Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$253

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

37.8%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$6.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$344

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-09 09:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

41% 27% +$258

Crypto

40% 75% +$0

Politics

13% 27% -$2

Sports

4% 0% -$1

Tech

2% 0% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 0% —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No		+250	$222	90¢	$226	+$4	07-09 09:14
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		-120	-$112	98¢	$-118	-$6	05-17 14:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	12	$1.6K	801	801	+0	No	$0	02-28 15:35
will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	02-28 14:16
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$306	200	110	+90	No	+$1	07-09 09:14
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	6	$277	150	150	+0	No	+$0	07-09 08:32
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$242	200	200	+0	No	-$1	07-09 09:10
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	2	$228	150	78	+72	No	+$0	02-28 14:16
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	1	$222	250	0	+250	open	—	07-09 09:14
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	+$0	02-28 14:16
dota2 z10 avl 2026 02 11	1	$216	400	0	+400	Zero Tenacity	+$184	02-11 08:38
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	03-28 14:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$158	400	400	+0	Yes	-$14	07-09 09:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$156	200	200	+0	open	—	07-09 07:29
lol t1a dkc 2026 01 26	2	$145	250	0	+250	T1 Academy	+$105	01-25 17:52
lol ktc drxc 2026 02 26	1	$120	400	0	+400	KT Rolster Challengers	-$120	02-25 07:34
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$112	0	120	-120	open	—	05-17 14:13
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	1	$109	110	0	+110	No	+$1	05-17 15:12
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	8	$103	103	103	+0	Yes	-$1	07-09 09:11
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260623205144679 693 339 754	2	$95	100	100	+0	No	-$3	07-09 09:11
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	5	$90	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-09 06:56
wta ostapen osorio 2026 02 11	1	$89	202	0	+202	Ostapenko	-$89	02-11 08:16
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	4	$85	217	217	+0	Yes	-$2	07-09 08:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$82	200	200	+0	No	$0	07-09 08:21
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	4	$71	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-17 15:10
Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	4	$68	40	40	+0	No	-$1	05-17 15:10
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	2	$62	200	200	+0	No	+$2	07-09 09:11
will the dhs shutdown end between march 28 31 2026	14	$56	367	333	+34	No	-$2	03-28 14:09
lol drg gng 2026 02 11	1	$54	300	0	+300	GnG Amazigh	+$246	02-11 08:26
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	2	$50	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	07-09 08:14
israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	4	$40	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-09 07:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$39	50	50	+0	open	—	07-09 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 09:14:19	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	250	89¢	$222	0x0045bf…
07-09 09:14:07	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xba3715…
07-09 09:11:44	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x3cbd41…
07-09 09:11:38	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0xbc3102…
07-09 09:11:31	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$11	0xd12c62…
07-09 09:11:25	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xc6364b…
07-09 09:11:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xd7fe47…
07-09 09:11:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	400	18¢	$72	0xf044b0…
07-09 09:11:01	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260623205144679 693 339 754	Yes	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x7b19fa…
07-09 09:10:55	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x179aa6…
07-09 09:02:40	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0x5b7dd5…
07-09 09:02:31	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x0b82dd…
07-09 09:02:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x552581…
07-09 08:57:58	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xbbba24…
07-09 08:57:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xbb8d45…
07-09 08:55:40	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x0742e4…
07-09 08:47:10	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x27ef47…
07-09 08:35:31	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260623205144679 693 339 754	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xaaae4c…
07-09 08:32:19	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x51a994…
07-09 08:22:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xefdf8a…
07-09 08:21:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$41	0xf979a8…
07-09 08:18:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xf8b4ef…
07-09 08:17:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$41	0xea6dcd…
07-09 08:16:38	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	16	84¢	$14	0x77d459…
07-09 08:14:17	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0xb6d373…
07-09 08:13:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x39b399…
07-09 08:11:08	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x5fed42…
07-09 08:09:22	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x640ef8…
07-09 08:09:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x43f84d…
07-09 07:57:10	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x691eb3…
07-09 07:56:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x2d6d45…
07-09 07:54:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x2973ec…
07-09 07:50:23	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xccf4c5…
07-09 07:29:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0xcecfe6…
07-09 07:29:40	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	SELL	47	76¢	$35	0x6fc938…
07-09 07:29:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x6b37a1…
07-09 07:28:53	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xf16153…
07-09 07:28:38	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	90	15¢	$14	0x5fb172…
07-09 07:28:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x42335c…
07-09 07:27:53	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xe6dc1b…
07-09 07:26:17	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x3803eb…
07-09 07:22:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xc4db9b…
07-09 07:21:31	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	85	15¢	$13	0xba5d3e…
07-09 07:17:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xd46d93…
07-09 07:17:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x05bb66…
07-09 07:11:58	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	47	76¢	$35	0x19f448…
07-09 07:09:07	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0fba3b…
07-09 07:07:52	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x30ef3c…
07-09 06:56:26	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x3aebc9…
07-09 06:52:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xf842b0…
07-09 06:50:41	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x817ebf…
07-09 06:50:02	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0x30c7ca…
07-09 06:49:34	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xff6b1d…
07-09 06:47:38	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8d5713…
07-09 06:42:13	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$3	0x1e6963…
07-09 06:41:55	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0xc50403…
07-09 06:41:08	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x4178e6…
07-09 06:40:28	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x988c31…
07-09 06:39:50	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$3	0xfb8a50…
07-09 06:38:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xac16ac…
07-09 06:37:44	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x8eb8f8…
07-09 06:36:14	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xe1f18d…
07-09 06:32:56	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7b76d9…
07-09 06:27:29	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	25	90¢	$23	0x1adca5…
07-09 06:26:50	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x68e04d…
07-09 06:21:38	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x8b6299…
07-09 06:14:20	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x91e901…
07-09 06:13:55	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	17	21¢	$3	0xe4abe2…
07-09 06:13:26	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xd7499b…
07-09 06:12:31	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x6b1cf3…
07-09 06:12:25	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x867f28…
07-09 06:09:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	17	21¢	$3	0x65a5d3…
07-09 06:01:38	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xc1238d…
07-09 05:48:55	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x11508e…
07-09 05:42:31	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xe88823…
07-09 05:38:01	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	110	98¢	$108	0x236a33…
05-17 15:12:49	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x3cbeb1…
05-17 15:12:21	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x5ed628…
05-17 15:10:58	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $24.5B?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x340e4d…
05-17 15:10:53	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x383ac7…
05-17 15:10:44	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xdd69e6…
05-17 15:10:34	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x594763…
05-17 15:10:23	Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0xfa8583…
05-17 15:07:37	Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xae90ec…
05-17 15:07:06	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x3e14f0…
05-17 15:00:25	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xe46ce6…
05-17 14:53:04	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x006ce9…
05-17 14:52:39	Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x4f36c1…
05-17 14:51:01	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $24.5B?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x9ca400…
05-17 14:46:49	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x93ea58…
05-17 14:46:20	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x124fa7…
05-17 14:44:59	Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xb73470…
05-17 14:39:00	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x335394…
05-17 14:37:19	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x70a5a7…
05-17 14:37:03	Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x95808b…
05-17 14:35:30	Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x7e4cc6…
05-17 14:33:52	Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x5fa734…
05-17 14:28:29	Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x1cccca…
05-17 14:25:02	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x71aa50…
05-17 14:23:28	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x19fe74…