Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$520

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

710

Trades

1,595

lifetime

Volume

$69.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-21

last 08-30 21:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 98% -$187

Other

17% 34% -$191

Politics

8% 29% -$136

Sports

3% 14% -$7

Tech

1% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+0	$0	39¢	$0	$0	08-10 07:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	33	$1.7K	2,288	2,288	+0	open	—	08-25 14:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	14	$1.3K	1,485	1,485	+0	open	—	08-26 16:08
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	9	$983	800	800	+0	No	-$25	08-14 14:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	13	$780	757	757	+0	No	$0	08-29 07:48
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	10	$763	821	821	+0	open	—	08-26 13:51
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	8	$743	663	663	+0	open	—	08-15 21:21
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$718	600	600	+0	No	+$0	07-12 07:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$678	660	660	+0	Yes	+$2	08-19 13:48
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	9	$656	400	400	+0	No	+$0	08-25 23:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$622	466	466	+0	open	—	08-20 12:30
Fed rate hike in 2026?	20	$583	593	593	+0	Yes	-$11	08-30 21:02
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	14	$496	532	532	+0	open	—	08-25 03:01
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 19:40 UTC	1	$440	444	0	+444	Up	+$4	06-29 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$440	444	0	+444	Down	+$4	06-24 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$440	444	0	+444	Up	+$4	06-26 03:04
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 09:05 UTC	1	$440	444	0	+444	Up	-$440	07-02 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 04:50 UTC	1	$440	444	0	+444	Up	+$4	06-29 04:54
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 19:40 UTC	1	$440	444	0	+444	Up	+$4	06-26 19:44
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$440	444	0	+444	Up	+$4	06-30 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 02:50 UTC	1	$440	444	0	+444	Up	+$4	06-27 02:54
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$440	444	0	+444	Up	+$4	06-29 14:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:20 UTC	1	$440	441	0	+441	Up	+$1	06-24 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 14:00 UTC	1	$440	441	0	+441	Down	+$1	06-26 14:04
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 19:50 UTC	1	$440	441	0	+441	Up	+$1	06-24 19:54
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 00:10 UTC	1	$440	441	0	+441	Down	+$1	06-23 00:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:05 UTC	1	$440	441	0	+441	Down	+$1	06-25 11:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 13:30 UTC	4	$440	444	0	+444	Up	+$4	06-30 13:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 06:15 UTC	4	$440	449	0	+449	Down	+$9	07-01 06:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 22:00 UTC	4	$440	441	0	+441	Down	+$1	06-26 22:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 13:35 UTC	1	$439	440	0	+440	Down	+$1	06-25 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 21:02:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	156	33¢	$51	0x4cd2ee…
08-30 21:02:30	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	75	75¢	$56	0x3b879e…
08-30 21:02:25	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	294	36¢	$106	0x015990…
08-30 19:18:10	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	75	82¢	$61	0x3edb1a…
08-30 19:16:18	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	48	87¢	$42	0x028362…
08-30 19:14:30	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x29a699…
08-30 19:13:58	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0xc0b208…
08-30 19:13:58	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x89a357…
08-30 19:13:58	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x7ca4a9…
08-30 19:13:57	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x011220…
08-30 19:13:55	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	57	87¢	$50	0xe6d214…
08-30 19:13:30	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x8d8535…
08-30 19:13:30	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x5a654c…
08-30 19:13:28	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xcb4ab8…
08-30 19:13:28	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x6b79d7…
08-30 19:13:19	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xf2a9f8…
08-30 19:13:16	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x5c5e0e…
08-30 19:13:15	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x57c285…
08-30 19:13:12	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xdffca2…
08-30 16:03:48	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	147	39¢	$57	0xd6680d…
08-30 16:03:46	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	147	41¢	$60	0x0664e5…
08-30 15:27:54	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	SELL	87	36¢	$31	0xfa16c3…
08-30 14:54:37	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	SELL	26	36¢	$9	0x61e924…
08-30 14:38:49	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x494457…
08-30 14:38:46	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	BUY	115	36¢	$41	0xb7ca08…
08-29 15:22:10	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	104	54¢	$56	0x6b8ff7…
08-29 07:48:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	242	43¢	$104	0xc8d0dc…
08-29 07:37:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	242	43¢	$104	0xfbc3ce…
08-29 07:07:30	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	104	54¢	$56	0xaf4167…
08-29 04:29:27	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0x412c99…
08-29 04:23:42	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x97a1d3…
08-28 15:27:45	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	156	17¢	$27	0xc7c438…
08-28 14:07:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x99b7f6…
08-28 14:03:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	165	40¢	$66	0x5a642c…
08-28 12:28:42	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0x032dac…
08-28 06:06:13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xa0a9f6…
08-28 06:06:04	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xcf0196…
08-28 06:05:46	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xf3b75f…
08-28 06:05:46	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	41	25¢	$10	0xea5b7c…
08-28 06:05:46	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xa7f7f1…
08-28 06:05:46	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x75e87b…
08-28 06:05:46	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x0b4f26…
08-28 06:05:46	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x030fb9…
08-28 06:05:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x4e24b3…
08-28 06:05:39	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	106	24¢	$25	0x890f6e…
08-28 06:05:37	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	106	24¢	$25	0xb4af07…
08-28 06:05:36	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	106	25¢	$26	0x5080f2…
08-28 02:04:45	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	173	25¢	$43	0x281cc6…
08-27 23:17:46	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	84	32¢	$27	0xa2041a…
08-27 23:17:12	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	84	32¢	$27	0x051224…
08-27 12:52:21	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x770a54…
08-27 12:20:34	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x3b8cf1…
08-26 20:40:27	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	53	56¢	$30	0xf6ab8c…
08-26 20:40:27	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	53	56¢	$30	0x9c51cc…
08-26 17:03:30	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	53	61¢	$32	0x97cfbc…
08-26 16:08:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0x2068fd…
08-26 16:07:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xdbafe0…
08-26 13:51:00	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	52	31¢	$16	0x885ca8…
08-26 13:51:00	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	36	35¢	$13	0x587ea4…
08-26 13:51:00	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x25ffe6…
08-26 13:50:58	Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	No	SELL	42	70¢	$29	0xa18cb4…
08-26 12:57:19	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	SELL	24	65¢	$16	0x28f19d…
08-26 11:18:33	Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xc3d5a3…
08-26 08:05:06	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x270a31…
08-26 02:54:10	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x71bd1d…
08-26 02:54:09	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x2ae36d…
08-25 23:57:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0xfa3c28…
08-25 23:52:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xa1002d…
08-25 21:42:51	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x8c2562…
08-25 20:32:55	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	SELL	174	65¢	$113	0x2805a6…
08-25 20:20:58	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	57¢	$100	0xff1ad0…
08-25 19:38:15	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xecd498…
08-25 19:29:54	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0xd0904e…
08-25 16:57:10	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x496cf7…
08-25 14:42:45	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0x93daa0…
08-25 09:42:45	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x03a137…
08-25 09:42:43	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	16¢	$31	0xb89586…
08-25 09:42:42	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xf3b851…
08-25 09:42:40	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xdc6ff6…
08-25 03:01:42	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	161	45¢	$72	0x120501…
08-25 03:01:39	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	161	45¢	$72	0x6b014c…
08-24 12:45:58	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	204	13¢	$27	0xc474c2…
08-24 07:49:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	23¢	$47	0x9dc101…
08-24 06:29:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	52¢	$11	0x170fa1…
08-24 06:07:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xd5d44a…
08-23 13:52:19	Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x04fae3…
08-23 07:39:10	Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x987408…
08-23 03:39:31	Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	42	71¢	$30	0xafb874…
08-23 03:26:55	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	106	47¢	$50	0x9cd0d8…
08-23 03:26:55	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	47¢	$17	0x1111a1…
08-23 03:26:49	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	143	47¢	$67	0x1ec5a0…
08-22 11:00:25	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	86	46¢	$40	0x52171f…
08-22 10:48:46	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	46¢	$40	0xcbe87a…
08-22 00:53:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0xc711ee…
08-21 19:53:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x226b12…
08-21 16:28:16	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	49¢	$22	0x51cc29…
08-21 16:28:07	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xcc2049…
08-21 04:23:42	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x20bcdd…
08-21 04:23:33	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	61	48¢	$29	0x876a70…
08-21 04:23:06	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xeddb1a…