Lone-Stair — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

34 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$572

$572 lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$94

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 01:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down		+54	$49	92¢	$50	+$0	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down		+65	$62	68¢	$44	$-18	05-06 01:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	10	$189	200	+200	open	—	05-05 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$62	65	+65	open	—	05-06 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	5	$49	54	+54	open	—	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$47	50	+50	open	—	05-05 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$47	50	+50	Up	+$3	05-04 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$38	50	+50	open	—	05-05 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$29	31	+31	open	—	05-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$27	28	+28	Up	+$2	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$26	27	+27	open	—	05-06 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$25	26	+26	open	—	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$12	12	+12	Up	+$1	05-04 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-06 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$4	4	+4	Up	+$0	05-05 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	05-04 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 01:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xd0f09d…
05-06 01:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0xea2cbd…
05-06 01:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2b078f…
05-06 01:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x76e8b4…
05-06 01:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xd96a1e…
05-06 01:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x14becb…
05-06 01:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xac384f…
05-06 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe2e17b…
05-06 00:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x54a86a…
05-06 00:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2ca8b8…
05-06 00:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xefbefd…
05-06 00:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xc08901…
05-05 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xdb0918…
05-05 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x3c5fd5…
05-05 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xed8b61…
05-05 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0xc429d8…
05-05 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x5e768d…
05-05 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x5b043c…
05-05 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x03c9da…
05-05 19:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x5e8b85…
05-05 19:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x455c35…
05-05 19:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xbf5c13…
05-05 17:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xa0d9ca…
05-05 17:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x19af1b…
05-05 17:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x1d9f4c…
05-05 17:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x2514d9…
05-05 15:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x4d7fa6…
05-05 14:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x00af1e…
05-05 14:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x313f69…
05-05 01:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x44718c…
05-04 23:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	94¢	$27	0x882735…
05-04 22:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe53360…
05-04 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x5d8a54…
05-04 21:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x53204c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	15	$2.72K	86	05-06 01:29
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	14	$1.17K	28	05-06 01:29
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	13	$1.32K	209	05-06 01:29
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	12	$6.01K	65	05-06 01:28
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	11	$1.26K	120	05-06 01:29
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	11	$1.06K	90	05-06 01:29
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	10	$1.12K	250	05-06 01:29
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	10	$908	24	05-06 01:28