Dishonest-Goddess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.62K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

Trades

303

lifetime

Volume

$229.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$757

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-10 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

69% 70% -$5,829

Politics

31% 52% +$4,208

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	8	$21.2K	11,005	11,005	+0	No	+$543	05-25 11:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	12	$19.4K	13,854	7,423	+6,431	No	+$1,682	07-04 14:28
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	6	$19.4K	10,917	10,917	+0	No	+$2,415	06-01 00:40
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	9	$15.2K	7,762	7,762	+0	No	+$78	05-06 23:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	4	$13.3K	5,758	8,261	-2,503	No	-$254	06-08 11:34
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	8	$12.9K	6,844	6,844	+0	Yes	+$777	06-24 14:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	22	$11.8K	10,055	2,263	+7,792	No	+$457	05-31 12:01
starmer out by june 15 2026	7	$11.5K	5,893	5,893	+0	No	+$162	06-08 11:32
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	19	$9.4K	10,979	0	+10,979	No	+$1,544	05-01 07:52
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$8.1K	4,200	4,200	+0	Yes	+$231	05-12 08:25
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	8	$7.9K	4,426	4,426	+0	Yes	-$578	05-13 01:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$7.9K	8,260	0	+8,260	No	+$329	04-23 09:40
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	6	$5.7K	3,082	2,746	+335	No	+$51	05-12 08:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$5.7K	2,890	2,890	+0	No	+$29	04-28 02:59
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	8	$5.0K	5,362	0	+5,362	No	+$330	04-26 14:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	1	$4.5K	4,727	0	+4,727	No	+$192	04-25 01:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	1	$4.3K	4,350	0	+4,350	No	+$89	04-26 14:59
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$4.1K	5,830	5,830	+0	No	-$128	05-19 11:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$4.1K	2,061	2,061	+0	No	+$4	05-14 14:38
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	8	$4.0K	2,501	2,501	+0	No	-$650	06-08 11:43
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	1	$3.8K	4,402	0	+4,402	Yes	-$3,786	07-10 09:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	2	$3.8K	0	5,345	-5,345	No	-$1,578	04-30 02:55
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	2	$3.4K	3,660	0	+3,660	Yes	-$3,387	07-10 12:19
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	2	$3.3K	3,493	0	+3,493	Yes	+$223	06-24 14:14
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	3	$2.6K	2,824	0	+2,824	Yes	+$185	07-04 14:29
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$1.9K	1,980	0	+1,980	No	+$79	06-01 02:13
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	11	$1.5K	1,279	1,279	+0	Yes	-$643	05-25 00:43
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$1.4K	1,538	0	+1,538	Yes	+$149	05-09 05:36
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	2	$1.2K	1,270	0	+1,270	Yes	+$94	05-01 11:47
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	9	$1.1K	966	966	+0	No	-$689	05-19 20:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 12:19:14	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	2,100	92¢	$1,940	0x8f25e9…
07-10 09:44:11	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	1,560	93¢	$1,448	0xb92967…
07-10 09:43:58	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	4,402	86¢	$3,786	0x0f8ada…
07-05 10:40:20	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	130	91¢	$118	0xe7a1c0…
07-05 10:39:56	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	688	26¢	$179	0x16fe3a…
07-04 14:47:44	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	130	92¢	$120	0xeddc75…
07-04 14:47:05	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	510	98¢	$502	0xf758f2…
07-04 14:29:04	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	BUY	1,418	94¢	$1,333	0xaadc6e…
07-04 14:28:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	1,961	100¢	$1,957	0x208faf…
07-02 11:22:08	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	688	26¢	$179	0xce37a6…
07-02 09:36:50	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	BUY	1,398	93¢	$1,296	0x0f20f5…
06-30 10:16:32	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	No	BUY	295	96¢	$283	0x1492ae…
06-29 09:47:55	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	No	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xbdf8f8…
06-24 15:29:02	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	431	54¢	$235	0x232f91…
06-24 14:14:53	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	Yes	BUY	2,330	94¢	$2,190	0xa5a672…
06-24 14:13:04	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,484	100¢	$4,470	0x1bcf56…
06-24 13:21:50	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	131	65¢	$85	0x8ae01e…
06-24 12:31:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,350	69¢	$932	0x2969ce…
06-24 12:30:46	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x0cdb1b…
06-24 12:30:38	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	560	100¢	$558	0x6d4018…
06-24 12:24:40	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	Yes	BUY	1,164	93¢	$1,080	0x05ecd7…
06-24 12:18:58	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,494	0xdada56…
06-24 02:04:46	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	431	52¢	$224	0x74e932…
06-24 02:04:28	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0x09f500…
06-24 02:02:08	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x5031bc…
06-22 01:02:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	190	87¢	$165	0x0ba2e7…
06-22 00:45:35	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x0b3762…
06-22 00:45:13	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	75	38¢	$29	0x82cc07…
06-22 00:42:34	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xd623c1…
06-22 00:42:23	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	90	30¢	$27	0xc4f04d…
06-22 00:41:55	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$15	0x86d8c8…
06-22 00:41:34	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	SELL	157	35¢	$55	0xf837cd…
06-20 16:16:29	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2c5952…
06-20 16:11:05	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x38e327…
06-20 16:10:35	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	57	32¢	$18	0x9745bd…
06-20 13:34:11	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	SELL	270	42¢	$112	0x0ca8c1…
06-20 13:32:50	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	SELL	80	46¢	$37	0x30903e…
06-20 13:32:16	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0x8fdeac…
06-20 13:32:05	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x2d2281…
06-20 13:31:53	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xd73dc3…
06-20 02:15:53	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0x261724…
06-20 02:13:49	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	135	27¢	$36	0xeb27e6…
06-20 02:13:05	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	252	25¢	$63	0x7f10cd…
06-20 02:12:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	113	99¢	$111	0xcaaa9e…
06-20 01:59:13	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	415	45¢	$187	0x0fb903…
06-20 01:58:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0xebf795…
06-20 01:56:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	123	99¢	$121	0x9c491c…
06-18 12:51:04	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,620	90¢	$5,058	0xa713a4…
06-18 12:50:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	5,157	98¢	$5,074	0x0f9847…
06-08 19:55:18	Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x6fea79…
06-08 11:46:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	800	90¢	$720	0xbf6091…
06-08 11:44:51	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x3bd57d…
06-08 11:44:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x7d2297…
06-08 11:43:52	Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	SELL	335	98¢	$327	0xafbd00…
06-08 11:43:48	Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	SELL	250	98¢	$244	0x251012…
06-08 11:43:25	Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	175	78¢	$137	0xde1705…
06-08 11:42:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	77	74¢	$57	0x1e526f…
06-08 11:36:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	5,400	89¢	$4,832	0x31e7c6…
06-08 11:35:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xe7b204…
06-08 11:35:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xa295c4…
06-08 11:35:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	487	88¢	$426	0x610c68…
06-08 11:35:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	212	87¢	$185	0xcb32d6…
06-08 11:34:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	5,758	98¢	$5,638	0xca4f3e…
06-08 11:33:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	6,880	85¢	$5,848	0xecccf7…
06-08 11:32:36	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	461	99¢	$456	0x6160b6…
06-08 11:32:27	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	240	99¢	$237	0x316c79…
06-08 11:32:18	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	445	99¢	$440	0x30ee76…
06-08 11:31:30	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	4,747	99¢	$4,714	0x201b38…
06-05 07:00:09	Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4f612c…
06-05 06:59:39	Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb1e9df…
06-05 05:10:46	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	340	82¢	$279	0xc75b39…
06-05 05:10:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x547110…
06-05 05:10:06	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x1673dc…
06-05 05:09:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	205	85¢	$174	0xd3f6d7…
06-05 05:06:34	Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	74	63¢	$46	0x53f29a…
06-05 02:59:10	Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	248	98¢	$242	0xeae028…
06-05 02:57:10	Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	338	98¢	$329	0xc80d4e…
06-05 02:53:48	Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	1,473	64¢	$949	0x19de8b…
06-05 02:32:43	Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	206	66¢	$136	0x9c8ccd…
06-05 02:22:18	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	BUY	364	98¢	$356	0xd4b43a…
06-05 02:17:40	Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	138	66¢	$91	0xd5654a…
06-05 02:13:24	Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	434	67¢	$291	0xa1a278…
06-01 21:41:52	Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x202ea2…
06-01 16:07:11	Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x4033ed…
06-01 02:13:06	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,980	96¢	$1,901	0xd20130…
06-01 02:00:32	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	884	80¢	$707	0xabb583…
06-01 01:57:38	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5,470	96¢	$5,270	0x1a6de1…
06-01 00:40:12	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	10,917	100¢	$10,906	0x9566b5…
05-31 12:02:18	Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	2,439	92¢	$2,244	0xcd48d5…
05-31 12:01:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xaa3ffe…
05-31 12:00:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	2,063	100¢	$2,053	0x9be9a5…
05-31 08:55:03	Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	62	91¢	$56	0xe59b32…
05-30 15:36:36	Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x02d9ca…
05-30 11:45:22	Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x0293b9…
05-27 21:01:44	Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbced17…
05-25 11:29:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	5,758	96¢	$5,528	0xd4b523…
05-25 11:28:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	5,567	100¢	$5,539	0xd0dcfa…
05-25 02:58:53	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xc06b35…
05-25 02:58:05	Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x1351cf…
05-25 02:57:11	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	470	96¢	$450	0xce7c8b…