Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,136

lifetime

Volume

$46.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$170

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 07-21 14:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 100% +$0

Other

6% — —

Politics

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	+200	$128	62¢	$123	$-5	07-21 20:59
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+86	$56	55¢	$47	$-9	07-20 22:56
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	60¢	$0	+$0	07-11 16:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	8	$863	839	839	+0	open	—	07-08 02:28
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	7	$683	600	600	+0	open	—	07-16 10:48
sol updown 5m 1782762000	1	$440	444	0	+444	open	—	06-29 19:44
btc updown 5m 1782708600	1	$440	444	0	+444	open	—	06-29 04:54
sol updown 5m 1782983100	1	$440	444	0	+444	open	—	07-02 09:09
sol updown 5m 1782502800	1	$440	444	0	+444	open	—	06-26 19:44
btc updown 5m 1782528600	1	$440	444	0	+444	open	—	06-27 02:54
eth updown 5m 1782325200	1	$440	441	0	+441	open	—	06-24 18:24
btc updown 5m 1782482400	1	$440	441	0	+441	open	—	06-26 14:04
eth updown 5m 1782385500	1	$440	441	0	+441	open	—	06-25 11:09
sol updown 5m 1782330600	1	$440	441	0	+441	open	—	06-24 19:54
sol updown 5m 1782173400	1	$440	441	0	+441	open	—	06-23 00:14
btc updown 15m 1782826200	4	$440	444	0	+444	open	—	06-30 13:44
sol updown 15m 1782886500	4	$440	449	0	+449	open	—	07-01 06:29
sol updown 15m 1782511200	4	$440	441	0	+441	open	—	06-26 22:14
eth updown 5m 1782394500	1	$439	440	0	+440	open	—	06-25 13:39
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	6	$344	376	290	+86	open	—	07-20 22:56
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	2	$305	200	200	+0	open	—	07-11 00:39
sol updown 5m 1782312000	1	$294	297	0	+297	open	—	06-24 14:44
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	3	$292	421	221	+200	open	—	07-21 20:59
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$284	200	200	+0	open	—	07-03 13:24
sol updown 5m 1781914500	1	$284	287	0	+287	open	—	06-20 00:19
btc updown 5m 1782063600	1	$256	257	0	+257	open	—	06-21 17:44
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$244	200	200	+0	open	—	07-21 14:38
eth updown 5m 1781719800	1	$240	245	0	+245	open	—	06-17 18:14
sol updown 5m 1781797500	1	$240	242	0	+242	open	—	06-18 15:49
sol updown 5m 1781721900	1	$240	242	0	+242	open	—	06-17 18:49
xrp updown 5m 1781742600	1	$240	242	0	+242	open	—	06-18 00:34
eth updown 5m 1781798100	1	$240	243	0	+243	open	—	06-18 15:59
btc updown 5m 1781729700	1	$240	241	0	+241	open	—	06-17 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 20:59:18	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x53d4ec…
07-21 14:38:24	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x7fc0db…
07-21 05:25:34	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xe149d2…
07-20 22:56:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x2a9492…
07-20 22:56:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x52237b…
07-18 07:20:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	144	59¢	$85	0x3970ed…
07-18 07:13:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	144	59¢	$85	0x2d874b…
07-16 11:50:29	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x176762…
07-16 10:48:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0xc68fff…
07-16 04:21:04	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	221	37¢	$82	0xb27691…
07-15 20:33:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	38¢	$50	0xbe0fef…
07-15 18:29:59	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x6f7aa3…
07-15 17:30:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xcda29a…
07-15 14:18:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	221	37¢	$82	0x2c1650…
07-15 11:48:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	200	23¢	$47	0x99aad1…
07-15 06:48:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x6d30f7…
07-13 08:16:47	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x4d812a…
07-13 08:16:05	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x752e6e…
07-11 16:30:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x2ea2af…
07-11 15:01:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x973f2d…
07-11 12:06:28	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x44e2ed…
07-11 10:36:02	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xff7ec3…
07-11 08:26:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x105b4d…
07-11 01:13:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0xf79e1d…
07-11 00:39:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	200	76¢	$153	0x06631f…
07-10 23:52:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x1e69c5…
07-10 20:49:34	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xdbed5e…
07-10 19:23:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xadce4a…
07-10 19:23:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xa2dba3…
07-10 19:21:56	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x32c4b2…
07-10 19:21:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x4c7c46…
07-10 18:32:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xa3cad1…
07-10 18:28:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	54¢	$5	0xa79f77…
07-10 18:28:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	54¢	$43	0x996b02…
07-10 18:27:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	54¢	$25	0x1980e7…
07-09 18:26:25	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x74f0bb…
07-09 18:25:28	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x400a37…
07-09 18:23:46	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xf5bd82…
07-09 18:23:46	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xaf3e75…
07-09 18:23:46	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x869990…
07-09 18:23:46	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x7ecf70…
07-09 18:23:46	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x0ba3d0…
07-09 18:23:14	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x131683…
07-09 18:23:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xf8098c…
07-09 18:23:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xe218a0…
07-09 18:23:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xe1e389…
07-09 18:23:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xc222ed…
07-09 18:23:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xb0d733…
07-09 18:23:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xa18258…
07-09 18:23:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x7d0dea…
07-09 18:23:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x74b4a9…
07-09 18:23:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x0e31a7…
07-09 18:23:08	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	108	39¢	$42	0x864edc…
07-09 10:10:17	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x18f36d…
07-08 21:04:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0x354ac8…
07-08 21:04:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	179	53¢	$95	0xa82f2a…
07-08 21:03:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xa7d663…
07-08 11:52:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0xfa20ba…
07-08 11:52:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xce0943…
07-08 02:28:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0xd1daff…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x83f958…
07-07 22:05:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$117	0xc4764e…
07-07 19:58:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xd34ded…
07-07 16:21:43	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0xff671d…
07-07 16:15:53	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x98789a…
07-07 15:16:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	219	38¢	$83	0xab5a4d…
07-07 13:40:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	219	38¢	$83	0x4a5733…
07-07 11:45:20	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x61cbb3…
07-07 11:45:19	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0x7117a8…
07-07 11:45:17	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	66	37¢	$24	0x2d0835…
07-07 11:45:14	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	36	37¢	$13	0xd2ddd0…
07-07 11:45:13	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	69	37¢	$26	0x56ec42…
07-07 11:29:26	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x4517c2…
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	220	61¢	$134	0xf9d0fb…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	220	61¢	$134	0xa9f42a…
07-06 10:42:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x41e8e4…
07-06 10:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x0cf5c7…
07-06 10:34:04	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xffa5d2…
07-06 10:33:28	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc5be22…
07-05 16:49:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	34	87¢	$30	0xb2d1ab…
07-05 16:30:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xaf5f99…
07-05 12:15:11	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xbe42be…
07-05 12:08:02	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xffac65…
07-05 12:01:25	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	27	87¢	$23	0x35e860…
07-05 12:01:20	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	75	87¢	$65	0x6a7190…
07-05 01:54:19	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x498a85…
07-05 01:45:46	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xc3f183…
07-03 13:24:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x4de2db…
07-03 12:32:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x44b55f…
07-03 10:04:04	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x56ac7b…
07-03 10:03:32	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	84	50¢	$42	0xbd2074…
07-03 10:03:11	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd15542…
07-02 09:09:44	sol updown 5m 1782983100	Down	BUY	444	99¢	$440	0x515ec9…
07-02 03:29:52	btc updown 15m 1782962100	Up	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x450af5…
07-01 23:29:53	sol updown 5m 1782948300	Up	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x1a9963…
07-01 09:44:53	eth updown 15m 1782898200	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xba61c2…
07-01 06:29:34	sol updown 15m 1782886500	Down	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0xfc8d0f…
07-01 06:29:34	sol updown 15m 1782886500	Down	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0x362f07…
07-01 06:29:32	sol updown 15m 1782886500	Down	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0x88020a…
07-01 06:29:32	sol updown 15m 1782886500	Down	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0x1a9d3d…