Dishonest-Goddess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$189

Unrealized P&L

-$44

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$134.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.01K

Open exposure

$457

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-10 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

84% 100% +$189

Politics

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No		+613	$500	74¢	$457	$-44	06-22 01:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	8	$21.2K	11,005	11,005	+0	open	—	05-25 11:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	12	$19.4K	13,854	7,423	+6,431	open	—	07-04 14:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	22	$11.8K	10,055	2,263	+7,792	open	—	05-31 12:01
starmer out by june 15 2026	7	$11.5K	5,893	5,893	+0	open	—	06-08 11:32
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$8.1K	4,200	4,200	+0	open	—	05-12 08:25
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	8	$7.9K	4,426	4,426	+0	open	—	05-13 01:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$7.9K	8,260	0	+8,260	open	—	04-23 09:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$5.7K	2,890	2,890	+0	open	—	04-28 02:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	1	$5.6K	0	5,758	-5,758	open	—	06-08 11:34
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	8	$5.0K	5,362	0	+5,362	open	—	04-26 14:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	1	$4.5K	4,727	0	+4,727	open	—	04-25 01:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	1	$4.3K	4,350	0	+4,350	No	+$89	04-26 14:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$4.1K	2,061	2,061	+0	open	—	05-14 14:38
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	1	$3.8K	4,402	0	+4,402	open	—	07-10 09:43
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	2	$3.4K	3,660	0	+3,660	open	—	07-10 12:19
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$2.8K	3,322	0	+3,322	open	—	04-28 03:09
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$1.9K	1,980	0	+1,980	open	—	06-01 02:13
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$1.4K	1,538	0	+1,538	open	—	05-09 05:36
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	2	$1.2K	1,270	0	+1,270	Yes	+$94	05-01 11:47
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$1.0K	1,481	0	+1,481	open	—	06-24 13:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	5	$500	613	0	+613	open	—	06-22 01:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 20 2026?	1	$362	381	0	+381	open	—	04-23 09:39
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$227	256	256	+0	open	—	05-14 11:34
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$199	220	220	+0	open	—	05-14 11:33
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$167	119	119	+0	open	—	05-14 11:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$153	160	0	+160	No	+$6	05-06 08:29
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$149	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 11:33
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$110	128	128	+0	open	—	05-21 02:19
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	8	$84	325	0	+325	open	—	04-26 15:09
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$69	96	96	+0	open	—	05-14 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 12:19:14	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	2,100	92¢	$1,940	0x8f25e9…
07-10 09:44:11	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	1,560	93¢	$1,448	0xb92967…
07-10 09:43:58	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	4,402	86¢	$3,786	0x0f8ada…
07-04 14:28:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	1,961	100¢	$1,957	0x208faf…
06-24 13:21:50	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	131	65¢	$85	0x8ae01e…
06-24 12:31:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,350	69¢	$932	0x2969ce…
06-22 01:02:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	190	87¢	$165	0x0ba2e7…
06-20 02:12:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	113	99¢	$111	0xcaaa9e…
06-20 01:58:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0xebf795…
06-20 01:56:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	123	99¢	$121	0x9c491c…
06-18 12:50:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	5,157	98¢	$5,074	0x0f9847…
06-08 11:46:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	800	90¢	$720	0xbf6091…
06-08 11:44:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x7d2297…
06-08 11:42:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	77	74¢	$57	0x1e526f…
06-08 11:36:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	5,400	89¢	$4,832	0x31e7c6…
06-08 11:35:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xe7b204…
06-08 11:35:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xa295c4…
06-08 11:35:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	487	88¢	$426	0x610c68…
06-08 11:35:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	212	87¢	$185	0xcb32d6…
06-08 11:34:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	5,758	98¢	$5,638	0xca4f3e…
06-08 11:33:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	6,880	85¢	$5,848	0xecccf7…
06-08 11:32:36	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	461	99¢	$456	0x6160b6…
06-08 11:32:27	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	240	99¢	$237	0x316c79…
06-08 11:32:18	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	445	99¢	$440	0x30ee76…
06-08 11:31:30	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	4,747	99¢	$4,714	0x201b38…
06-05 05:10:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x547110…
06-05 05:10:06	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x1673dc…
06-05 05:09:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	205	85¢	$174	0xd3f6d7…
06-05 02:22:18	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	BUY	364	98¢	$356	0xd4b43a…
06-01 02:13:06	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,980	96¢	$1,901	0xd20130…
06-01 01:57:38	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5,470	96¢	$5,270	0x1a6de1…
05-31 12:01:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xaa3ffe…
05-31 12:00:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	2,063	100¢	$2,053	0x9be9a5…
05-25 11:28:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	5,567	100¢	$5,539	0xd0dcfa…
05-21 02:25:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	322	96¢	$310	0x341354…
05-21 02:19:10	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x5303a9…
05-18 05:56:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	160	94¢	$151	0xaf3b35…
05-18 05:55:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0xd1b583…
05-18 01:21:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	895	95¢	$853	0xa7ff14…
05-17 12:43:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	599	95¢	$568	0x1e1042…
05-17 12:42:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$474	0xd2b575…
05-17 08:02:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	743	94¢	$702	0x00dbe9…
05-17 06:07:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	676	94¢	$637	0x91f0a8…
05-17 06:06:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$982	0xc1ed39…
05-17 03:26:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	3,782	98¢	$3,721	0x71f2fc…
05-17 01:59:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6f069e…
05-17 01:58:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	180	95¢	$171	0x24c0e1…
05-17 01:58:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	369	95¢	$351	0x27135b…
05-17 01:57:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	541	98¢	$531	0x80ca1c…
05-17 01:57:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x05771d…
05-17 01:56:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x1f0f7c…
05-17 01:55:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	90	95¢	$86	0x3bd3d1…
05-17 01:53:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	95	98¢	$94	0xd4314c…
05-16 07:21:49	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x5f1f74…
05-14 14:38:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2,061	99¢	$2,047	0x38ed1a…
05-14 11:40:08	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x460b94…
05-14 11:34:06	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	202	27¢	$54	0x334981…
05-14 11:33:55	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xebc865…
05-14 11:33:43	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	31	31¢	$10	0x628322…
05-14 11:33:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0x7e5c15…
05-14 11:33:15	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	29	34¢	$10	0x184288…
05-14 04:03:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	310	96¢	$299	0xd40a42…
05-14 04:01:00	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xa9a165…
05-14 04:00:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	43	73¢	$31	0x9551f7…
05-14 04:00:33	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	23	50¢	$11	0x611d42…
05-14 04:00:28	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	60	42¢	$25	0x932ac6…
05-14 04:00:19	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	27	48¢	$13	0xe20b2d…
05-14 03:59:57	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	96	28¢	$26	0x1965e0…
05-14 03:59:39	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	27	54¢	$15	0x764afa…
05-14 03:59:27	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	140	44¢	$62	0x4e082d…
05-14 03:59:16	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	46	55¢	$25	0x026370…
05-14 03:59:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	43	74¢	$32	0xb9edb6…
05-14 03:58:59	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	89	76¢	$68	0xf80ee8…
05-14 03:52:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	1,280	96¢	$1,234	0xf30c2b…
05-14 03:51:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,061	99¢	$2,043	0x343d94…
05-13 11:58:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	1,495	96¢	$1,435	0xefb008…
05-13 03:46:36	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x2dbd4a…
05-13 03:41:37	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	89	44¢	$39	0x7414bb…
05-13 03:39:46	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	256	57¢	$145	0xb3b562…
05-13 03:37:51	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x99cc5a…
05-13 03:37:28	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xf97a8c…
05-13 03:37:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x1a4a6d…
05-13 03:34:49	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	220	48¢	$106	0x715574…
05-13 03:31:03	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	119	75¢	$89	0x11fb3e…
05-13 01:05:39	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	88¢	$76	0xf977f3…
05-12 23:03:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,166	81¢	$1,755	0xe2e70e…
05-12 22:51:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,173	85¢	$1,850	0x3b613c…
05-12 14:35:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x5af3f5…
05-12 14:25:39	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0xb4e752…
05-12 14:23:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xdb51ab…
05-12 14:23:21	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	91¢	$63	0x11ef7c…
05-12 08:26:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,189	96¢	$4,041	0xe5b365…
05-12 08:25:25	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4,200	100¢	$4,179	0x1f55b7…
05-11 02:30:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x6927b3…
05-09 05:36:47	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	180	93¢	$167	0xc16bab…
05-08 23:17:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	1,580	96¢	$1,515	0x3b8661…
05-08 00:58:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	386	93¢	$359	0xa71d4f…
05-07 12:00:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	347	94¢	$327	0x9faa8c…
05-07 05:26:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x2c6e59…
05-06 08:29:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	160	96¢	$153	0x7ae6c8…