Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$279

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

47.3%

Resolved

157

Trades

7,629

lifetime

Volume

$25.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$74

11 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-30 14:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

98% 42% -$478

Politics

2% 33% +$203

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+17	$8	98¢	$17	+$9	10-30 00:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+12	$4	84¢	$10	+$6	08-20 21:16
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+29	$4	32¢	$9	+$5	10-28 06:55
Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	+11	$4	82¢	$9	+$5	07-11 19:09
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	+12	$4	71¢	$9	+$5	07-20 22:25
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+8	$4	90¢	$7	+$3	07-30 14:50
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+40	$8	12¢	$5	-$3	10-14 17:25
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+17	$3	29¢	$5	+$2	09-10 21:22
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	+14	$4	20¢	$3	-$1	08-20 14:36
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+9	$4	2¢	$0	-$4	09-15 14:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+23	$8	0¢	$0	-$8	09-04 21:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	387	$1.9K	2,919	2,979	-60	No	+$158	03-17 15:19
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	312	$1.5K	1,762	2,009	-247	Yes	-$295	03-17 15:19
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	264	$1.2K	1,478	1,639	-161	No	+$75	03-13 14:30
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	285	$1.0K	844	906	-63	Yes	-$11	03-20 13:29
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	203	$995	1,315	1,101	+214	No	-$45	03-13 12:48
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	276	$942	1,241	1,091	+150	No	-$18	03-20 10:32
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 115 139	166	$847	711	880	-168	No	-$91	03-14 15:05
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	143	$841	1,162	751	+411	Yes	+$32	03-18 14:14
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 65 89	206	$832	990	896	+94	No	+$23	03-18 13:59
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	228	$818	878	947	-69	Yes	-$85	03-14 15:44
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	173	$795	725	792	-67	Yes	+$63	03-13 14:24
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 65 89	132	$747	576	661	-85	No	+$16	03-16 13:07
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	222	$713	2,613	2,076	+537	No	-$86	03-19 08:12
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	121	$709	511	553	-42	No	+$4	03-17 12:44
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	120	$597	873	840	+33	Yes	-$15	03-16 16:57
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	171	$574	4,317	3,952	+365	No	-$48	03-17 11:23
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	125	$542	1,115	1,063	+53	No	-$2	03-19 11:21
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	182	$506	449	475	-26	No	+$33	03-20 15:36
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	159	$490	1,406	1,302	+105	No	-$10	03-20 00:08
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	165	$465	1,106	1,024	+82	No	+$8	03-13 14:14
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	154	$464	2,262	1,541	+721	No	-$19	03-13 06:18
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 140 164	65	$381	209	235	-26	No	+$1	03-14 14:33
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	168	$368	632	762	-130	No	+$23	03-20 13:34
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	173	$365	3,040	4,157	-1,117	No	+$15	03-19 05:51
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 65 89	86	$335	1,340	1,016	+324	No	-$17	03-14 04:29
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 0 39	80	$329	1,647	1,752	-105	No	+$26	03-17 12:24
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	103	$318	2,855	2,662	+193	No	-$12	03-16 07:35
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 90 114	48	$303	194	194	+0	No	+$8	03-16 07:16
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 200 219	127	$291	2,275	1,872	+403	No	+$13	03-18 14:17
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 320 339	50	$290	417	401	+16	No	+$6	03-16 22:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:41:54	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xf207dc…
10-30 00:11:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x510b1f…
10-30 00:11:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xa97e72…
10-29 09:06:16	Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xf418a8…
10-29 09:06:16	Will Drew Jenner win the next Clarence mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xee1555…
10-28 20:37:16	Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?	Yes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0xa47ce1…
10-28 06:55:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0xcf0147…
10-27 14:48:54	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x14b88d…
10-26 17:00:30	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xd604e8…
10-26 13:25:27	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x871a30…
10-25 23:04:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xa9ea3d…
10-25 22:24:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xdd16b1…
10-25 22:24:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xa3522f…
10-25 22:23:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xd4e4cc…
10-25 20:27:38	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x78030c…
10-25 16:11:48	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xb4306a…
10-25 02:31:18	Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x99aee3…
10-22 12:59:12	Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x141a42…
10-22 12:57:53	Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x463a88…
10-22 02:17:02	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x9b016a…
10-22 01:14:27	Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xf22f65…
10-20 10:49:15	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x55a445…
10-20 10:49:06	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	No	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x9a88ed…
10-18 14:45:57	Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x715ff0…
10-18 05:25:50	Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4ff040…
10-15 15:21:50	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x0872fd…
10-15 07:16:55	Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x4eae5f…
10-14 17:25:43	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xd68c03…
10-14 17:24:09	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x93a3e1…
10-13 07:54:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x62186f…
10-13 05:25:23	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xfa9c20…
10-13 05:25:23	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4836af…
10-13 05:24:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x323ecc…
10-13 05:09:44	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xaf7118…
10-13 05:09:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xe8ca32…
10-13 05:09:38	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xf77803…
10-13 05:09:38	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xe7eab7…
10-13 05:09:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0xc002a1…
10-13 05:09:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x99558f…
10-13 05:08:33	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x0909a0…
10-13 05:02:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x9a5a96…
10-13 04:50:50	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc6e4a6…
10-13 04:45:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xe116c0…
10-13 04:19:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x8543bf…
10-13 04:19:44	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x929991…
10-13 04:08:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x4919c4…
10-13 04:08:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x39084a…
10-09 18:03:56	Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x650f5c…
10-09 17:22:38	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x214ea2…
10-06 12:09:00	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xc9f648…
10-06 12:09:00	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	No	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x5c0c7c…
10-06 12:08:58	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	No	BUY	29	11¢	$3	0x6395ed…
10-06 12:08:58	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x3bc648…
10-06 07:28:15	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xa6e7d4…
10-05 20:29:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xc29a4d…
10-05 20:29:31	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xaaa1df…
10-04 21:45:29	Will Sanderson win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x1bfc05…
10-04 07:15:08	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x571963…
10-01 04:05:12	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x9ba669…
10-01 04:05:00	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xcfd1d4…
10-01 04:04:33	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x592a61…
10-01 04:02:35	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x518644…
10-01 04:02:11	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0x453c2b…
10-01 04:02:06	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xe79594…
10-01 03:58:39	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x160fa3…
10-01 03:58:29	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x81049e…
10-01 03:58:29	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x0c7b37…
10-01 03:56:17	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	5¢	$4	0x31fd8f…
10-01 03:56:02	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0x53c401…
10-01 03:46:23	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x151d18…
10-01 03:43:26	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xffd07e…
10-01 03:38:21	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x387d30…
10-01 03:36:20	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0xc1a24f…
10-01 03:35:33	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0xadc55b…
10-01 03:34:03	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0xdcdc56…
10-01 03:33:54	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0xc3effd…
10-01 03:33:44	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x091569…
10-01 03:33:03	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x07a9c2…
10-01 03:32:29	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x51e7a9…
10-01 03:32:02	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x294a15…
10-01 03:31:35	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x997d8d…
10-01 03:29:53	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	57	8¢	$5	0xf8a87c…
10-01 03:29:32	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	57	8¢	$5	0x64a61a…
10-01 03:16:05	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	8¢	$5	0xa1e0d2…
10-01 03:15:53	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xdc8f3a…
10-01 03:10:26	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x3c9813…
10-01 03:06:05	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf590b5…
10-01 03:02:17	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	8¢	$5	0x575545…
10-01 02:51:27	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	57	8¢	$5	0x4ce62f…
10-01 02:39:11	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	8¢	$5	0x724d0a…
09-29 14:42:32	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xdf6f8b…
09-29 14:36:39	trump renames ai by december 31	No	BUY	50	9¢	$5	0xc46ee0…
09-29 14:36:21	trump renames ai by october 31	No	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x623573…
09-26 06:45:23	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 25?	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x545fda…
09-24 13:50:22	Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x78be0e…
09-24 13:36:12	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?	No	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x16ff75…
09-21 21:41:52	Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x4cbdae…
09-20 15:33:07	Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x9f2ca7…
09-18 11:40:01	Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x4b4ca2…
09-17 22:29:16	Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xbf048b…