Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

114

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$1.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$50

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-05 18:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

53% 99% +$3

Politics

30% 88% +$7

Crypto

13% 100% +$1

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes		+52	$50	96¢	$50	$0	11-05 18:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	3	$108	70	41	+29	No	+$0	09-14 18:56
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$91	50	50	+0	No	+$3	10-28 05:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	09-07 13:03
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	3	$72	40	39	+0	No	+$1	10-18 14:21
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$61	43	40	+3	Yes	-$2	10-27 12:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	5	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$0	09-01 05:26
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	2	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	11-05 18:02
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$42	43	0	+43	Yes	+$1	10-02 04:08
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138 771 819 232	1	$39	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	07-01 02:04
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	08-05 12:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$36	37	0	+37	No	+$0	08-15 17:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$1	08-13 14:57
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$35	36	0	+36	No	+$0	08-10 09:45
grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	08-08 00:13
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	08-22 00:14
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	08-21 02:22
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	3	$34	35	0	+35	Yes	+$1	10-12 20:26
will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	08-01 00:13
will xi jinping visit us by september 23	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	09-23 10:05
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	1	$22	23	0	+23	No	+$1	09-29 02:13
will solana reach 110 in march 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-31 04:34
Will Solana reach $190 in October?	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$0	10-27 00:52
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	2	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	10-01 04:18
Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	08-26 21:47
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	02-25 01:27
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-15 07:56
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	09-13 14:58
will ethereum reach 2800 in august 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	08-31 21:31
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	08-27 10:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 18:02:43	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	44	96¢	$43	0x2f303f…
11-05 18:02:43	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x1cb51e…
10-28 05:52:55	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xda87ae…
10-27 22:03:36	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xe355da…
10-27 12:39:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc4b092…
10-27 00:52:23	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5aa70f…
10-26 06:46:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x9555cc…
10-26 05:53:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	35	73¢	$26	0xa1fdee…
10-25 22:27:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	97	1¢	$1	0x143063…
10-25 22:25:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa12e3f…
10-25 22:25:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x66f983…
10-25 22:25:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	194	1¢	$2	0xa5a7b9…
10-23 22:39:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	129	0¢	$0	0xd4dc03…
10-23 22:39:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4c45f0…
10-23 22:39:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	191	0¢	$0	0x83c342…
10-19 17:35:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x867b02…
10-18 14:21:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	31	92¢	$28	0x4f0be8…
10-18 14:20:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x6116d5…
10-17 15:46:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xc53a6b…
10-12 20:26:03	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0xb5d701…
10-12 20:26:00	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x5d2904…
10-12 15:33:53	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x34859f…
10-07 18:41:19	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf42933…
10-02 04:08:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x9099c8…
10-01 04:18:26	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd1db67…
09-30 20:32:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2033d5…
09-29 02:13:06	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x95d82d…
09-23 10:05:23	will xi jinping visit us by september 23	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9cb243…
09-23 07:58:28	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8fc75c…
09-23 00:40:37	Will Solana dip to $50 in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe87b48…
09-14 18:56:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x305b01…
09-13 14:58:57	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x2d54e6…
09-13 11:55:24	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x11d954…
09-12 09:07:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x56e0df…
09-10 22:54:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x955a3f…
09-07 13:03:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xc72ac7…
09-04 22:34:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x228781…
09-01 05:26:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd2c7bf…
08-31 21:31:31	will ethereum reach 2800 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90ea88…
08-29 17:37:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x73e39e…
08-29 17:32:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbad407…
08-27 10:19:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97fb60…
08-26 21:47:37	Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x39fd3d…
08-25 15:54:06	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xcceac5…
08-25 12:00:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xb9baa8…
08-25 09:11:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xd89d0f…
08-22 00:14:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3b1f58…
08-21 02:22:15	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x337080…
08-16 20:40:27	will ethereum dip to 1200 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x14f45e…
08-15 17:52:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0xe35445…
08-13 14:57:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	36	98¢	$36	0x6b7de9…
08-12 22:39:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x1042ad…
08-10 09:45:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0xe5e0cb…
08-08 00:13:52	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x81226d…
08-06 00:56:18	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcb050e…
08-05 12:50:51	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x75f96e…
08-03 16:12:08	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x15be58…
08-01 00:13:21	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc39e4e…
07-31 00:51:05	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc035a1…
07-30 21:25:05	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfcebe3…
07-30 15:27:21	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb8a891…
07-30 10:58:29	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xcd13cc…
07-30 09:51:35	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x587bb1…
07-30 05:44:48	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9b911f…
07-29 02:57:57	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8337f9…
07-27 23:54:16	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b9f8f…
07-27 13:08:06	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3bbc99…
07-26 09:32:37	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47e707…
07-25 20:44:54	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8469e0…
07-25 17:56:52	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab45f2…
07-25 04:43:21	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x35028b…
07-25 04:35:31	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x702dc1…
07-25 04:13:16	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a76f7…
07-24 03:59:39	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd60c8a…
07-22 03:05:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd702ab…
07-20 21:10:43	will wti dip to 50 in july 2026 844 913	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xdcdd80…
07-17 15:33:19	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x171f78…
07-17 14:47:12	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe19291…
07-17 10:19:12	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb61b18…
07-01 02:04:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138 771 819 232	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xa1bf94…
05-15 07:56:44	Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x325a8e…
05-11 06:24:51	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x780d44…
05-09 16:28:20	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6c2c3c…
05-07 23:14:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb8aca4…
05-07 23:09:39	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x868ced…
05-06 11:24:36	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x19cd7a…
05-05 21:58:32	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xea80f2…
05-05 13:24:14	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c04e2…
04-27 09:27:44	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6e7814…
04-26 14:47:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa7be43…
04-24 16:08:06	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x56f53d…
04-23 20:04:42	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ea4e2…
04-21 22:43:20	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf3fde6…
04-21 07:03:22	Will Solana dip to $30 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa22166…
04-19 20:12:38	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xefe641…
04-18 17:30:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0019bc…
04-18 05:20:44	Will Solana dip to $30 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9853f8…
04-17 10:56:06	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x492fc8…
04-17 05:50:06	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xe8330e…
04-15 20:09:56	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0452b3…