Unlucky-Nobody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.09K

Unrealized P&L

-$44

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

Trades

260

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-28 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Politics

74% 44% +$659

Other

17% 34% +$661

Sports

6% 50% -$186

Crypto

2% 0% -$42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes		+21	$2	13¢	$3	+$0	10-21 14:42
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+100	$45	1¢	$1	-$44	10-23 19:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$1.1K	1,082	1,082	+0	open	—	10-27 13:47
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	7	$969	990	990	+0	No	+$155	07-19 17:34
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$925	793	793	+0	Yes	+$187	06-07 19:18
iran closes its airspace by june 8	6	$719	873	550	+323	Yes	-$69	06-07 21:12
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	3	$676	555	555	+0	open	—	10-26 22:55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	6	$570	550	550	+0	No	+$255	05-24 15:24
iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	5	$546	578	578	+0	No	-$76	07-20 10:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	5	$524	693	693	+0	open	—	10-28 06:06
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	5	$455	434	434	+0	Yes	+$27	05-26 14:00
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$420	300	300	+0	Yes	+$138	07-19 06:25
israel closes its airspace by june 9	2	$382	463	463	+0	No	-$18	06-08 06:53
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	4	$378	989	989	-0	Yes	-$21	07-21 12:44
iran closes its airspace by july 15	3	$368	453	453	+0	Yes	+$65	06-07 19:51
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 8pt5	3	$365	254	254	+0	Under	+$103	07-07 17:57
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$363	1,534	1,534	+0	open	—	10-27 12:47
iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	3	$333	431	431	+0	No	-$21	07-20 10:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$328	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-01 12:22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	5	$323	229	229	+0	No	+$102	05-24 14:58
jynxzi vs speed who wins in fifa	2	$323	570	0	+570	Speed	-$323	08-25 18:59
jynxzi vs speed gaming challenge winner	8	$228	462	65	+397	Speed	+$235	08-25 21:55
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	3	$198	200	200	+0	Argentina	+$110	07-07 17:47
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	2	$195	346	346	+0	Yes	-$5	06-08 12:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	5	$192	238	238	+0	Yes	-$8	06-07 20:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$174	300	300	+0	open	—	10-19 18:34
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	6	$167	300	300	+0	No	+$53	07-20 10:22
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	8	$165	583	583	+0	No	-$1	07-10 19:47
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	5	$163	200	200	+0	No	$0	07-10 20:50
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	2	$161	100	100	+0	open	—	10-26 22:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	2	$148	200	200	+0	open	—	10-26 22:55
iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	3	$147	130	130	+0	Yes	+$45	07-19 17:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 06:06:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	204	55¢	$113	0xef7b43…
10-28 04:49:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	204	67¢	$137	0xeedf62…
10-27 20:45:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	489	28¢	$137	0xea037c…
10-27 20:01:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x129de5…
10-27 20:01:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	355	27¢	$97	0xc00e64…
10-27 13:47:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	187	67¢	$125	0xcaeb6f…
10-27 13:40:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	187	69¢	$129	0x9a3c2a…
10-27 12:48:14	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xc8a7ad…
10-27 12:48:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	4¢	$4	0x199809…
10-27 12:47:53	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	359	2¢	$6	0xcf2ec1…
10-27 12:47:47	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	37¢	$12	0xec6c1d…
10-27 12:47:41	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	92	12¢	$11	0x39f9ab…
10-27 12:47:35	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	923	6¢	$55	0x3482f9…
10-26 22:57:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,100	2¢	$17	0x36dd8b…
10-26 22:56:32	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x02c4be…
10-26 22:56:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	16¢	$19	0x64cb65…
10-26 22:56:18	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$37	0x4f4bd4…
10-26 22:56:09	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	77¢	$44	0x4b1adf…
10-26 22:56:02	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	59¢	$47	0xeca398…
10-26 22:55:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0x1db6e4…
10-26 22:55:44	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	448	52¢	$233	0x56f7fe…
10-26 22:55:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	555	63¢	$352	0x662615…
10-26 22:47:27	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	359	10¢	$34	0x301778…
10-26 22:17:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	180	26¢	$46	0xd4802d…
10-26 22:17:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xc9e75b…
10-26 22:17:17	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x635a13…
10-26 22:16:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	128	21¢	$27	0x0ed2fc…
10-26 20:18:09	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xe14824…
10-25 17:40:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x6c4b33…
10-25 17:38:59	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0xd3bdb1…
10-23 19:30:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x768f1f…
10-23 14:17:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 23?	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x8efe78…
10-23 09:04:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	7¢	$8	0x7893e2…
10-23 08:52:23	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	359	2¢	$6	0xfcde2d…
10-23 07:53:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	437	57¢	$249	0x29f822…
10-23 07:52:54	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0xe028f5…
10-23 07:52:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	448	49¢	$218	0x5f8e3e…
10-23 05:56:42	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	92	15¢	$14	0x62511c…
10-22 16:45:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 23?	No	BUY	254	10¢	$25	0x19bd78…
10-22 16:44:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 23?	No	BUY	659	2¢	$11	0xe493d4…
10-21 16:50:02	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x592a22…
10-21 16:27:32	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x61319b…
10-21 15:43:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x7c78ae…
10-21 15:18:24	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	28¢	$34	0x46520b…
10-21 15:13:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	118	64¢	$76	0x005070…
10-21 15:12:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbef9b0…
10-21 14:49:17	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	610	12¢	$73	0x39e13e…
10-21 14:47:35	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x725c08…
10-21 14:43:39	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xf204c4…
10-21 14:42:08	Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x9e8b3d…
10-21 14:39:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xaf8651…
10-21 14:37:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x40a637…
10-21 14:36:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x400415…
10-21 14:36:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x811263…
10-21 14:35:48	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xacac2d…
10-21 14:35:11	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	65¢	$38	0x630ffe…
10-19 18:34:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	150	12¢	$18	0xb78642…
10-19 18:34:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	300	20¢	$60	0xf135ee…
10-19 17:01:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0xf380a7…
10-19 17:00:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	150	29¢	$43	0x68e834…
10-15 12:49:43	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	895	50¢	$443	0x4df3e6…
10-15 11:30:21	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	686	16¢	$110	0x2d6ebb…
10-12 03:36:14	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	535	14¢	$75	0xc4fe82…
08-28 14:22:22	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	31	56¢	$17	0x6052a4…
08-28 14:12:43	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	124	56¢	$70	0x700f5b…
08-28 12:50:33	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	310	13¢	$40	0xfb61c1…
08-25 21:55:10	jynxzi vs speed gaming challenge winner	Speed	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xe7c15f…
08-25 21:54:43	jynxzi vs speed gaming challenge winner	Speed	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0xb8e4aa…
08-25 21:33:18	jynxzi vs speed gaming challenge winner	Speed	SELL	32	50¢	$16	0x55ceae…
08-25 21:33:10	jynxzi vs speed gaming challenge winner	Speed	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xde1c05…
08-25 21:33:10	jynxzi vs speed gaming challenge winner	Speed	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x2881a2…
08-25 21:33:09	jynxzi vs speed gaming challenge winner	Speed	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0x56e56a…
08-25 19:10:01	jynxzi vs speed gaming challenge winner	Speed	BUY	184	22¢	$41	0x670399…
08-25 18:59:01	jynxzi vs speed who wins in fifa	Jynxzi	BUY	188	50¢	$93	0x8f2d6e…
08-25 18:55:00	jynxzi vs speed who wins in fifa	Jynxzi	BUY	383	60¢	$230	0xf42f04…
08-25 18:53:22	jynxzi vs speed gaming challenge winner	Speed	BUY	165	27¢	$44	0xe2acf4…
08-21 01:02:09	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	BUY	282	15¢	$42	0x5f0cb5…
08-21 01:01:40	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xd18d76…
08-20 21:36:15	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 14 hours	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xe8ff2e…
08-20 21:35:03	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours	Yes	SELL	942	3¢	$29	0xde63ef…
08-20 21:26:52	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	Yes	BUY	320	41¢	$130	0x44f5d1…
08-20 21:25:45	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$24	0x3119cc…
08-20 21:18:57	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	Yes	BUY	300	13¢	$39	0x0092eb…
08-20 20:19:21	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours	Yes	BUY	321	15¢	$49	0x86ffcb…
08-20 20:18:57	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours	Yes	BUY	121	13¢	$16	0x69e2b0…
08-20 20:18:48	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x75fb3c…
08-07 07:52:22	lol jdg edg 2026 08 07	EDward Gaming	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xe997f3…
08-07 07:52:09	lol jdg edg 2026 08 07 game1	EDward Gaming	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xb6cc37…
07-21 12:44:57	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	SELL	800	18¢	$144	0xc559f9…
07-20 10:38:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	431	36¢	$156	0x36b3f5…
07-20 10:37:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	SELL	391	32¢	$124	0x7f3d62…
07-20 10:22:09	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	150	42¢	$63	0x73c370…
07-19 18:00:03	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0x5b56b3…
07-19 17:59:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	189	18¢	$34	0xb2de9f…
07-19 17:58:39	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	130	74¢	$96	0x2cdcc5…
07-19 17:58:12	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	SELL	186	60¢	$112	0x61624c…
07-19 17:34:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	SELL	59	57¢	$34	0x83d750…
07-19 17:30:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	SELL	440	59¢	$260	0x52c7d4…
07-19 17:18:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	714	21¢	$150	0xda7ec4…
07-19 17:17:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	275	18¢	$49	0x55350a…