Worst-Escape — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

39 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.81K lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-24 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 88% -$3

Other

23% 89% -$2

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 86k on january 19	1	$95	95	+95	Yes	+$0	01-18 12:05
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 540 559	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	01-26 06:34
ethereum above 3400 on january 13	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	01-13 13:43
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$95	95	+95	Yes	+$0	01-30 12:39
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	03-17 08:46
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 11	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	03-11 07:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 23	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	03-23 06:46
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 400 419	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	01-04 07:46
ethereum above 2300 on march 26	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	03-26 12:14
bitcoin above 74k on march 14	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	03-14 08:52
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	03-20 07:13
ethereum above 1800 on march 30	1	$94	94	+94	Yes	+$0	03-30 12:50
bitcoin above 94k on january 8	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	01-08 12:45
ethereum above 2400 on february 9	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	02-09 06:38
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 4	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	03-04 09:01
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	02-01 11:23
will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 1	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	03-01 08:33
bitcoin above 62k on march 8	1	$93	93	+93	Yes	+$0	03-08 07:10
ethereum above 2600 on april 11	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	04-10 11:44
bitcoin above 74k on april 4	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	04-03 09:52
bitcoin above 82k on april 18	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	04-18 08:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 23	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	04-23 12:53
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 98forhigher	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	04-15 09:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-13 09:53
bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	06-08 09:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	06-01 10:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	05-07 12:04
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-04 11:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-23 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?	1	$75	75	+75	No	+$0	05-17 11:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 14:40:26	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8614b3…
09-24 14:38:18	UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Rinya Nakamura	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xf88abb…
08-01 12:14:44	will bitcoin reach 72k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9da9cc…
06-08 09:46:45	bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x94f27f…
06-01 10:20:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xd97a40…
05-23 07:31:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xa2506b…
05-17 11:05:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x707f50…
05-17 11:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xd6a733…
05-13 09:53:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xef6194…
05-07 12:04:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x799d30…
05-04 11:55:38	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x23ce75…
05-04 11:55:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xeaa9b5…
04-23 12:53:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 23	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe6a822…
04-18 08:57:38	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x41160d…
04-15 09:09:14	highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 98forhigher	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xef2eff…
04-15 09:08:46	ethereum above 2100 on april 15	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x844d8d…
04-10 11:44:39	ethereum above 2600 on april 11	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x0f1c39…
04-03 09:52:45	bitcoin above 74k on april 4	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x3169a7…
04-03 09:52:07	highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x63fe78…
04-03 09:51:57	highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	703	0¢	$2	0x8bc32e…
03-30 12:50:20	ethereum above 1800 on march 30	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xc26883…
03-26 12:14:07	ethereum above 2300 on march 26	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x999f34…
03-23 06:46:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 23	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x9b9d41…
03-20 07:13:31	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x062700…
03-17 08:46:35	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x68e55d…
03-14 08:52:55	bitcoin above 74k on march 14	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xdedbaa…
03-11 07:16:57	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 11	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xdeda63…
03-08 07:10:35	bitcoin above 62k on march 8	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x24983f…
03-04 09:01:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 4	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xe529d6…
03-01 08:33:35	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 1	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x236ac1…
02-09 06:38:51	ethereum above 2400 on february 9	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xa93498…
02-01 11:23:06	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x5e2d7e…
02-01 11:22:36	bitcoin above 92k on february 2	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x3f47cd…
01-30 12:39:38	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x4997be…
01-26 06:34:54	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 540 559	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xbba846…
01-18 12:05:30	bitcoin above 86k on january 19	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x4d5b2b…
01-13 13:43:25	ethereum above 3400 on january 13	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x275d0c…
01-08 12:45:29	bitcoin above 94k on january 8	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xc769dd…
01-04 07:46:15	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 400 419	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xb9b0c8…