(anonymous) 0xb032ef…59c16c
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$113
Unrealized P&L
-$90
Hit rate
45.2%
Resolved
446
Trades
1,568
lifetime
Volume
$4.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$555
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 07-17 18:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
65% 84% +$54
Tech
26% 78% -$139
Politics
8% 89% -$17
Sports
1% 0% -$11
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes -120 -$19 82¢ $-98 -$80 07-13 11:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -150 -$22 56¢ $-84 -$62 07-01 01:42
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -120 -$13 69¢ $-82 -$69 06-24 10:24
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes -120 -$58 62¢ $-74 -$16 07-10 14:03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -150 -$93 36¢ $-55 +$39 07-11 01:38
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes -60 -$16 69¢ $-41 -$25 07-12 03:14
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -120 -$28 25¢ $-30 -$3 06-30 18:21
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes -117 -$18 24¢ $-28 -$10 07-08 19:30
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes -30 -$15 62¢ $-19 -$3 07-07 00:05
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes -90 -$55 16¢ $-14 +$41 07-08 11:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes -60 -$8 15¢ $-9 -$1 07-16 00:35
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -150 -$18 6¢ $-8 +$9 07-12 03:36
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes -119 -$9 2¢ $-3 +$6 06-24 11:44
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes -120 -$49 1¢ $-2 +$47 06-27 07:23
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes -30 -$2 4¢ $-1 +$0 07-03 17:33
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? Yes -120 -$10 1¢ $-1 +$9 06-24 16:20
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -120 -$7 1¢ $-1 +$6 07-11 15:12
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -90 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 07-07 21:59
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes -90 -$5 0¢ $-0 +$5 07-08 13:17
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? Yes -30 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 07-15 22:44
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes -60 -$8 0¢ $-0 +$7 06-10 08:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes -60 -$3 0¢ $-0 +$2 07-13 23:09
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -60 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-17 15:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes -58 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 07-03 07:44
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -60 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$2 06-13 20:56
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -60 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-25 21:49
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes -19 -$2 1¢ $-0 +$2 06-09 22:59
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? Yes -60 -$3 0¢ $-0 +$3 07-16 04:41
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes -30 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 07-15 21:10
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -60 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-14 07:14