Profuse-Poisoning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$2.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$44

1 position

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-22 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

80% 100% +$3

Other

20% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No		+47	$44	94¢	$44	+$0	06-22 12:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	13	$248	128	128	+0	open	—	06-04 05:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	8	$241	124	124	+0	open	—	05-15 12:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	13	$187	211	211	+0	open	—	05-21 21:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$159	84	84	+0	open	—	05-11 14:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	7	$156	107	161	-54	open	—	05-20 23:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	10	$125	185	185	+0	open	—	05-28 08:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$107	56	56	+0	open	—	05-29 06:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	6	$106	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-10 16:19
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	3	$105	58	58	+0	open	—	04-27 19:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	4	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	05-14 00:01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	6	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	06-02 22:01
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	4	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	04-30 03:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	8	$72	106	106	+0	open	—	05-12 11:18
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$71	37	37	+0	open	—	04-26 10:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$56	66	120	-54	open	—	05-26 00:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	05-20 06:46
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	2	$44	47	0	+47	open	—	06-22 12:41
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	3	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-27 12:22
Iran leadership change by May 31?	4	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-26 15:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	5	$25	119	119	+0	open	—	05-18 21:53
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	4	$17	232	232	+0	open	—	05-27 04:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$16	118	118	+0	No	+$3	05-03 22:00
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	04-26 04:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$5	54	54	+0	open	—	05-06 23:08
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	5	$5	114	114	+0	open	—	05-29 20:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$4	0	53	-53	open	—	05-25 08:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	2	$3	64	64	+0	open	—	06-01 04:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$3	38	38	+0	open	—	05-21 03:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 12:41:31	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x6fbefe…
06-22 12:41:29	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xbbd5a0…
06-04 05:55:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x9952da…
06-04 04:01:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0xfc5699…
06-04 04:01:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xadd849…
06-04 00:01:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xe8247c…
06-04 00:01:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x87f2eb…
06-02 22:01:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf73397…
06-02 22:01:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0xcb8a17…
06-02 22:01:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0xaefca5…
06-02 22:01:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x19a6f4…
06-02 17:55:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xbf43f6…
06-02 17:55:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x126a97…
06-02 06:44:53	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xf20d4b…
06-02 06:44:53	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x86e390…
06-02 06:44:53	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x171649…
06-02 02:47:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8254e4…
06-02 02:47:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x804b8e…
06-01 20:16:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xe89e07…
06-01 20:16:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x2d0f29…
06-01 19:33:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x287d5a…
06-01 04:26:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	2¢	$1	0xbb4160…
06-01 01:18:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0xc1bbf1…
05-29 20:40:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0xf08baa…
05-29 20:40:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x91a4fe…
05-29 20:40:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x4aba93…
05-29 20:40:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$0	0x2fadef…
05-29 19:05:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	114	2¢	$3	0x43858e…
05-29 06:30:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0xb8ef8d…
05-29 06:30:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0xb09ee0…
05-29 05:07:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$53	0xd7fbe9…
05-28 08:07:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	8¢	$2	0x4da873…
05-28 08:06:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xad9baf…
05-28 08:06:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	8¢	$3	0x6c8597…
05-28 08:06:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x66a0fd…
05-28 05:28:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	7¢	$9	0x1b0f49…
05-27 19:31:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0xcfce7e…
05-27 19:31:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x97b928…
05-27 19:31:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x317c7c…
05-27 14:15:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0x8d5c2c…
05-27 14:15:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0x08250b…
05-27 04:23:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	116	4¢	$5	0xc8da51…
05-27 02:31:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$4	0xe65cd5…
05-26 15:13:10	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe77a6a…
05-26 15:13:10	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x6315a1…
05-26 10:45:58	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaa3693…
05-26 10:45:58	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x043b3e…
05-26 00:00:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	66	3¢	$2	0x79d1ae…
05-25 21:35:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	66	4¢	$2	0x8375a8…
05-25 21:30:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x6a4c4c…
05-25 21:30:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbc2e3f…
05-25 21:30:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0x399005…
05-25 15:40:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	116	4¢	$5	0xa387f5…
05-25 14:21:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	116	2¢	$2	0x08b0b9…
05-25 08:29:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0xaad3c2…
05-25 08:29:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x49b651…
05-21 21:25:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x34bff5…
05-21 21:24:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x76b82c…
05-21 21:14:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x586065…
05-21 21:14:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xcbe66b…
05-21 21:09:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0xc657bb…
05-21 21:03:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xea2d14…
05-21 21:03:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x2c2f9a…
05-21 19:55:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	118	3¢	$4	0x8c5421…
05-21 14:21:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0xd56b32…
05-21 14:21:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xb1812c…
05-21 14:21:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x1c2947…
05-21 10:25:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xee74e6…
05-21 10:25:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x0e42c9…
05-21 03:42:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	4¢	$2	0x74b8c8…
05-21 02:37:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x982ede…
05-21 02:37:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x6dc775…
05-20 23:42:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	41	93¢	$38	0x8557b1…
05-20 23:41:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xf70a56…
05-20 22:45:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x0d48ee…
05-20 20:46:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xc4ffe5…
05-20 20:46:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0x5e21ad…
05-20 20:05:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	6¢	$3	0x5f4bdf…
05-20 19:41:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0xdcc06a…
05-20 06:46:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xb1122b…
05-18 21:53:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xd7895e…
05-18 21:53:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	94	1¢	$1	0x326120…
05-18 17:13:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	108	2¢	$2	0x4556fe…
05-18 09:48:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x637b51…
05-18 08:15:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc8698c…
05-15 12:39:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x1d3d34…
05-15 12:39:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x5a55a8…
05-15 09:48:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x2eefdb…
05-15 09:35:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x6a5d70…
05-15 08:39:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x7fad89…
05-15 04:48:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x439f2e…
05-15 04:48:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0xefc40d…
05-15 01:22:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xdc5373…
05-14 00:01:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xebf270…
05-14 00:01:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xa132b7…
05-13 19:21:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xe27ddf…
05-13 19:21:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x500f11…
05-12 11:18:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xa3c707…
05-12 11:18:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x96dc20…
05-12 07:33:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xa2846d…