Natural-Rehospitalization — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$481

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved (30d)

892

Trades (30d)

2,605

29,938 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$25.3K

$238.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$54

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 11-11 17:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 251 days

Categories

Other

68% 81% +$270

Crypto

32% 94% -$666

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 45% +$7

Politics

0% 75% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	+37	$32	88¢	$33	+$1	11-11 14:48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on November 11?	No	+16	$10	100¢	$16	+$6	11-10 14:21
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	No	+6	$5	84¢	$5	$0	11-09 08:16
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on November 12?	No	+1	$1	70¢	$1	$0	11-11 14:03
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 12?	Yes	+35	$19	0¢	$0	-$19	11-11 17:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8?	58	$1.8K	1,020	1,020	+0	No	+$69	10-08 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?	56	$1.4K	715	715	+0	Yes	+$39	07-31 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?	18	$1.3K	678	678	+0	Yes	+$8	08-20 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?	69	$1.3K	780	780	+0	Yes	-$50	08-01 08:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?	15	$1.0K	536	536	+0	Yes	+$14	09-26 01:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3?	62	$985	536	536	+0	No	+$36	07-03 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 17?	9	$955	512	512	+0	No	+$39	10-17 07:50
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?	15	$936	509	509	+0	Yes	+$78	10-01 16:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?	23	$905	474	474	+0	No	+$21	06-19 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?	70	$904	509	508	+1	Yes	+$37	07-25 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 21?	82	$901	686	686	+0	Yes	-$206	08-21 07:05
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?	32	$869	503	503	+0	Yes	+$61	08-02 16:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 27?	43	$793	434	434	+0	No	+$36	07-27 10:20
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 18?	19	$787	457	457	+0	Yes	+$125	08-18 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?	42	$785	406	406	+0	No	+$19	06-21 08:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 11?	53	$773	738	475	+263	Yes	-$319	10-11 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 6?	71	$767	450	450	+0	No	+$14	09-06 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4?	61	$714	477	477	+0	Yes	-$71	08-04 07:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 3?	48	$701	378	378	+0	No	+$29	09-03 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?	26	$679	368	368	+0	No	+$31	10-09 08:28
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 15?	7	$668	353	353	+0	No	+$30	08-15 04:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 23?	14	$666	354	354	+0	Yes	+$35	08-23 11:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?	13	$634	388	388	+0	Yes	-$59	08-06 08:45
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 20?	19	$632	598	598	+0	Yes	-$255	08-20 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 1?	43	$629	341	341	+0	No	+$35	11-01 06:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 20?	25	$610	350	350	+0	Yes	+$38	08-20 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?	51	$607	321	321	+0	Yes	+$19	06-25 11:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 23?	9	$606	311	311	+0	Yes	+$14	10-23 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 26?	21	$605	330	325	+5	No	+$48	10-26 08:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?	26	$604	379	379	+0	Yes	+$2	08-04 15:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 17:48:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbc3fb8…
11-11 15:58:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa04147…
11-11 15:58:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x15ae25…
11-11 15:58:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xff71db…
11-11 14:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x2c8d1f…
11-11 14:03:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on November 12?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3b7031…
11-11 13:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x595f83…
11-11 08:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xafc29f…
11-11 07:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 11?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x9ec869…
11-11 07:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6181f5…
11-11 07:39:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x15989f…
11-11 07:22:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1d3ba1…
11-11 07:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1feff3…
11-11 07:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf3e213…
11-11 07:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x51a8b7…
11-11 07:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xe88986…
11-11 07:08:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x823705…
11-11 07:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xcc2d27…
11-11 07:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x058596…
11-11 06:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xdb3f22…
11-11 06:58:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xaf113e…
11-11 06:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x6ea644…
11-11 06:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xce725a…
11-11 06:39:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdf9d79…
11-11 06:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0xee89f1…
11-11 06:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xb65972…
11-11 06:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0xd2eddd…
11-11 06:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x695140…
11-11 06:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x1e08a4…
11-11 06:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x165ffe…
11-11 06:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa2d723…
11-11 05:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x83e493…
11-11 05:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0x848980…
11-11 05:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfdd395…
11-11 05:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x906fd9…
11-11 05:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x7eb8e4…
11-11 05:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x5cb29f…
11-11 05:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x8985d6…
11-11 05:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xb41743…
11-11 05:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x55386c…
11-11 05:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6d146c…
11-11 04:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x832149…
11-11 04:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x2fb9c3…
11-11 04:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x4cab0b…
11-11 04:02:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x07b77b…
11-11 04:02:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x79763e…
11-11 03:58:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x452a9a…
11-11 03:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x128387…
11-11 03:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x0de100…
11-11 03:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x0b4155…
11-11 03:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0xa974e1…
11-11 03:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xc8a115…
11-11 03:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x21389e…
11-11 03:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9554d6…
11-11 03:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xe3891a…
11-11 03:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5be5cb…
11-11 03:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x8f7022…
11-11 03:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x36248f…
11-11 03:12:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb51024…
11-11 03:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd25399…
11-11 02:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x11ce75…
11-11 02:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x7b96fa…
11-11 02:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x68d330…
11-11 01:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xebbecf…
11-11 01:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x226bee…
11-11 01:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x666e56…
11-11 01:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	92	58¢	$54	0x9e28d3…
11-10 14:21:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on November 11?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xfb571c…
11-10 14:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x3e93db…
11-10 14:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xcf222d…
11-10 14:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xd9968c…
11-10 14:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xa61738…
11-10 13:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	BUY	42	55¢	$23	0x0608bb…
11-10 13:35:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 11?	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xb4f4cc…
11-10 13:34:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	SELL	132	1¢	$2	0x9c6999…
11-10 13:23:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0xe0a887…
11-10 13:23:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x923861…
11-10 12:53:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x0f4e64…
11-10 12:25:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x9db4e6…
11-10 12:20:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	BUY	18	75¢	$14	0xaae74a…
11-10 12:19:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x28ec74…
11-10 12:13:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xb03d5a…
11-10 12:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x5e4fd4…
11-10 12:08:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 11?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x442588…
11-10 11:54:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xb7c6fd…
11-10 11:54:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x88267f…
11-10 11:54:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xf1a8ec…
11-10 11:54:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa60a19…
11-10 11:54:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x8cd2b6…
11-10 11:51:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 10?	No	SELL	80	16¢	$13	0xdc7a3d…
11-10 11:50:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	BUY	35	81¢	$28	0x40855c…
11-10 11:27:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xf7a45e…
11-10 11:16:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x8be8af…
11-10 11:09:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x633682…
11-10 11:03:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x349178…
11-10 10:55:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x72b0df…
11-10 10:55:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x806878…
11-10 10:55:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xbcc1b0…
11-10 10:55:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 10?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1842dc…
11-10 10:55:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 10?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5cf8da…