Poised-Side — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

316

Trades

615

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-23 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

78% 57% -$20

Crypto

12% 54% -$7

Politics

9% 35% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$68	37	37	+0	No	-$2	09-30 00:05
Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?	2	$64	35	35	+0	No	+$4	09-28 15:00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	4	$64	54	54	+0	No	+$2	09-30 00:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	6	$37	33	33	+0	No	+$5	04-26 06:27
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 6.5	3	$22	11	11	+0	Under	+$0	10-20 20:24
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 2 - 0 Estudiantes de La Plata?	2	$20	12	12	+0	No	+$0	10-23 01:20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	10-17 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	10-16 14:01
Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 3.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	10-22 00:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	5	$19	32	11	+21	No	-$1	04-25 08:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	2	$18	13	13	+0	No	+$6	04-26 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 3?	4	$17	15	15	+0	Yes	-$5	05-04 05:15
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-06 01:19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$16	1,003	1,003	+0	No	-$4	10-04 11:55
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 30?	6	$16	18	18	+0	Yes	-$1	09-30 14:10
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	3	$14	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	09-20 23:42
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 21?	4	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$0	05-21 06:37
Will XRP dip to $1.30 on May 19?	2	$11	7	7	+0	No	+$1	05-19 13:30
will ethereum dip to 2400 october 12 18 2026	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	10-14 18:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-29 17:02
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 21?	4	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-21 06:37
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 27?	2	$9	6	6	+0	Yes	-$1	05-27 20:43
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	4	$9	15	15	+0	No	-$3	10-15 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?	4	$8	8	8	+0	No	+$0	04-29 20:18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 31?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$3	06-01 05:45
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C or higher on May 4?	7	$8	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	05-04 17:43
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 24?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	05-25 01:14
Will JPMorgan say "Apple" during earnings call?	4	$7	7	7	+0	No	$0	10-12 03:44
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	04-22 14:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 2?	3	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	10-02 17:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 15:23:33	Exact Score: Al-Shamal 2 - 1 Qatar SC?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x66eebf…
10-23 14:52:35	Exact Score: FK Buxoro 2 - 1 FK Termez Surkhon?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x8348d7…
10-23 12:55:02	Exact Score: Al-Shamal 2 - 1 Qatar SC?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbda99a…
10-23 12:44:00	Exact Score: FK Buxoro 2 - 1 FK Termez Surkhon?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x27d58b…
10-23 11:49:45	Inter Kashi FC vs. East Bengal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xbccc4c…
10-23 11:48:29	Araz Nakhchivan PFK vs. Gabala FK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfa2972…
10-23 03:16:29	Araz Nakhchivan PFK vs. Gabala FK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x06087e…
10-23 03:15:53	Inter Kashi FC vs. East Bengal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd33f69…
10-23 01:24:42	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xec9ad3…
10-23 01:20:26	Exact Score: CR Flamengo 2 - 0 Estudiantes de La Plata?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0x777f62…
10-22 23:38:18	Exact Score: CR Flamengo 2 - 0 Estudiantes de La Plata?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf6d616…
10-22 23:37:08	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2d9fda…
10-22 16:53:12	Exact Score: Juventus FC 2 - 0 Stade Rennais FC 1901?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x117908…
10-22 15:37:00	Exact Score: Juventus FC 2 - 0 Stade Rennais FC 1901?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc00e80…
10-22 15:36:50	Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 1 Stade Rennais FC 1901?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xfe4699…
10-22 01:21:09	Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 0 - 1 Fluminense FC?	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0x9c31b6…
10-22 01:21:00	Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 0 Fluminense FC?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x017df8…
10-22 00:05:41	Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc1e457…
10-22 00:02:32	Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 0 - 1 Fluminense FC?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xba2c9f…
10-22 00:02:15	Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 0 Fluminense FC?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3cf8a0…
10-21 19:27:42	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x469edf…
10-21 19:27:27	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0xe6a823…
10-21 18:02:45	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	79	4¢	$3	0x53902b…
10-21 18:01:02	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd527e3…
10-21 17:17:57	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x68c89f…
10-21 17:17:44	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdab5c8…
10-21 16:49:50	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	59	4¢	$2	0x8b9d7e…
10-21 16:47:18	Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0xc208ff…
10-21 16:16:38	Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd59cb6…
10-21 16:16:05	Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xf736af…
10-21 16:13:35	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xaa77ee…
10-21 16:12:50	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x0c4c68…
10-21 03:03:02	CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc47999…
10-21 00:06:53	CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6ce9d7…
10-20 21:24:09	Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x49008b…
10-20 20:24:26	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x64ffaa…
10-20 19:55:42	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9d0575…
10-20 19:33:48	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xad685e…
10-20 19:25:15	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x7074d9…
10-20 19:10:47	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2c72da…
10-17 15:59:45	will bitcoin dip to 80k october 12 18 2026 from october 15	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x1ce8f9…
10-17 15:49:50	will bitcoin dip to 80k october 12 18 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfa52ff…
10-17 15:03:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x4e49e8…
10-16 16:53:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4c0a65…
10-16 14:01:39	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x74a2fc…
10-15 03:34:55	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x2890cb…
10-15 03:26:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x319dea…
10-15 02:04:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbbc6c2…
10-15 02:03:49	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x134357…
10-15 02:03:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x794898…
10-15 02:03:32	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0x1a1131…
10-14 23:53:55	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd64d06…
10-14 22:10:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf92741…
10-14 22:10:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xcb74e9…
10-14 18:55:58	will ethereum reach 2600 october 12 18 2026	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x27e350…
10-14 18:55:49	will ethereum dip to 2400 october 12 18 2026	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x26c51b…
10-14 16:43:28	will ethereum dip to 2400 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x62f869…
10-14 16:19:28	will ethereum reach 2600 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x1a53fb…
10-13 21:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 13?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe33d46…
10-13 21:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 13?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xb36a9f…
10-13 21:26:19	will bitcoin reach 84k october 12 18 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0820bc…
10-13 21:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbf51f6…
10-13 20:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2c67ab…
10-12 03:44:33	Will JPMorgan say "Apple" during earnings call?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xd4bdcc…
10-12 03:44:27	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x2b5b27…
10-12 03:44:15	Will Domino's say "Productivity" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x645f26…
10-12 03:44:08	Will JPMorgan say "Apple" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xa93ba7…
10-09 08:42:04	will jpmorgan say apple during earnings call october 13	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4a4978…
10-09 08:28:13	will jpmorgan say apple during earnings call october 13	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbdce3b…
10-09 02:06:36	will dominos say productivity during earnings call october 13	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xee1c11…
10-09 02:01:24	will trump say data center during his midterm rally in ohio october 12	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0e90d1…
10-08 03:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xbe812d…
10-08 03:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x664163…
10-08 03:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x915256…
10-08 03:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x70dbdc…
10-08 00:18:17	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 7?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa71bdd…
10-08 00:15:01	Nothing Ever Happens: October	Nothing	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x55681f…
10-07 18:56:16	Nothing Ever Happens: October	Nothing	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xab09c7…
10-07 18:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7093c9…
10-07 11:23:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0xbd23fc…
10-07 04:27:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8a3290…
10-07 04:26:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x2c6fdb…
10-07 04:26:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe72d93…
10-06 06:21:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x86f2f2…
10-06 05:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x9357d4…
10-06 05:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 6?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x992ffc…
10-06 05:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa62cfc…
10-06 04:32:57	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe99b2e…
10-06 04:17:58	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 5?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfaa2e4…
10-06 04:14:46	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd3e7c9…
10-04 13:10:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x189968…
10-04 12:45:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	227	1¢	$2	0x90cabb…
10-04 12:45:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	No	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x46361a…
10-04 12:22:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd36919…
10-04 11:55:37	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xa0b449…
10-04 11:55:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,003	1¢	$6	0xe2f2d7…
10-04 05:33:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,003	1¢	$10	0xf7cf13…
10-04 05:30:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x14fc72…
10-04 05:17:49	Will "The Odyssey" receive between 12 and 13 Oscar nominations?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x452de1…
10-04 02:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x0f992e…