Attentive-Antler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$132

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

Trades

465

lifetime

Volume

$4.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 08-11 20:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

68% 80% +$129

Other

26% 100% +$2

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	41	$487	1,329	289	+1,040	open	—	05-21 09:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	17	$337	1,017	1,017	+0	Yes	+$109	05-09 05:40
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	31	$308	303	345	-42	open	—	08-11 11:12
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	17	$235	195	115	+80	open	—	05-15 16:49
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	16	$224	1,160	120	+1,040	open	—	05-22 13:05
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	11	$186	100	110	-10	open	—	05-16 04:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	15	$156	114	128	-14	open	—	05-25 00:47
Kash Patel out by June 30?	3	$116	123	0	+123	open	—	06-23 17:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$111	63	52	+11	open	—	04-22 09:05
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$101	53	53	+0	open	—	04-19 19:13
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	8	$90	137	137	+0	open	—	08-07 15:24
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	9	$85	53	53	+0	open	—	08-11 20:02
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	7	$70	100	100	+0	open	—	05-29 09:15
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	6	$68	57	34	+23	open	—	04-27 05:53
kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	4	$68	42	31	+11	open	—	07-19 13:45
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	7	$65	160	160	+0	open	—	05-20 14:26
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	9	$65	80	80	+0	open	—	05-14 11:44
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	9	$63	100	100	+0	open	—	08-09 13:23
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	3	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	04-24 23:21
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	6	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	05-14 17:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	9	$56	31	31	+0	open	—	04-25 14:09
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	5	$56	32	32	+0	open	—	04-30 19:24
Kash Patel out by December 31?	6	$52	60	60	+0	open	—	07-11 17:56
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	5	$48	185	15	+170	open	—	05-12 13:03
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	5	$47	20	30	-10	open	—	05-18 11:09
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	4	$46	34	34	+0	open	—	05-24 16:56
iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	6	$45	25	24	+1	open	—	06-19 10:45
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	2	$44	50	50	+0	open	—	05-16 05:14
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	5	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	07-16 17:20
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	3	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	07-08 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 20:02:31	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xf11524…
08-11 20:00:40	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xa4dd9e…
08-11 19:37:28	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x62c745…
08-11 11:12:25	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x9928f0…
08-11 09:44:01	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x05a002…
08-11 09:07:07	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	13	81¢	$11	0x57acf6…
08-09 13:25:03	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xefcc51…
08-09 13:23:12	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	35	30¢	$10	0x972336…
08-09 12:10:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xe721ef…
08-09 11:41:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0xa3ec4b…
08-08 16:24:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x7d99d0…
08-08 09:20:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x04507e…
08-07 16:20:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa141d9…
08-07 15:36:55	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x543d44…
08-07 15:31:03	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0x1aada5…
08-07 15:24:15	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	45	27¢	$12	0x14ae7d…
08-07 04:20:10	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6ba9b6…
08-07 02:16:30	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xba0ce5…
08-07 00:31:44	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x5a9b3e…
08-06 22:25:27	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	134	8¢	$11	0xe26411…
08-06 18:44:00	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0x065741…
08-05 20:23:48	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x666e09…
08-05 09:06:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb04bc8…
08-05 07:41:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x3e5eef…
08-03 21:15:50	kash patel out by september 30 20260728185947723	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x70ef3d…
08-03 09:40:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x32f334…
08-01 04:30:36	kash patel out by august 31 20260728185834458	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xcd83c0…
07-30 16:40:36	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	35	29¢	$10	0xe9c106…
07-30 03:34:56	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	Yes	SELL	65	24¢	$16	0x7e30c6…
07-30 01:21:41	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	Yes	BUY	65	16¢	$10	0x224bfb…
07-29 16:21:51	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x929a80…
07-29 16:21:50	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xb40996…
07-29 09:44:45	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	Yes	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x7386e6…
07-29 09:43:53	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x6a0644…
07-28 17:29:32	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	141	6¢	$8	0x7f6ec5…
07-28 07:40:22	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0xb824c7…
07-27 13:59:54	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xc7b846…
07-26 20:59:09	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x8768a9…
07-25 17:47:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0x63672c…
07-25 14:44:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x8d5015…
07-24 16:03:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x2e9b09…
07-24 15:06:46	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0x13aeed…
07-21 07:16:16	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0xeae250…
07-21 05:04:55	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x560b49…
07-20 13:39:19	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0xc8b2ed…
07-19 13:45:55	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x8931f3…
07-18 05:50:54	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x13db93…
07-17 17:43:00	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x5e8fc9…
07-17 02:34:28	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xf52f65…
07-16 17:20:49	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x7a6032…
07-13 17:29:16	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0x42558b…
07-13 17:26:25	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0xd3647b…
07-13 16:13:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xed3344…
07-13 14:00:47	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0x38a67f…
07-12 21:28:10	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xe294ac…
07-11 20:51:05	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x1a2777…
07-11 19:19:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x76e0b9…
07-11 17:56:31	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0x9ec09f…
07-11 17:37:44	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x588463…
07-11 11:38:47	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0x7a7147…
07-11 03:10:01	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0xc0ba38…
07-11 02:48:26	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xcc0da4…
07-11 02:47:59	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xd38810…
07-11 02:47:59	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcfbdac…
07-11 02:47:59	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x0cfac4…
07-08 14:10:29	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x134c46…
07-08 11:08:26	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x975663…
07-08 09:28:49	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x255f09…
07-08 09:25:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x4a9d77…
07-08 08:50:05	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	32	33¢	$11	0xa0fd94…
07-08 03:23:13	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xee6c9b…
07-07 18:27:31	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xbf0d78…
07-07 13:57:38	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xb70b94…
07-06 17:14:46	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xfa2730…
07-04 00:19:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xb66ab5…
07-04 00:01:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	47¢	$9	0xf60644…
07-01 18:36:38	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x665c4f…
07-01 16:43:44	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3702b1…
07-01 09:44:13	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x7a18fc…
06-30 14:57:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xb0e737…
06-29 14:50:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x2766c6…
06-26 19:14:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x3bbc6f…
06-26 11:49:37	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0xcbc0c1…
06-25 20:35:50	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x90710a…
06-25 12:41:20	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x02c845…
06-25 00:49:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	46¢	$12	0x0bcfe5…
06-24 17:37:26	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x94746e…
06-23 22:06:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0xf53c00…
06-23 21:24:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x7d2669…
06-23 17:35:55	Kash Patel out by June 30?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x494af2…
06-23 13:32:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x9771ea…
06-22 12:25:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	49¢	$11	0x9c1ddc…
06-22 07:23:05	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xef52a3…
06-22 01:57:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x4b22fd…
06-21 03:45:59	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x2ac7ac…
06-20 08:27:08	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x0ee3a4…
06-19 18:29:40	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x112f2b…
06-19 10:45:17	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0x5e0789…
06-19 09:55:53	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x4a4507…
06-17 08:58:53	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	54¢	$12	0x25279e…