Handsome-Dumbwaiter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

Trades

351

lifetime

Volume

$853

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$68

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 11-06 21:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

85% 47% +$22

Tech

7% 0% -$1

Politics

6% 40% -$8

Crypto

2% 25% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+76	$60	78¢	$60	$0	11-06 21:19
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	+7	$3	50¢	$4	+$1	11-05 08:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+8	$3	21¢	$2	-$1	11-01 16:23
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+7	$1	24¢	$2	+$1	11-01 16:24
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+55	$0	2¢	$1	+$1	11-03 19:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	5	$174	115	115	+0	Yes	+$47	10-28 09:19
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	1	$60	76	0	+76	open	—	11-06 21:19
will matthias bluebaum win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	9	$44	568	568	+0	No	+$16	03-29 12:36
will anish giri win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	4	$42	370	370	+0	No	+$16	04-08 20:38
will praggnanandhaa r win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$40	328	0	+328	No	-$40	03-31 15:23
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	33	$33	417	417	+0	No	+$23	03-10 18:19
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	10	$29	835	835	+0	Yes	-$12	03-31 02:12
mwoh can fin 2026 02 20	2	$24	17	17	+0	Canada	+$10	02-20 18:17
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$20	23	0	+23	Yes	+$3	05-13 20:05
will andrey esipenko win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	14	$19	500	500	+0	No	+$10	03-30 16:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	2	$17	110	110	+0	open	—	11-04 18:34
mwoh can cze 2026 02 18	2	$16	100	100	+0	Canada	+$2	02-18 15:42
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	3	$16	465	465	+0	No	+$7	02-16 22:18
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	32	$15	384	384	+0	No	+$5	02-14 22:38
epl wes mun 2026 02 10 total 4pt5	4	$14	1,112	112	+1,000	Under	-$3	02-10 21:40
Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2027?	3	$14	8	8	+0	No	+$1	09-19 13:57
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$13	26	0	+26	No	-$13	05-15 21:53
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	09-23 12:41
will monokate win vidbir 2026	19	$12	640	21	+618	No	-$7	02-07 20:02
will hikaru nakamura win the 20252026 speed chess championship	5	$12	190	0	+190	No	-$12	02-07 22:52
mwoh swi fra 2026 02 12	19	$11	1,128	333	+795	Switzerland	$0	02-12 13:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$1	04-23 07:06
lol fox1 dnf 2026 02 12 total games 4pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	02-12 11:22
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$10	482	54	+428	No	-$9	05-13 15:52
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	+$3	05-10 12:41
lol fox1 dnf 2026 02 12 total games 3pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	02-12 10:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 22:00 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	02-11 22:16
epl sun liv 2026 02 11 total 3pt5	2	$9	5	5	+0	Under	+$0	02-11 22:10
chess hnakam agiri 2026 03 31 black	2	$8	100	3	+97	No	-$6	03-31 13:55
Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?	2	$8	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	09-19 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 21:19:45	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0xe0b169…
11-05 08:41:46	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xb60404…
11-04 18:34:45	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	110	13¢	$14	0x7244f2…
11-03 19:43:57	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x566e10…
11-03 16:56:21	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	95	0¢	$0	0x5f2f8a…
11-03 16:56:07	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	657	0¢	$1	0xa47f67…
11-01 19:19:12	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xb7bed1…
11-01 18:54:03	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb19e79…
11-01 17:02:16	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xa81622…
11-01 16:24:37	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd8756b…
11-01 16:23:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xad4c6b…
11-01 00:00:25	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x2bc060…
10-30 23:18:28	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xd7cbfe…
10-29 23:21:42	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5f3cb1…
10-29 19:43:16	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	110	3¢	$3	0x08a15a…
10-28 09:19:56	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7db15f…
10-28 09:14:29	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	110	96¢	$106	0x2d872c…
10-27 07:17:06	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xd054bf…
10-24 20:03:26	Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x9e3621…
10-19 17:16:29	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x6a6bb8…
10-19 16:32:02	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$0	0xacdb2d…
10-10 15:16:36	Will North Macedonia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf994ff…
10-10 10:40:12	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x333d6b…
10-10 05:05:45	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5f9ef6…
10-08 09:37:08	Will Albania win Junior Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x03918e…
10-08 03:39:23	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xbcacad…
10-08 03:39:23	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2b2326…
10-08 00:03:02	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xaac5d1…
10-07 22:36:05	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x017423…
10-07 22:35:25	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xb0b067…
10-07 14:03:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 9?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x573dfc…
10-07 14:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb5a196…
10-07 13:53:40	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	124	1¢	$1	0x9a4be2…
10-06 08:44:04	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xca925c…
10-06 00:51:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on October 7?	Yes	BUY	76	0¢	$0	0xe32e7a…
10-06 00:17:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x51f689…
10-06 00:17:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on October 7?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb584fe…
10-06 00:01:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc66972…
10-06 00:01:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on October 7?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x2bace5…
10-05 23:29:49	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x02570c…
10-05 23:29:14	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0x7cda65…
10-05 23:29:14	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0x2a6748…
10-05 19:03:13	Will Albania win Junior Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xab08a7…
10-05 19:03:11	Will North Macedonia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x44d7ed…
10-05 19:03:11	Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x444798…
10-05 13:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 7?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4c9d35…
10-05 13:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 7?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x7231b8…
10-05 12:45:08	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb95742…
10-05 12:45:08	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x42c549…
10-05 12:45:07	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xe467ed…
10-05 12:45:07	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xabfc51…
10-05 11:05:50	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xeedda8…
10-05 08:21:58	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x797d27…
10-05 08:21:55	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x61de08…
10-05 08:21:53	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe1df48…
10-03 19:32:36	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x136174…
10-03 11:56:14	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	64	1¢	$1	0x816a5b…
09-29 18:09:42	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc0fe23…
09-28 21:32:24	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x1d9320…
09-28 15:18:11	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xb84a8a…
09-28 14:38:11	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf6f73d…
09-28 14:36:11	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x902202…
09-28 00:39:59	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xccb6ef…
09-28 00:29:33	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x632bb2…
09-27 20:30:14	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x625e0a…
09-27 03:51:41	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x921f10…
09-26 20:11:17	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb6b7e0…
09-26 18:02:36	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6de21e…
09-26 15:57:39	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x00c596…
09-26 02:40:42	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf53258…
09-26 01:17:03	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xbec2ce…
09-26 01:17:03	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x76d4e2…
09-26 01:17:03	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x042ef4…
09-26 01:17:03	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x019a3d…
09-26 01:14:29	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf5dba3…
09-25 22:07:03	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xaad299…
09-25 22:07:03	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2c695b…
09-25 22:07:03	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x09c27b…
09-25 17:36:56	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xaf905f…
09-25 17:36:00	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb8f785…
09-25 17:36:00	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x038698…
09-23 21:56:05	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xcbfd6d…
09-23 21:56:05	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x663a3a…
09-23 21:56:05	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0x4f136b…
09-23 21:56:05	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x1cc77a…
09-23 21:52:20	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9201a6…
09-23 21:52:19	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xedc517…
09-23 21:52:19	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xe8f6c3…
09-23 21:52:19	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x5d9e6d…
09-23 21:52:19	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x484bbe…
09-23 14:23:12	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	55¢	$38	0x01ee56…
09-23 13:48:10	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x9899fc…
09-23 12:47:41	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa50a11…
09-23 12:41:53	Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa2530e…
09-21 20:38:01	Will Georgia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x527673…
09-20 19:41:13	Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0044c5…
09-20 13:58:16	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x15a061…
09-20 10:51:15	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf84bff…
09-20 10:17:55	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6dbcc1…
09-20 10:17:25	Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe26391…