Monthly-Riding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.52K

Unrealized P&L

+$79

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

561

Trades

1,329

lifetime

Volume

$65.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$643

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-28 05:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Other

66% 83% +$1,575

Sports

24% 88% +$618

Tech

8% 83% +$182

Politics

1% 82% +$128

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$23

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-120	-$117	98¢	$-118	$0	10-22 06:14
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?	No	+116	$91	98¢	$113	+$22	08-29 18:29
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+100	$89	97¢	$97	+$8	04-30 21:15
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	+100	$67	82¢	$82	+$14	09-05 07:53
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	No	+80	$5	88¢	$70	+$65	09-21 12:06
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+78	$60	77¢	$60	+$0	08-11 01:03
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-60	-$18	55¢	$-33	-$15	05-06 13:27
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$18	98¢	$20	+$2	05-16 03:09
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	No	+11	$10	97¢	$11	+$1	05-30 01:47
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+10	$9	98¢	$10	+$1	05-07 14:04
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	+10	$9	97¢	$10	+$1	05-28 21:07
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No	+6	$5	95¢	$6	+$1	05-13 00:34
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+770	$22	1¢	$6	-$16	07-21 02:15
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$6	26¢	$5	-$1	10-08 18:54
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+100	$9	4¢	$4	-$5	08-01 02:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 4 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228789	4	$1.5K	914	782	+132	Yes	+$58	07-04 22:34
Will Mirana Be the Most Picked Hero at The International 2026?	3	$1.2K	1,262	0	+1,262	Yes	+$54	08-24 14:46
Will Chengdu Rongcheng be relegated from the 2026 Chinese Super League?	3	$1.1K	1,167	0	+1,167	open	—	09-10 19:59
will spacex have exactly 11 launches in june 2026	2	$1.1K	1,083	0	+1,083	No	+$29	06-25 03:55
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?	1	$1.0K	1,029	0	+1,029	Yes	+$2	07-25 07:52
blast bounty 2026 season 2 will there be a glock or usp ace 20260709160144261	1	$955	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$45	07-28 19:10
Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$898	582	400	+182	No	+$76	05-11 14:08
Will Cobresal win Chile Primera?	1	$880	881	0	+881	No	+$2	09-09 08:11
Will Nigma Galaxy have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?	1	$855	856	0	+856	No	+$1	08-20 23:38
will che adams score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$803	804	0	+804	No	+$1	06-27 23:08
lal gir vil 2026 04 06 spread away 1pt5	20	$800	2,000	1,900	+100	Girona FC	-$40	04-06 15:11
BLAST Open Porto 2026: 10+ Aces at the Event?	6	$746	789	43	+746	Yes	+$34	08-28 13:48
will spacex have exactly 13 launches in june 2026	1	$705	733	0	+733	No	+$28	06-29 02:59
Will there be 2-3 Rampages at The International 2026?	1	$699	752	0	+752	No	+$53	08-14 08:52
world cup will the usa play iran 20260623182026129	2	$666	669	0	+669	No	+$3	06-28 04:55
Will there be 0-1 Rampages at The International 2026?	2	$645	730	0	+730	No	+$85	08-14 02:52
BLAST Open Porto 2026: 10+ Knife Kills at the Event?	7	$619	468	200	+268	No	+$29	09-06 18:27
will project hail mary score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	5	$601	307	307	+0	Yes	+$11	03-10 01:37
will iraq go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622428	1	$596	604	0	+604	No	+$7	06-16 23:59
Will Team Cobra win PGL Wallachia Season 9?	1	$553	559	0	+559	No	+$6	09-22 12:45
Will Betclic Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?	2	$545	549	0	+549	Yes	+$4	08-05 19:51
Will 86-90 be the Longest Single Game Duration in The International 2026 (Minutes)	1	$538	544	0	+544	No	+$6	08-14 00:00
Will <80 be the Longest Single Game Duration in The International 2026 (Minutes)	1	$538	544	0	+544	No	+$6	08-13 21:45
Will 80-85 be the Longest Single Game Duration in The International 2026 (Minutes)	1	$538	544	0	+544	No	+$6	08-13 21:46
Will Team Falcons have the shallowest hero pool at EWC 2026?	3	$538	542	0	+542	Yes	+$4	07-18 01:11
Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?	4	$536	613	0	+613	Yes	+$4	08-24 08:43
Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?	4	$516	543	55	+488	No	+$13	08-24 08:43
the international 2026 comeback against mega creeps 20260811192502275	2	$467	500	0	+500	Yes	+$33	08-20 15:21
will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	5	$454	514	70	+444	Yes	+$29	07-07 16:22
Will IC x Insanity have the shallowest hero pool at EWC 2026?	2	$452	453	0	+453	No	+$1	07-14 04:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:28:46	Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x4bb55a…
10-27 00:04:44	Will Everton CD win Chile Primera?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x6780e0…
10-27 00:04:20	Will Coquimbo be runner-up in the 2026 Chile Primera?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x0821f7…
10-27 00:03:21	Will Deportes Concepción be runner-up in the 2026 Chile Primera?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xf1c24a…
10-27 00:02:42	Will Audax Italiano be runner-up in the 2026 Chile Primera?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x61b0ef…
10-25 14:42:57	Will Xtreme Gaming make a Dota 2 roster change before 2027?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x2b3715…
10-25 00:53:45	Will Þór Akureyri keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	211	99¢	$210	0x492176…
10-24 22:09:50	Will Víkingur Reykjavík keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x888850…
10-24 19:16:56	Will KA Akureyri finish 10th in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x109c9b…
10-24 19:10:20	Will KA Akureyri finish 10th in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0145c6…
10-24 16:21:17	Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xa19158…
10-24 16:14:08	Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien?	Yes	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0xea1ce0…
10-24 16:13:44	Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien?	Yes	SELL	38	44¢	$17	0x5e8463…
10-24 12:12:03	Will Stjarnan finish 10th in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf0fc65…
10-24 11:53:59	Will Shandong Taishan finish 3rd in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	95	97¢	$92	0x1546ea…
10-24 01:17:00	Will Valur Reykjavík finish 10th in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$159	0xe15efe…
10-22 10:06:41	Will Team Yandex make a Dota 2 roster change before 2027?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x0b23d6…
10-22 10:06:02	Will Xtreme Gaming make a Dota 2 roster change before 2027?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x0ab097…
10-22 06:14:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	120	98¢	$117	0x60a6ba…
10-19 15:12:48	Will KR Reykjavík be runner-up in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x9ad79d…
10-19 15:12:00	Will Fram Reykjavík be runner-up in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$52	0xce2533…
10-19 15:11:36	Will KR Reykjavík be runner-up in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Yes	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0xa664b2…
10-19 06:25:48	Will Orlando Pride win the 2026 NWSL?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0xb2785b…
10-19 06:25:36	Will Orlando Pride be runner-up in the 2026 NWSL?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x8a1f80…
10-18 12:55:32	Will Qingdao West Coast be runner-up in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x045cbe…
10-17 14:41:59	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x098971…
10-17 12:18:11	Will Shanghai Port be runner-up in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	158	99¢	$156	0x103571…
10-17 12:13:32	Will Shanghai Port be runner-up in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x710408…
10-16 01:13:18	China ballistic missile launch by December 31?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xbb9be0…
10-14 14:57:52	Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	166	24¢	$40	0x1585ae…
10-09 21:56:34	Will Yunnan Yukun keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd334ed…
10-09 21:56:22	Will Shanghai Port keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xeabc3a…
10-09 20:11:38	Will Shanghai Port keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x304778…
10-09 20:11:26	Will Henan keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x6ae2f6…
10-09 20:05:46	Will Yunnan Yukun keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xba11a1…
10-09 20:05:34	Will Henan keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x385e9a…
10-09 19:53:31	Will Zhejiang finish 3rd in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x2eb484…
10-09 19:51:28	Will Henan finish 3rd in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x872a71…
10-09 19:51:08	Will Shenzhen Peng City finish 3rd in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xada4d3…
10-09 08:04:57	Will Dalian Kun City be promoted to Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe94524…
10-08 18:54:02	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x084bc6…
10-05 16:46:20	Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x97b670…
10-02 20:30:30	Will BetBoom Team win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5af601…
10-02 20:30:14	Will Team Liquid win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0xe11e8b…
10-02 08:22:56	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	82	23¢	$19	0x050a24…
10-01 11:31:20	Will SpaceX have 17+ launches in October 2026?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xf67bda…
09-28 05:11:45	Will Houston Dash be runner-up in the 2026 NWSL?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x98cdd2…
09-28 05:09:45	Will Bay FC be runner-up in the 2026 NWSL?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x50eaba…
09-28 05:09:24	Will Bay FC win the 2026 NWSL?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xee1edd…
09-27 13:59:29	Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?	No	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0xf5e886…
09-27 13:17:14	Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?	No	BUY	79	10¢	$8	0x29da2e…
09-27 10:50:02	Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xdd0b88…
09-27 10:34:20	Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?	No	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xdac0ca…
09-27 10:34:20	Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x8d0fcd…
09-26 10:21:33	Will GamerLegion win PGL Wallachia Season 9?	No	BUY	211	99¢	$210	0x6bbca4…
09-26 06:43:51	Will Boston Legacy FC be runner-up in the 2026 NWSL?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x5ab5ad…
09-26 06:43:39	Will Racing Louisville FC be runner-up in the 2026 NWSL?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x5c113c…
09-26 06:43:27	Will Chicago Stars FC be runner-up in the 2026 NWSL?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x15d449…
09-26 06:42:53	Will Boston Legacy FC win the 2026 NWSL?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x63eae3…
09-26 06:42:38	Will Racing Louisville FC win the 2026 NWSL?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xbc4767…
09-26 06:42:26	Will Chicago Stars FC win the 2026 NWSL?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x3a87dc…
09-25 22:31:47	will theunitedstrand get a haircut by 2026 27 season end	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x86c06f…
09-25 01:47:51	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	96	28¢	$27	0x9f4eb2…
09-25 01:47:08	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	267	22¢	$59	0x678e44…
09-24 15:56:06	will theunitedstrand get a haircut by 2026 27 season end	Yes	SELL	17	33¢	$6	0x31c761…
09-24 02:40:47	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	155	24¢	$37	0xda0a74…
09-23 14:58:39	will theunitedstrand get a haircut by 2026 27 season end	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xe89b21…
09-23 14:00:29	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	74	28¢	$21	0x72ef56…
09-23 03:04:20	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xea2d4c…
09-22 12:45:58	Will Team Cobra win PGL Wallachia Season 9?	No	BUY	559	99¢	$553	0xa27a6a…
09-22 05:29:09	Will FS Jelgava finish 3rd in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc302cb…
09-22 05:01:12	Will Narva Trans finish 3rd in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x7b31e3…
09-22 00:15:37	Will KA Akureyri keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbf93c9…
09-22 00:15:18	Will Fram Reykjavík keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8cd150…
09-22 00:15:06	Will ÍA Akranes keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x616a93…
09-21 12:06:15	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x2e91af…
09-21 11:16:08	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xba99bf…
09-20 23:46:19	Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien?	Yes	BUY	189	23¢	$43	0xd17566…
09-18 00:24:01	ren zhengfei public appearance by september 30	No	SELL	51	80¢	$41	0xb4e872…
09-17 12:44:48	ren zhengfei public appearance by september 30	No	BUY	51	69¢	$35	0x77d74e…
09-17 12:14:27	ren zhengfei confirmed outside china by december 31	No	BUY	70	82¢	$57	0x87b0e6…
09-15 06:29:16	Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0xa95e8f…
09-15 02:55:12	Will ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$65	0xcd9056…
09-15 02:54:54	Will Valur Reykjavík keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$65	0x5e2c48…
09-15 02:54:31	Will KR Reykjavík keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$65	0x6ef7bb…
09-14 14:53:16	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x895aa5…
09-14 03:29:16	Will ÍA Akranes finish 3rd in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x18d25a…
09-14 01:05:15	Will Nublense win Chile Primera?	No	BUY	134	99¢	$132	0xa58ab5…
09-12 16:02:39	Will Wuhan Three Towns finish 3rd in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8073cf…
09-12 16:02:33	Will Liaoning Tieren finish 3rd in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9fd837…
09-12 16:00:25	Will Henan be runner-up in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdb5e69…
09-12 16:00:10	Will Henan be runner-up in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x818379…
09-12 03:50:21	Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0xcfa1f7…
09-12 00:23:55	Will Wuhan Three Towns keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3409d4…
09-12 00:23:43	Will Zhejiang keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3865f0…
09-11 12:11:16	Will Shandong Taishan be relegated from the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xbe5d43…
09-11 10:39:39	Will Beijing Guoan be relegated from the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x72388d…
09-10 19:59:04	Will Chengdu Rongcheng be relegated from the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	1,123	92¢	$1,030	0xbcedbb…
09-10 16:55:07	Will Khorazm win the 2026 Uzbekistan Super League?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc56dfa…
09-10 16:54:54	Will Surkhon win the 2026 Uzbekistan Super League?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1968ee…