Quarrelsome-Barn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.1%

Resolved

Trades

345

lifetime

Volume

$967

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 08-14 03:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-2

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

16% — —

Politics

14% 14% $-5

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$264	350	350	+0	open	—	02-13 13:57
will the united states win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$67	150	150	+0	open	—	02-18 02:06
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	10	$56	991	0	+991	open	—	06-03 19:28
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 16:21
btc updown 5m 1786419300	6	$25	30	20	+10	open	—	08-11 03:34
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	4	$23	29	20	+9	open	—	07-15 20:18
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$14	41	3	+38	open	—	02-23 21:52
bitcoin up or down on march 2	4	$13	132	7	+125	open	—	03-02 15:51
btc updown 5m 1786509600	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	08-12 04:43
will france win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$12	33	33	+0	open	—	02-16 23:17
btc updown 15m 1786509900	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	08-12 04:58
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	02-14 04:44
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 14	1	$10	99	0	+99	open	—	02-14 18:25
btc updown 5m 1786509900	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	08-12 04:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	3	$8	0	51	-51	open	—	06-02 20:16
btc updown 5m 1786416300	2	$7	24	24	+0	open	—	08-11 02:48
will trump say no no no during the 2026 state of the union address	2	$7	20	20	+0	open	—	02-20 21:15
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$6	14	1	+13	open	—	02-24 14:10
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	03-09 03:21
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$6	18	0	+18	open	—	05-14 17:17
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	2	$6	9	9	+0	open	—	02-23 22:26
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	02-15 06:16
btc updown 5m 1786479600	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	08-11 20:18
btc updown 5m 1786416600	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	08-11 02:48
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	1	$5	102	0	+102	open	—	02-15 18:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$5	194	0	+194	open	—	05-18 13:48
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	02-16 14:49
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	1	$5	110	0	+110	open	—	02-13 20:20
btc updown 5m 1771517400	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-19 16:15
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	2	$4	76	0	+76	open	—	05-15 15:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 03:40:27	btc updown 5m 1786678800	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x63b35c…
08-14 03:34:58	btc updown 5m 1786678500	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5094fc…
08-14 03:30:09	btc updown 5m 1786678200	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf0ec34…
08-14 03:27:58	btc updown 5m 1786677900	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7841cc…
08-14 03:27:12	btc updown 5m 1786677900	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x513514…
08-14 03:24:24	btc updown 5m 1786677900	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4f309f…
08-12 20:19:25	will the earnings call not air 20260807205828989	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x870f8e…
08-12 20:19:04	will cisco say income 10 times during earnings call 20260807205828979	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x726181…
08-12 04:58:36	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x90dc22…
08-12 04:58:07	btc updown 15m 1786509900	Up	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x295838…
08-12 04:47:55	btc updown 15m 1786509900	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc2fad3…
08-12 04:45:25	btc updown 5m 1786509900	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x6f4dd1…
08-12 04:44:33	btc updown 5m 1786509900	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7d98da…
08-12 04:43:30	btc updown 5m 1786509600	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x7eeed4…
08-12 04:40:58	btc updown 5m 1786509600	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7e45b6…
08-11 20:18:19	btc updown 5m 1786479600	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcd2634…
08-11 03:34:30	btc updown 5m 1786419300	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x89a438…
08-11 03:34:24	btc updown 5m 1786419300	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xca0bda…
08-11 03:34:24	btc updown 5m 1786419300	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x1be711…
08-11 03:34:15	btc updown 5m 1786419300	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xc5dc15…
08-11 03:34:12	btc updown 5m 1786419300	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe862f5…
08-11 03:34:09	btc updown 5m 1786419300	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0148bf…
08-11 02:48:58	btc updown 5m 1786416600	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd10f37…
08-11 02:48:30	btc updown 5m 1786416300	Down	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0x71aaf6…
08-11 02:47:58	btc updown 5m 1786416300	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0a69ee…
08-03 19:37:21	will the earnings call not air 20260730163821630	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x207c8d…
08-02 18:11:00	will anyone say portal during president curtis e2 s1 20260728162047839	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x87a68a…
08-02 18:10:47	will anyone say alien during president curtis e2 s1 20260728162047835	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd1a93d…
07-15 20:18:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0xee1d5e…
07-15 19:50:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf551c3…
07-15 19:50:26	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf65af1…
07-15 18:38:08	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3fe7bc…
07-15 18:37:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x05d1da…
07-15 18:37:29	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa57ff5…
07-13 19:57:22	will mrbeast say hundred or thousand or million 5 times during his next youtube video 20260702154826869	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x0f076d…
07-09 21:45:14	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x90d2fa…
07-09 05:55:56	will trump post football on truth social this week 20260703145933665	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5dbda8…
07-09 05:55:53	will trump post world cup on truth social this week 20260703145933667	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x57b376…
07-09 05:54:52	will mrbeast say sport during his next youtube video 20260702154826888	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8707b2…
07-09 05:54:29	will mrbeast say hundred or thousand or million 5 times during his next youtube video 20260702154826869	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x315c0a…
07-09 05:53:19	will the earnings call not air 20260703193548743	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xbcd8a4…
07-08 13:59:16	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe52861…
07-07 16:50:14	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x52e43e…
07-07 16:40:01	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners first half total 3pt5	Over	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf37456…
07-07 14:16:55	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x95469f…
07-06 20:56:25	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf6a882…
07-03 17:39:23	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6f7989…
06-30 01:17:08	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdc3e37…
06-29 23:44:37	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x046698…
06-29 19:14:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x78c105…
06-29 19:14:22	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x58afa1…
06-29 18:59:35	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x85f72a…
06-29 17:55:25	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf1a7c2…
06-29 17:54:16	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x32f183…
06-29 15:42:32	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x113d09…
06-29 04:45:01	cs2 justpl atreid 2026 06 29	Just Players	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcf2472…
06-29 04:44:23	cs2 jul ep 2026 06 29	eternal premium	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcde741…
06-28 17:31:35	cs2 fx uno 2026 06 28	Fluxo	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x43c832…
06-28 17:31:13	cs2 ice ace1 2026 06 28	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2fa49d…
06-28 17:30:47	dota2 4iki nemiga 2026 06 28 game2	4ikibamboni	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x16a2dd…
06-28 16:34:07	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	Canada	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdf52a5…
06-28 03:04:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0eb7e6…
06-28 03:03:55	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 3pt5	Argentina	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xeff8e4…
06-28 03:03:04	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 366 424	No	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x8d6851…
06-28 03:02:58	will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x146bd5…
06-25 19:55:31	will mrbeast say sport during his next youtube video 20260616145800206	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5e3633…
06-19 21:10:23	will trump say football this week 20260612151047670	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x509fce…
06-09 15:44:43	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	No	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x87c780…
06-03 21:24:37	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xb1289e…
06-03 21:24:03	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xdff468…
06-03 20:36:15	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x1b18f8…
06-03 19:28:57	World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Yes	BUY	171	13¢	$23	0xa4b9a4…
06-02 20:34:32	World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Yes	BUY	102	4¢	$4	0xf63588…
06-02 20:17:14	World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Yes	BUY	215	4¢	$9	0xdd2ef6…
06-02 20:16:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	15¢	$4	0x42d503…
06-02 20:14:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0xae04d8…
06-02 20:14:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x9e441f…
06-02 20:13:58	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x796803…
06-02 19:54:42	World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x57c490…
06-02 19:53:04	World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x75e957…
06-02 19:52:43	World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0xfa9604…
06-02 19:51:48	World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xe089dc…
06-02 19:51:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xa50635…
06-02 19:51:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x80b505…
06-02 19:50:30	World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xc785ad…
06-02 19:49:35	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x6cbac1…
06-02 19:49:04	World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x972009…
06-02 19:47:52	World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xa7b6f5…
06-02 19:47:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	63	2¢	$1	0xc1f5da…
06-02 19:47:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x73c854…
06-01 01:28:51	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x3c53c5…
05-28 23:14:35	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xad4fcf…
05-28 23:14:31	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8bf13c…
05-28 04:34:28	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x0e105a…
05-21 23:14:06	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3955b6…
05-21 19:52:11	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb126dc…
05-21 05:35:12	Will Trump say "Save America" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x64b653…
05-21 05:35:09	Will Trump say "President Xi" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe295c4…
05-21 05:35:00	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb1f100…
05-21 03:17:50	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$2	0xb38dc4…