Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
79.8%
Resolved
92
Trades
123
lifetime
Volume
$380
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$20
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-07 09:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Politics
41% 62% -$31
Other
32% 87% +$1
Crypto
18% 86% +$9
Sports
8% 100% +$2
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +4 $3 99¢ $4 +$1 09-21 20:56
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 09-21 21:01
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +3 $3 91¢ $3 $0 09-21 20:58
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3 $3 84¢ $3 +$0 09-06 22:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-10 12:06
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 10-03 08:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 09-06 22:07
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-03 08:52