Puny-Shipper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

806

Trades

3,125

lifetime

Volume

$132.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$75

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 19:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 43% -$15,364

Other

29% 26% -$382

Politics

26% 37% -$1,057

Tech

1% 0% -$595

Sports

0% 100% +$46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes		+1,000	$90	8¢	$75	-$15	10-29 19:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	71	$27.4K	82,944	82,944	+0	No	-$13,109	06-02 18:23
Paris curfew by October 19?	14	$5.3K	3,910	3,910	+0	Yes	+$1,970	10-19 17:38
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	8	$4.5K	2,882	2,882	+0	Yes	+$1,050	05-16 11:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	14	$4.2K	2,568	2,568	+0	No	+$201	05-22 22:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	25	$3.5K	20,661	14,613	+6,048	Yes	+$3,629	05-08 19:14
Paris curfew by October 21?	2	$3.4K	2,436	2,436	+0	Yes	+$1,437	10-19 17:39
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase february 10 16	11	$3.3K	2,185	2,185	+0	No	+$954	02-16 11:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$3.2K	11,495	11,495	+0	No	-$515	05-16 03:42
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 3 9	9	$2.2K	1,941	1,941	+0	Yes	+$490	02-08 13:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	19	$2.0K	100,583	519	+100,063	No	-$2,028	05-13 20:11
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	16	$2.0K	1,640	1,640	+0	Yes	+$28	04-09 23:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	-$150	05-13 19:22
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	2	$1.6K	2,699	2,699	+0	No	-$436	05-18 14:53
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	57	$1.5K	111,281	110,548	+733	No	+$48	04-22 07:26
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 27 february 2	13	$1.4K	6,518	6,517	+1	Yes	+$131	02-02 11:58
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$1.4K	2,412	2,412	+0	Yes	-$614	05-23 14:36
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	11	$1.3K	7,477	7,001	+476	No	+$327	04-22 06:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	11	$1.3K	14,842	14,842	+0	No	-$81	05-08 18:19
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	8	$1.2K	1,708	1,708	+0	No	-$207	05-18 13:49
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	4	$1.2K	921	921	+0	open	—	10-11 17:12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	20	$1.1K	8,146	8,146	+0	open	—	10-14 11:17
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	11	$1.1K	6,721	6,721	+0	Yes	-$35	04-08 08:31
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	12	$1.1K	2,693	608	+2,085	Yes	-$105	05-17 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	6	$1.0K	1,922	1,841	+80	Down	+$562	10-18 15:15
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase february 24 march 2	7	$1.0K	2,401	150	+2,251	Yes	-$913	03-02 07:37
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	4	$993	10,260	10,260	+0	open	—	10-28 16:36
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5?	4	$980	925	925	+0	Up	-$21	10-05 09:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	25	$970	29,385	16,705	+12,680	No	-$352	05-09 02:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$882	2,941	2,941	+0	Yes	-$118	05-12 09:55
si up or down on january 15 2026	11	$878	1,252	100	+1,152	Up	-$856	01-15 17:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:57:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	9¢	$63	0xf957cd…
10-29 19:57:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0x726db3…
10-29 19:38:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	113	44¢	$50	0x08c615…
10-28 16:36:32	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	242	1¢	$3	0x824897…
10-28 16:36:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x806b74…
10-28 13:15:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xb1b499…
10-28 13:12:44	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	164	65¢	$106	0xee44a3…
10-28 13:08:50	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	71¢	$46	0x894933…
10-28 13:08:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	98	47¢	$46	0x8f9437…
10-28 13:06:41	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	71¢	$70	0x019fb0…
10-28 12:43:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x0dbebf…
10-28 12:42:13	Solana Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x5fdf00…
10-26 00:23:32	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	242	1¢	$3	0x21cb4f…
10-26 00:21:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,016	0¢	$3	0x6dcee9…
10-25 23:42:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x597379…
10-25 23:32:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,016	6¢	$187	0xdaa11d…
10-25 23:31:29	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,019	2¢	$186	0x0f76c8…
10-21 21:48:47	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,019	8¢	$800	0x5e98a2…
10-21 21:48:14	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x47d241…
10-21 10:35:59	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4b50b1…
10-21 00:42:36	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x6e5906…
10-21 00:40:00	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xa3283e…
10-20 22:04:06	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 21?	No	SELL	90	93¢	$84	0x51dc46…
10-20 22:00:51	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24?	No	BUY	549	9¢	$51	0xd0cfa7…
10-20 21:59:59	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 21?	No	SELL	109	93¢	$102	0x874f06…
10-20 21:59:03	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	No	BUY	574	35¢	$200	0x288fc5…
10-20 21:57:51	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	No	BUY	287	35¢	$100	0xdddb35…
10-20 14:40:29	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x980875…
10-20 14:25:50	Solana Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	898	4¢	$40	0x2e3bbd…
10-20 10:29:42	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8289b6…
10-20 10:24:15	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 21?	No	BUY	90	70¢	$63	0xd34663…
10-20 10:07:03	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 21?	No	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0xb2d06a…
10-20 10:05:33	Solana Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	278	54¢	$150	0x59d3cd…
10-20 03:06:57	Ethereum Up or Down on October 20?	Down	SELL	414	37¢	$154	0x5c2cab…
10-20 01:33:45	Ethereum Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	414	51¢	$211	0x55acec…
10-20 00:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down on October 20?	Down	SELL	463	47¢	$218	0xc9326d…
10-20 00:11:14	Ethereum Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	463	43¢	$200	0x316558…
10-19 17:39:05	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	SELL	2,436	99¢	$2,412	0x7c759f…
10-19 17:38:54	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xe13aac…
10-19 17:38:54	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	SELL	3,229	99¢	$3,197	0xc74374…
10-19 17:38:53	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd830a1…
10-19 17:38:53	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x4a5b9f…
10-19 17:37:05	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0xe74b39…
10-19 17:37:03	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5d4ca6…
10-19 15:33:14	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	BUY	2,436	40¢	$974	0x5472bc…
10-19 14:00:47	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xba314d…
10-19 14:00:15	Ethereum Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	570	16¢	$92	0x264cde…
10-19 13:59:56	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	SELL	223	45¢	$100	0x5e3497…
10-19 13:56:51	Ethereum Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	575	12¢	$69	0x8de56f…
10-19 13:56:03	Ethereum Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	111	15¢	$17	0x7af6d3…
10-19 13:55:38	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	SELL	195	44¢	$86	0x6ed83e…
10-19 13:48:53	Solana Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xe72183…
10-19 13:48:45	XRP Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x33edd1…
10-19 13:48:39	Ethereum Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	104	7¢	$8	0x178281…
10-19 13:44:26	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	679	58¢	$391	0x6148cd…
10-19 13:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	104	10¢	$10	0xdf0b53…
10-19 13:30:12	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0ab6a1…
10-19 12:37:33	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x4ecc61…
10-19 12:35:21	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	2,719	44¢	$1,200	0x630277…
10-19 12:02:42	XRP Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	58	8¢	$5	0x900e61…
10-19 11:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x0ade36…
10-19 11:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	1,210	8¢	$97	0x72c1a0…
10-19 11:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	403	8¢	$32	0xf05fd8…
10-19 11:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	204	9¢	$18	0x6d393a…
10-19 11:41:59	Solana Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	1,090	5¢	$54	0xa727bc…
10-19 11:17:03	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	385	8¢	$31	0x8621c4…
10-19 10:04:30	Solana Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	195	2¢	$4	0x55dab8…
10-19 09:55:32	Solana Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	145	2¢	$3	0x4a2229…
10-19 09:53:11	Solana Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	189	2¢	$4	0xb2852f…
10-19 09:53:05	Solana Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	189	2¢	$4	0x63aac0…
10-19 09:52:08	Solana Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	189	2¢	$4	0x37e193…
10-19 09:51:59	Solana Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	187	2¢	$4	0x486def…
10-19 07:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	827	6¢	$50	0xad3153…
10-19 02:09:51	XRP Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4830cf…
10-19 02:09:39	XRP Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0x582c94…
10-19 02:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x2be07c…
10-19 01:52:38	XRP Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x5af27c…
10-18 22:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	184	61¢	$113	0x91976b…
10-18 21:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	184	48¢	$88	0xad88cc…
10-18 19:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	195	48¢	$94	0xae21fc…
10-18 17:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	195	52¢	$101	0x385951…
10-18 15:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0x44070b…
10-18 14:17:42	Solana Up or Down on October 18?	Up	BUY	342	9¢	$30	0x104cf8…
10-18 14:02:27	XRP Up or Down on October 18?	Up	BUY	447	12¢	$54	0xa7c1af…
10-18 14:02:27	XRP Up or Down on October 18?	Up	BUY	415	12¢	$50	0x4b98b5…
10-18 14:00:12	XRP Up or Down on October 18?	Up	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xa51b2b…
10-18 13:47:42	Solana Up or Down on October 18?	Up	BUY	495	20¢	$100	0xa3e18c…
10-18 13:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	SELL	146	43¢	$63	0x041146…
10-18 13:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	SELL	1,695	41¢	$688	0x6b4bab…
10-18 13:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	452	10¢	$45	0xb6f1d4…
10-18 13:03:33	Solana Up or Down on October 18?	Up	SELL	85	56¢	$48	0xd7a22e…
10-18 11:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0xe2d9ef…
10-18 11:24:54	Solana Up or Down on October 18?	Up	SELL	82	68¢	$56	0x927670…
10-18 09:15:29	Solana Up or Down on October 18?	Up	BUY	168	56¢	$94	0xaf6c7f…
10-18 09:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0x628564…
10-17 14:45:12	bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026	Down	BUY	1,481	5¢	$71	0xe85343…
10-17 14:44:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,645	2¢	$76	0x158489…
10-17 13:32:23	bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026	Down	BUY	430	20¢	$86	0x51df07…
10-17 13:31:41	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	435	21¢	$91	0x158ae3…
10-16 16:16:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,645	3¢	$104	0xaaaef2…