Prudent-Priority — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

+$55

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$113

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 09-21 04:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

67% 67% +$91

Politics

13% 67% -$190

Sports

9% 50% -$93

Crypto

7% 75% +$57

Tech

4% 50% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+147	$98	74¢	$109	+$11	09-21 04:35
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes		-256	-$49	2¢	$-4	+$45	05-01 14:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will charles hittler be the next mayor of arcis sur aube	2	$215	115	115	+0	Yes	+$15	03-23 07:22
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	1	$200	741	0	+741	No	-$200	03-20 10:20
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$164	128	128	+0	Yes	+$64	04-20 03:24
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$124	75	75	+0	Yes	+$24	04-13 12:50
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	2	$104	54	54	+0	Yes	+$4	03-23 07:22
will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 385	1	$100	165	0	+165	Yes	+$65	03-26 13:27
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$100	149	0	+149	England	-$100	07-18 12:44
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 20	1	$100	133	0	+133	Yes	+$33	03-20 10:27
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$98	147	0	+147	open	—	09-21 04:35
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$81	100	0	+100	Yes	+$19	05-24 23:31
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$80	133	0	+133	No	-$80	07-13 11:53
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$80	129	0	+129	Yes	+$49	07-08 13:39
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$70	232	0	+232	No	-$70	07-04 07:34
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	2	$60	70	0	+70	Yes	+$10	04-06 21:47
will dualshot recorder be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	1	$50	76	0	+76	Yes	+$26	04-01 14:52
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1	$50	93	0	+93	Yes	+$43	07-04 07:32
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	1	$50	85	0	+85	Yes	+$35	07-05 05:28
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	1	$50	69	0	+69	Yes	+$19	07-05 04:32
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	1	$49	0	256	-256	open	—	05-01 14:40
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	1	$40	70	0	+70	No	-$40	07-09 23:35
will gas hit high 4pt00 by march 31	1	$40	50	0	+50	Yes	+$10	03-28 18:31
will silver si hit low 65 by end of march	2	$38	41	41	+0	No	-$22	03-30 11:35
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$35	85	0	+85	No	-$35	04-15 12:47
will dualshot recorder be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	2	$31	41	41	+0	No	-$29	04-06 21:45
will xo kitty season 3 be the top us netflix show this week	1	$30	41	0	+41	Yes	+$11	04-04 07:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 15:50 UTC	1	$30	38	0	+38	Down	+$8	03-21 15:51
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	1	$30	42	0	+42	No	-$30	04-15 13:52
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$30	53	0	+53	Yes	+$23	07-13 11:57
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	1	$30	36	0	+36	Yes	+$6	07-04 07:33
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	1	$29	43	0	+43	Yes	-$29	04-21 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 04:35:43	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	147	67¢	$98	0x27c31d…
07-18 12:44:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x6cb9a8…
07-13 11:57:04	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x6f079f…
07-13 11:53:41	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	133	60¢	$80	0xd75a0f…
07-09 23:35:58	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x2cb843…
07-08 13:39:11	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	129	62¢	$80	0x1e2748…
07-05 05:28:56	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x0651c7…
07-05 04:32:43	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xbac849…
07-04 07:34:55	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	145	34¢	$50	0x4a1c03…
07-04 07:33:25	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xc1bf11…
07-04 07:32:50	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xad89c8…
06-28 14:56:19	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xe34ae6…
06-28 14:54:19	Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x0eb25e…
06-28 14:53:35	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x3b660f…
06-28 14:53:20	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x4e6dfd…
06-28 14:53:10	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x77f5da…
06-28 14:52:41	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x9eb3cd…
06-14 22:29:55	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x3e1ed7…
06-14 22:29:13	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x27d8b0…
06-14 22:28:54	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xbecd21…
06-14 22:28:33	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x161e66…
06-14 22:28:16	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4a3245…
06-14 22:28:01	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x507797…
06-14 22:27:40	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb53e8a…
05-26 04:57:47	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xee749a…
05-25 18:30:08	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$4	0xd45471…
05-24 23:31:55	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xc54f57…
05-24 18:10:33	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc68aa3…
05-24 06:48:50	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xe364c7…
05-01 14:40:30	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	19¢	$49	0x666c9f…
04-29 03:01:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x182203…
04-25 09:03:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x054da6…
04-21 15:07:32	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xb41521…
04-21 15:04:56	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	67¢	$29	0x8c36cd…
04-20 03:24:38	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	128	90¢	$114	0xbcc3b8…
04-18 14:40:38	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xc83455…
04-15 13:52:02	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x3e9656…
04-15 12:47:08	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	85	41¢	$35	0x750899…
04-13 12:50:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xc9b235…
04-11 01:50:07	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x890230…
04-08 12:17:57	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x2d7883…
04-06 21:47:49	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xf70636…
04-06 21:45:39	will dualshot recorder be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x01e7f6…
04-05 00:15:57	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	Yes	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0xafdbb9…
04-04 07:45:11	will dualshot recorder be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	Yes	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xbeed34…
04-04 07:16:07	will xo kitty season 3 be the top us netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x904d3b…
04-04 06:40:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x21be64…
04-01 14:52:53	will dualshot recorder be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	Yes	BUY	76	65¢	$50	0xa887d5…
03-30 11:35:34	will silver si hit low 65 by end of march	Yes	SELL	41	19¢	$8	0x3bee31…
03-28 18:31:11	will gas hit high 4pt00 by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xe5a75c…
03-26 13:35:29	will silver si hit low 65 by end of march	Yes	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xcecf92…
03-26 13:27:11	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 385	Yes	BUY	165	61¢	$100	0x3f799f…
03-23 07:22:17	will charles hittler be the next mayor of arcis sur aube	Yes	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x2fd810…
03-23 07:22:07	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x7c41f7…
03-21 15:51:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x9ab480…
03-21 15:49:59	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x6a4e07…
03-20 10:31:17	will charles hittler be the next mayor of arcis sur aube	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x7d30d9…
03-20 10:27:19	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 20	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x2723f9…
03-20 10:20:05	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	741	27¢	$200	0x4e8c03…