Golden-Salmon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

Trades

573

lifetime

Volume

$138.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$241

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-04 15:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

69% 100% +$38

Other

26% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-100

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$21.2K	11,087	11,087	+0	open	—	05-27 03:13
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	13	$10.6K	5,342	5,342	+0	open	—	06-12 01:11
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	7	$6.8K	3,818	3,818	+0	open	—	06-12 15:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	8	$6.5K	4,381	2,848	+1,533	open	—	06-06 04:49
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	19	$5.9K	17,364	2,085	+15,279	open	—	06-16 08:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	8	$4.4K	2,707	2,707	+0	open	—	05-31 12:06
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	12	$4.0K	2,703	2,703	+0	open	—	03-07 11:44
afc u23 final china vs japan	6	$2.7K	1,561	1,561	+0	open	—	01-24 16:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	8	$2.6K	5,726	7,155	-1,429	open	—	06-16 02:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$2.4K	1,383	1,383	+0	open	—	05-31 12:07
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$2.2K	2,571	435	+2,136	open	—	01-25 02:29
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	2	$2.1K	1,116	1,116	+0	open	—	06-10 02:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	15	$2.1K	8,262	8,262	+0	open	—	06-16 02:41
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	6	$2.0K	2,373	100	+2,273	open	—	06-14 16:47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	2	$2.0K	1,087	1,087	+0	open	—	06-02 00:29
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	3	$2.0K	1,385	909	+476	open	—	05-29 00:55
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	2	$1.9K	1,099	1,099	+0	open	—	06-10 11:48
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	10	$1.8K	1,425	1,866	-440	open	—	03-28 03:25
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	4	$1.8K	1,261	1,261	+0	open	—	06-14 12:56
will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	2	$1.8K	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	06-10 11:48
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$1.7K	847	847	+0	open	—	03-15 06:30
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	5	$1.5K	2,274	1,762	+511	open	—	06-13 14:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	7	$1.4K	1,934	635	+1,299	open	—	06-15 03:22
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$1.2K	633	633	+0	open	—	07-04 00:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	4	$1.2K	1,080	962	+118	open	—	05-29 15:05
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$1.2K	601	601	+0	open	—	02-27 04:56
will russia enter rizdvianka by february 28	2	$1.1K	608	608	+0	open	—	02-28 07:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	4	$1.0K	592	592	+0	open	—	05-28 14:51
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	6	$1.0K	932	932	+0	open	—	03-10 15:58
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	01-25 04:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 15:09:31	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	645	93¢	$600	0xfc5088…
07-04 00:45:14	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	633	100¢	$632	0x4f9da3…
07-04 00:14:10	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	633	95¢	$600	0xdf1909…
06-30 03:50:47	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x1a5791…
06-30 03:50:25	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	SELL	189	74¢	$140	0xeebdd6…
06-30 03:41:29	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x2b3b03…
06-30 03:24:49	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x9f24bf…
06-30 02:37:34	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	31	11¢	$3	0x4c4372…
06-30 02:28:43	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	SELL	217	10¢	$22	0xb6996c…
06-30 02:17:40	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x20d02f…
06-30 01:24:41	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xf8403b…
06-27 13:33:38	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0xb02bf6…
06-26 02:34:56	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x528263…
06-23 01:59:07	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	SELL	378	100¢	$377	0xb72de1…
06-23 01:07:20	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	378	53¢	$200	0x3d7e4f…
06-22 01:29:23	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	649	77¢	$500	0xa7e001…
06-20 05:04:34	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	SELL	185	2¢	$4	0xc39fd9…
06-20 02:58:11	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xd5d98d…
06-19 02:12:22	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	SELL	179	42¢	$75	0xf9b5b2…
06-19 00:52:53	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x89c0ac…
06-17 05:19:47	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0xa70f91…
06-17 04:39:10	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xa36211…
06-17 04:26:01	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x55b41c…
06-17 00:51:26	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x02a57c…
06-16 08:18:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,837	3¢	$100	0xdca867…
06-16 02:43:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,858	2¢	$68	0x6c9bd7…
06-16 02:41:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8,262	1¢	$92	0xbb155d…
06-16 02:40:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	7,155	1¢	$76	0xce78fe…
06-15 14:08:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	92	6¢	$6	0x23db6b…
06-15 13:38:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,112	9¢	$100	0x8017cf…
06-15 03:22:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xe465ac…
06-15 03:21:39	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	No	SELL	281	34¢	$97	0xeb5ee0…
06-15 02:59:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	710	14¢	$100	0xde3455…
06-15 02:26:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	546	18¢	$100	0x53dcef…
06-15 01:20:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xcba676…
06-15 01:20:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0xc5e5f6…
06-15 01:19:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xf05f7f…
06-15 01:18:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	521	19¢	$100	0xb2697d…
06-15 01:12:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,255	9¢	$200	0x773172…
06-15 00:30:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x671a63…
06-15 00:27:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,235	16¢	$200	0xba13ff…
06-14 23:57:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	508	20¢	$100	0xb6067f…
06-14 23:56:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	505	20¢	$100	0x6ef92a…
06-14 23:56:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	498	20¢	$100	0xfd8d24…
06-14 23:48:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0xec3f7d…
06-14 23:45:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	599	17¢	$100	0x73415a…
06-14 22:45:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	375	27¢	$100	0x2b00fe…
06-14 16:50:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,259	79¢	$1,000	0xfbe380…
06-14 16:47:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	435	69¢	$300	0x32fa80…
06-14 15:43:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	1,124	89¢	$1,000	0xe9e758…
06-14 15:10:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x7bffd3…
06-14 14:23:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc8822c…
06-14 13:12:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xb5ce39…
06-14 13:08:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	602	83¢	$500	0x7d7f70…
06-14 12:56:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	1,261	74¢	$929	0x48f6db…
06-14 12:54:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	2,085	89¢	$1,847	0xcc7e89…
06-14 11:37:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0xdba664…
06-13 14:58:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	652	46¢	$300	0x157237…
06-13 14:53:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xa7b33b…
06-13 14:33:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x80b9c9…
06-13 14:22:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x6a535e…
06-13 13:39:15	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0x5aef24…
06-13 12:27:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x4e638e…
06-13 11:21:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	302	82¢	$247	0x446753…
06-13 11:21:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,273	79¢	$1,000	0x160373…
06-13 11:19:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	2,279	44¢	$1,000	0xf0644f…
06-13 11:17:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xa9f672…
06-12 21:47:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xafe807…
06-12 15:08:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	2,487	91¢	$2,259	0x895eff…
06-12 15:07:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x2b3993…
06-12 15:07:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x529117…
06-12 15:03:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	325	31¢	$100	0x07021f…
06-12 04:29:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0x6b7918…
06-12 03:54:03	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0xe9326a…
06-12 03:51:21	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa2b65c…
06-12 01:52:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	1,226	82¢	$1,000	0xaa2aa0…
06-12 01:21:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0x788f1d…
06-12 01:21:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	237	84¢	$200	0xb32d61…
06-12 01:17:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x273284…
06-12 01:17:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	309	65¢	$200	0xb7028b…
06-12 01:15:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	302	66¢	$200	0x36ac84…
06-12 01:11:10	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,342	99¢	$5,299	0x65b8cd…
06-12 00:49:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x6980d1…
06-12 00:38:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	1,142	88¢	$1,000	0x8e317f…
06-12 00:37:51	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	No	BUY	281	36¢	$100	0xeba194…
06-12 00:31:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x4d519a…
06-11 23:50:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x48555e…
06-11 23:49:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xc16f0a…
06-11 23:49:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xcee12d…
06-11 23:41:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	1,331	90¢	$1,201	0x3615bc…
06-11 23:41:10	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	167	26¢	$43	0x7f642a…
06-11 03:20:48	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	Yes	SELL	312	33¢	$103	0x0d889c…
06-11 03:20:43	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	Yes	SELL	416	27¢	$113	0xdbc6d2…
06-10 12:55:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0x866048…
06-10 11:54:09	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x741c4b…
06-10 11:48:21	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	SELL	1,099	82¢	$904	0x2528ab…
06-10 11:48:16	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	SELL	1,136	69¢	$785	0x332dd0…
06-10 11:47:36	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	Yes	BUY	416	24¢	$100	0xe2a774…
06-10 10:58:37	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0xcd35a4…
06-10 10:58:01	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0xa03cd9…