Anxious-Variant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.29K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

999

Trades

8,155

lifetime

Volume

$179.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$176

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 11-04 22:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 169 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 64% -$5,590

Other

17% 37% -$598

Politics

9% 42% -$797

Sports

2% 45% -$126

Tech

0% 11% -$125

Pop-Culture

0% 20% -$56

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No		+180	$176	98¢	$176	+$0	11-04 22:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:55 UTC	95	$3.0K	2,150	2,150	+0	Up	+$1,075	06-13 12:59
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	23	$2.8K	6,950	6,950	+0	Yes	+$90	02-22 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:50 UTC	70	$2.6K	3,788	3,788	-0	Up	-$1,197	07-23 13:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 01:25 UTC	113	$2.5K	1,700	1,700	+0	Down	+$850	07-19 01:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 13:30 UTC	105	$2.2K	4,000	4,000	+0	Up	-$1,375	07-23 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 00:40 UTC	10	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Up	+$2,000	04-01 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 11:35 UTC	118	$2.0K	3,841	0	+3,841	Down	-$1,959	07-23 11:35
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$280	07-02 01:55
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?	3	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$0	06-26 02:01
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	3	$1.2K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$166	06-24 23:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 23:05 UTC	82	$1.2K	2,380	0	+2,380	Up	+$1,190	07-19 23:05
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	1	$1.1K	1,399	0	+1,399	Yes	+$252	07-04 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 11:25 UTC	1	$994	1,950	0	+1,950	Down	-$994	07-23 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	61	$980	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	-$980	07-23 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$977	1,954	0	+1,954	Up	+$977	05-30 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 02:10 UTC	115	$975	1,951	0	+1,951	Down	-$975	06-13 02:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:55 UTC	22	$940	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	-$940	07-23 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 00:30 UTC	50	$900	1,800	0	+1,800	Down	-$900	04-01 00:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 16:15 UTC	29	$900	1,800	0	+1,800	Down	-$900	07-23 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	31	$897	614	614	+0	Down	+$319	07-23 12:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:30 UTC	18	$886	1,772	0	+1,772	Up	+$886	07-23 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:50 UTC	16	$837	663	663	+0	Down	+$357	07-18 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 02:15 UTC	65	$750	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	+$750	07-06 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	37	$745	500	500	+0	Down	+$245	05-01 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 02:05 UTC	10	$730	500	500	+0	Down	+$260	07-08 02:09
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	1	$684	1,340	0	+1,340	Yes	+$657	07-06 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:00 UTC	23	$670	1,289	0	+1,289	Up	+$619	07-23 14:00
bra cor bra 2026 01 28 bra	8	$630	435	435	+0	Yes	+$230	01-28 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:10 UTC	2	$616	319	319	+0	Down	+$16	06-25 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 14:10 UTC	69	$600	1,200	0	+1,200	Up	-$600	07-04 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 22:05:57	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	180	98¢	$176	0xb4d10a…
11-03 16:10:33	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	179	77¢	$138	0xce1ead…
11-03 16:09:42	Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,254	1¢	$10	0xa6c32b…
10-27 14:55:32	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	95¢	$94	0xd97df9…
10-06 22:53:54	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xa3bd7b…
10-05 12:35:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	90	85¢	$76	0x77cda0…
10-04 21:24:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	78	85¢	$66	0xaa24a1…
10-04 21:24:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe590a4…
09-15 16:03:40	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	SELL	260	17¢	$44	0x3384f4…
08-28 14:58:00	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	2,306	5¢	$115	0x9b0c16…
08-28 14:55:55	Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	23¢	$230	0xfdf620…
08-19 19:07:42	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x0ea89f…
08-19 16:03:45	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xcb2958…
08-19 16:02:57	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0xcf04e3…
08-19 16:02:19	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xad114d…
08-17 10:49:30	Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0x8e7b2b…
08-11 21:56:15	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x2c4fdd…
08-11 21:56:13	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xf4809b…
08-11 20:29:24	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xa24b5a…
08-05 18:57:59	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x2588d5…
07-28 18:50:08	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf546b8…
07-28 18:50:08	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x22e873…
07-28 17:53:40	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xd0d1b2…
07-28 17:53:40	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x78c73a…
07-28 17:35:01	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x85f1fc…
07-28 17:34:10	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	294	11¢	$32	0xa79935…
07-28 15:15:04	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	96	11¢	$11	0xe46a58…
07-28 15:12:32	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x99ed39…
07-28 15:12:32	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	136	12¢	$16	0x93cca4…
07-28 15:12:32	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	166	12¢	$20	0x771d79…
07-28 15:12:31	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x29e99a…
07-28 03:37:48	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0xad5661…
07-28 01:16:28	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x3b4716…
07-28 01:15:55	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xfe18b3…
07-28 01:15:03	Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	1,003	17¢	$171	0xdabe3a…
07-23 21:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	133	49¢	$65	0xfcd830…
07-23 21:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	113	49¢	$55	0xa70326…
07-23 21:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x990723…
07-23 21:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x90eb3f…
07-23 21:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x521670…
07-23 21:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x24e0ae…
07-23 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xe4662c…
07-23 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xc27b93…
07-23 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xbc0045…
07-23 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x8d9ea0…
07-23 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x863698…
07-23 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x83c052…
07-23 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x7fb305…
07-23 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x791e01…
07-23 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x6ed6e0…
07-23 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x5f538a…
07-23 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	113	49¢	$55	0x5da765…
07-23 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x53a03c…
07-23 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x36323f…
07-23 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x12ddbd…
07-23 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x02faae…
07-23 21:45:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xba6659…
07-23 21:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	251	49¢	$123	0xad4042…
07-23 21:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xa2e201…
07-23 21:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x28aa31…
07-23 21:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x15adf9…
07-23 21:45:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xff02bd…
07-23 21:45:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	42	49¢	$20	0xfd7d2e…
07-23 21:45:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xe35fbf…
07-23 21:45:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xca7680…
07-23 21:45:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xafa8d0…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xfbb3e5…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xfada43…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xf62be4…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xde95d7…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xd6b90d…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	52	49¢	$25	0xd53bf5…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xc90aff…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc756a7…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xbc41d9…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb8a0ab…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xadb239…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xabc4a3…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa3ee61…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x9f63cd…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	244	49¢	$120	0x99b50c…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x980e5d…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x82ced4…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x7d29d2…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x704b9a…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6f97c9…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6e4054…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x6ddb01…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x5b31d6…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x568e9e…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x350ace…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x31081d…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x28da59…
07-23 21:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x20888a…
07-23 21:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0x930b52…
07-23 21:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x297d00…
07-23 18:55:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x3385dc…
07-23 18:55:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	225	47¢	$106	0x062fcd…
07-23 18:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	160	47¢	$75	0xf299da…
07-23 18:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	225	47¢	$106	0xe4d5b1…