Natural-Rehospitalization — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$133

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved (90d)

1,512

Trades (90d)

5,769

29,298 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$79.6K

$234.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$50

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 11-13 10:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 253 days

Categories

Other

68% 81% +$233

Crypto

32% 94% -$669

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 45% +$7

Politics

0% 75% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	Yes		+73	$45	68¢	$49	+$4	11-13 10:24
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 13?	No		+1	$1	92¢	$1	$0	11-12 12:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8?	58	$1.8K	1,020	1,020	+0	No	+$69	10-08 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?	56	$1.4K	715	715	+0	Yes	+$39	07-31 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?	18	$1.3K	678	678	+0	Yes	+$8	08-20 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?	69	$1.3K	780	780	+0	Yes	-$50	08-01 08:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?	15	$1.0K	536	536	+0	Yes	+$14	09-26 01:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3?	62	$985	536	536	+0	No	+$36	07-03 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 17?	9	$955	512	512	+0	No	+$39	10-17 07:50
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?	15	$936	509	509	+0	Yes	+$78	10-01 16:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?	23	$905	474	474	+0	No	+$21	06-19 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?	70	$904	509	508	+1	Yes	+$37	07-25 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 21?	82	$901	686	686	+0	Yes	-$206	08-21 07:05
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?	32	$869	503	503	+0	Yes	+$61	08-02 16:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 27?	43	$793	434	434	+0	No	+$36	07-27 10:20
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 18?	19	$787	457	457	+0	Yes	+$125	08-18 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?	42	$785	406	406	+0	No	+$19	06-21 08:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 11?	53	$773	738	475	+263	Yes	-$319	10-11 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 6?	71	$767	450	450	+0	No	+$14	09-06 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4?	61	$714	477	477	+0	Yes	-$71	08-04 07:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 3?	48	$701	378	378	+0	No	+$29	09-03 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?	26	$679	368	368	+0	No	+$31	10-09 08:28
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 15?	7	$668	353	353	+0	No	+$30	08-15 04:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 23?	14	$666	354	354	+0	Yes	+$35	08-23 11:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?	13	$634	388	388	+0	Yes	-$59	08-06 08:45
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 20?	19	$632	598	598	+0	Yes	-$255	08-20 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 1?	43	$629	341	341	+0	No	+$35	11-01 06:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 20?	25	$610	350	350	+0	Yes	+$38	08-20 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?	51	$607	321	321	+0	Yes	+$19	06-25 11:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 23?	9	$606	311	311	+0	Yes	+$14	10-23 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 26?	21	$605	330	325	+5	No	+$48	10-26 08:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?	26	$604	379	379	+0	Yes	+$2	08-04 15:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 10:24:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xd3d3f1…
11-13 10:09:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0x195c34…
11-13 10:09:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x25c336…
11-13 10:03:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	52	67¢	$35	0xce2ff2…
11-13 08:06:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf0db21…
11-13 07:55:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x6362fa…
11-13 07:44:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x5e4b1d…
11-13 07:44:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xc39568…
11-13 06:45:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf68dcc…
11-13 06:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	No	SELL	77	99¢	$77	0xb60b10…
11-13 06:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0e130f…
11-13 06:00:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 13?	No	SELL	32	88¢	$28	0xcda90e…
11-13 05:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xb249a5…
11-13 05:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x17e9be…
11-13 04:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x4aecc5…
11-13 04:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x8b97a7…
11-13 03:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4eca2b…
11-13 01:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x5a59da…
11-13 00:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0a86a3…
11-12 16:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x27eb98…
11-12 16:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x491649…
11-12 16:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb6ae86…
11-12 16:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x278d7e…
11-12 16:35:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x21a672…
11-12 16:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf1c441…
11-12 16:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x96c888…
11-12 16:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5316dd…
11-12 16:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x937708…
11-12 16:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xee7325…
11-12 16:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe4d1bf…
11-12 16:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xe84c61…
11-12 16:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xd634fc…
11-12 16:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x4fb759…
11-12 16:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc22f49…
11-12 15:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x5ae0f7…
11-12 15:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x25c2cc…
11-12 15:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x8ae54f…
11-12 15:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb9dc70…
11-12 13:28:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 13?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xdd8799…
11-12 12:57:07	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x90e2e0…
11-12 12:55:52	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x64e3db…
11-12 12:44:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 13?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x653a44…
11-12 12:43:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 13?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7a5924…
11-12 12:42:33	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	129	22¢	$28	0xcbe059…
11-12 08:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xbbaba4…
11-12 08:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x12132d…
11-12 07:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xc33b6a…
11-12 07:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xbc4f1d…
11-12 05:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x4c4b68…
11-12 05:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x3b0662…
11-12 05:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xf9a660…
11-12 05:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x4fdd8a…
11-12 05:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf15251…
11-12 04:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	BUY	46	72¢	$33	0xb6b059…
11-12 04:43:33	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x56c643…
11-12 02:22:27	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xb47f9b…
11-12 02:22:15	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x15dcf9…
11-12 02:21:57	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x0f0149…
11-12 01:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xf61cc8…
11-12 00:23:48	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x215dcb…
11-12 00:23:09	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7ef343…
11-12 00:09:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x2d6084…
11-11 17:48:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbc3fb8…
11-11 15:58:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa04147…
11-11 15:58:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x15ae25…
11-11 15:58:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xff71db…
11-11 14:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x2c8d1f…
11-11 14:03:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on November 12?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3b7031…
11-11 13:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x595f83…
11-11 08:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xafc29f…
11-11 07:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 11?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x9ec869…
11-11 07:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6181f5…
11-11 07:39:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x15989f…
11-11 07:22:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1d3ba1…
11-11 07:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1feff3…
11-11 07:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf3e213…
11-11 07:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x51a8b7…
11-11 07:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xe88986…
11-11 07:08:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x823705…
11-11 07:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xcc2d27…
11-11 07:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 12?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x058596…
11-11 06:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xdb3f22…
11-11 06:58:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xaf113e…
11-11 06:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x6ea644…
11-11 06:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xce725a…
11-11 06:39:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdf9d79…
11-11 06:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0xee89f1…
11-11 06:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xb65972…
11-11 06:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0xd2eddd…
11-11 06:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x695140…
11-11 06:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x1e08a4…
11-11 06:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x165ffe…
11-11 06:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa2d723…
11-11 05:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x83e493…
11-11 05:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0x848980…
11-11 05:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfdd395…
11-11 05:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x906fd9…
11-11 05:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x7eb8e4…
11-11 05:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x5cb29f…
11-11 05:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x8985d6…