Lone-Stair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$454

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$35

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 00:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up		+27	$26	92¢	$25	$-1	05-06 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down		+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	05-06 00:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	10	$189	200	+200	open	—	05-05 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$47	50	+50	open	—	05-05 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$47	50	+50	Up	+$3	05-04 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$38	50	+50	open	—	05-05 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$29	31	+31	open	—	05-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$27	28	+28	Up	+$2	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$26	27	+27	open	—	05-06 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$25	26	+26	open	—	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$12	12	+12	Up	+$1	05-04 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-06 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$4	4	+4	Up	+$0	05-05 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	05-04 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2ca8b8…
05-06 00:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xefbefd…
05-06 00:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xc08901…
05-05 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x03c9da…
05-05 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xdb0918…
05-05 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x3c5fd5…
05-05 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xed8b61…
05-05 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0xc429d8…
05-05 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x5e768d…
05-05 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x5b043c…
05-05 19:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x5e8b85…
05-05 19:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x455c35…
05-05 19:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xbf5c13…
05-05 17:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xa0d9ca…
05-05 17:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x1d9f4c…
05-05 17:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x19af1b…
05-05 17:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x2514d9…
05-05 15:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x4d7fa6…
05-05 14:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x00af1e…
05-05 14:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x313f69…
05-05 01:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x44718c…
05-04 23:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	94¢	$27	0x882735…
05-04 22:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe53360…
05-04 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x5d8a54…
05-04 21:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x53204c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	12	$2.19K	55	05-06 00:24
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	11	$981	23	05-06 00:23
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	10	$850	139	05-06 00:23
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	9	$5.64K	52	05-06 00:23
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	8	$759	71	05-06 00:13
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	8	$600	51	05-06 00:13
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	8	$538	26	05-06 00:22
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	7	$616	17	05-06 00:22