:31	New Half-Life game by June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0x2e96b7…
06-01 09:12:47	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd68393…
06-01 06:41:33	Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x40ec9c…
05-31 16:57:14	Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x4ce112…
05-31 10:32:44	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x32a89d…
05-31 10:30:29	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xf80384…
05-30 16:57:47	Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0xd18974…
05-30 12:21:57	New Half-Life game by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9480dd…
05-30 12:18:13	New Half-Life game by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xbca6e8…
05-30 10:21:40	Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x77f4aa…
05-30 08:50:28	Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4dfc94…
05-29 23:27:31	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x13ac99…
05-29 21:43:02	Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x04f247…
05-29 18:53:12	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x40d738…
05-29 16:12:45	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xecc420…
05-29 16:07:53	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x24b3a3…
05-28 16:37:30	New Half-Life game by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xe0ad21…
05-27 20:12:27	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xfcb43f…
05-08 06:43:53	Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xc46dd3…
05-08 01:20:57	Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x1f1d7f…
05-07 19:38:38	Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x339bcc…
05-07 19:37:59	Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x729e26…
05-03 18:24:44	Will the Rolex Index hit $11,850 (LOW) by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xf3f9b5…
04-28 10:50:04	Will the Patek Index hit $108,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x7c94e2…
04-28 08:46:42	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x669adb…
04-28 07:54:24	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x4135b5…
04-28 06:41:02	Will Mykonos BC win Greek Basketball League?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9e90a8…
04-28 04:39:10	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x89e003…
04-28 03:50:40	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa04d01…
04-28 03:49:52	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x28b4ff…
04-28 02:22:48	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x64405d…
04-28 02:22:46	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x60ef24…
04-28 02:21:50	Will Everton qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x8cdd6e…
04-28 02:20:46	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x82e02d…
04-28 02:20:44	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x428165…
04-28 02:06:24	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf7d89b…
04-28 02:04:24	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xb212b4…
04-28 02:04:24	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xb00bfb…
04-28 02:04:24	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x72dcb9…
04-28 02:04:22	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x7d9ce7…
04-28 02:04:22	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x1680f6…
04-28 01:55:36	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x3df1a8…
04-28 01:53:32	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x78b8d6…
04-28 00:50:32	Will Everton qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x81e5f3…
04-27 21:41:40	Will Manchester United qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	64	1¢	$1	0xd0759e…
04-27 21:35:32	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x8a8a20…
04-27 20:58:06	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x96ed24…
04-27 20:52:42	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xd5bcc8…
04-27 20:51:58	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x705b76…
04-27 19:58:48	Will Everton qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x06bbf6…
04-27 16:44:18	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xefb24a…
04-27 16:30:08	will metas q1 headcount be above 76000	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xce6074…
04-27 16:22:04	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	No	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x23865c…
04-27 14:37:04	Will Lens place 2nd for the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xf860fb…
04-27 14:04:06	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x24117d…
04-27 13:51:28	Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0x81266c…
04-27 12:53:58	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	No	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x3ce689…
04-27 11:23:16	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x623bea…
04-27 11:16:48	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xafcaef…
04-27 11:07:46	Will the Rolex Index hit $13,150 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x33ab64…
04-27 09:41:14	Will Lens place 2nd for the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	No	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xb06739…
04-27 09:11:10	Will Mykonos BC win Greek Basketball League?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xae3636…
04-27 09:10:30	Will Mykonos BC win Greek Basketball League?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x066ace…