Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$158

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$205

Open exposure

$492

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 09-13 01:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

57% 46% +$13,366

Other

36% 22% -$808

Sports

7% 25% -$234

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		+1,477	$350	29¢	$421	+$71	09-11 00:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes		+1,579	$300	4¢	$71	-$229	05-11 02:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$1.3K	10,298	0	+10,298	No	-$1,300	03-05 01:02
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$950	3,151	0	+3,151	Yes	+$2,201	02-07 02:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$901	4,373	0	+4,373	Yes	+$3,472	02-06 17:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$662	6,177	0	+6,177	Yes	+$5,515	02-05 18:17
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$500	2,082	0	+2,082	Yes	+$1,582	02-06 20:38
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$500	1,220	0	+1,220	No	-$500	01-29 19:55
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	1	$400	1,905	0	+1,905	Yes	+$1,505	02-11 19:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	2	$350	1,477	0	+1,477	open	—	09-11 00:13
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	2	$300	1,364	0	+1,364	Ben Shelton	+$1,064	09-08 03:36
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$300	702	0	+702	No	-$300	09-13 01:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$300	1,579	0	+1,579	open	—	05-11 02:16
atp tiafoe shelton 2026 09 11	1	$200	714	0	+714	Ben Shelton	-$200	09-10 02:38
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	1	$200	1,942	0	+1,942	No	-$200	02-06 17:28
will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	1	$160	3,336	0	+3,336	No	-$160	01-28 18:34
iran strike on israel by february 28	1	$150	306	0	+306	Yes	+$156	01-29 19:43
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	3	$129	597	455	+143	Seahawks	-$11	02-09 01:56
James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	1	$100	2,552	0	+2,552	No	-$100	05-02 18:43
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	1	$100	227	0	+227	Yes	+$127	09-12 03:43
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$100	1,250	0	+1,250	No	-$100	03-05 01:06
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula	1	$100	626	0	+626	Aryna Sabalenka	-$100	09-11 00:16
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$100	289	0	+289	No	-$100	01-30 02:31
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$100	291	0	+291	No	-$100	03-10 03:36
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	1	$100	159	0	+159	No	+$59	05-02 18:41
will jason myers win the super bowl lx mvp	1	$50	333	0	+333	No	-$50	02-09 02:02
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$40	909	0	+909	No	-$40	02-11 22:56
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	1	$40	1,004	0	+1,004	No	-$40	02-11 22:56
will elon musk be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	1	$30	35	0	+35	No	-$30	02-02 02:59
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	1	$25	208	0	+208	No	-$25	02-01 02:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 01:46:28	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	353	42¢	$150	0xfd8b6c…
09-12 03:44:24	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	349	43¢	$150	0x73b3aa…
09-12 03:43:33	Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xfc3b4f…
09-11 00:16:48	US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula	Jessica Pegula	BUY	626	16¢	$100	0xef4de7…
09-11 00:13:31	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,249	24¢	$300	0x9df267…
09-10 02:38:55	atp tiafoe shelton 2026 09 11	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	714	28¢	$200	0xee8b4c…
09-08 03:38:18	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x05b154…
09-08 03:36:10	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Ben Shelton	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xc8562a…
09-08 03:33:01	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Ben Shelton	BUY	909	22¢	$200	0xa949cd…
05-11 02:16:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,579	19¢	$300	0x0ba62c…
05-02 18:43:44	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,552	4¢	$100	0xa4b70a…
05-02 18:41:44	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x0a33d5…
03-10 03:36:59	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	291	34¢	$100	0x07001c…
03-05 01:06:37	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x538c96…
03-05 01:02:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,978	17¢	$500	0xbff0ba…
02-11 22:56:49	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1,004	4¢	$40	0xf9e707…
02-11 22:56:41	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	Yes	BUY	909	4¢	$40	0x4c83a5…
02-11 19:11:15	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,905	21¢	$400	0xe4d7ab…
02-09 02:02:23	will jason myers win the super bowl lx mvp	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xb8decb…
02-09 01:56:07	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x960203…
02-09 01:53:37	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	SELL	455	13¢	$59	0x2a4344…
02-09 01:51:13	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xae1f4a…
02-07 02:14:51	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1,923	26¢	$500	0xf20ff9…
02-06 20:38:03	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2,082	24¢	$500	0xa4a335…
02-06 17:30:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	7,320	11¢	$800	0xedbdd7…
02-06 17:28:51	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,942	10¢	$200	0xfb040c…
02-06 17:27:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,944	17¢	$501	0x585fb6…
02-05 18:17:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	4,286	7¢	$300	0x0a5d9a…
02-05 18:12:47	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	769	26¢	$200	0x9b61c6…
02-02 02:59:22	will elon musk be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x25c88c…
02-01 02:38:24	us strikes iran by february 4 2026	Yes	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x033ecf…
01-30 02:33:38	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xb93fa6…
01-30 02:31:52	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	289	35¢	$100	0x6d0f70…
01-30 02:29:14	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	991	20¢	$200	0x2d1224…
01-29 19:58:56	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0x82b2be…
01-29 19:55:00	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	1,220	41¢	$500	0x86d32c…
01-29 19:43:42	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	306	49¢	$150	0xf39d79…
01-29 19:40:24	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,429	28¢	$400	0x415d17…
01-28 18:35:34	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	900	18¢	$162	0x49e3e3…
01-28 18:34:46	will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	Yes	BUY	3,336	5¢	$160	0xf30d4f…