Lanky-Senator-Wire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.11K

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

42.2%

Resolved

397

Trades

1,180

lifetime

Volume

$35.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$214

10 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 11-03 11:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Other

74% 35% -$600

Politics

17% 60% -$354

Crypto

7% 26% -$83

Sports

3% 18% -$74

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+120	$111	98¢	$117	+$6	09-15 17:56
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+50	$45	97¢	$48	+$3	06-15 12:31
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+76	$33	30¢	$23	-$10	11-02 13:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+50	$13	20¢	$10	-$3	11-03 11:16
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$10	11¢	$5	-$4	10-03 05:43
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+100	$3	4¢	$4	+$0	11-02 15:33
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$3	6¢	$3	$0	09-13 14:37
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+101	$5	2¢	$2	-$3	09-20 19:58
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+1	$3	94¢	$1	-$2	10-02 14:07
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	+49	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	06-15 12:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	2	$3.9K	4,904	4,904	+0	No	+$0	05-19 12:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	6	$3.4K	2,194	2,194	+0	open	—	05-11 07:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$2.1K	1,506	1,506	+0	No	-$354	05-25 19:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	38	$1.6K	1,292	592	+700	Yes	+$1	10-27 23:46
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	17	$662	1,042	0	+1,042	Gen.G	+$40	04-30 10:18
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	14	$587	358	285	+73	No	+$21	10-25 19:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	28	$583	570	486	+84	Yes	+$85	10-30 23:36
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	22	$583	508	458	+50	No	-$49	10-28 08:29
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	9	$535	551	0	+551	Hanwha Life Esports	+$16	05-06 11:56
cs2 red9 m8 2026 04 14	8	$483	418	413	+5	RED Canids	$0	04-14 15:50
cs2 vit g2 2026 04 14	10	$438	420	414	+6	Vitality	-$6	04-14 16:23
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	18	$357	832	0	+832	Vitality	-$36	04-30 19:48
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	8	$353	401	0	+401	Natus Vincere	+$48	05-11 19:46
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	17	$350	426	350	+76	open	—	11-02 13:00
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	14	$345	645	0	+645	JD Gaming	+$12	05-06 14:06
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	16	$315	350	350	+0	Yes	+$3	10-25 11:11
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner	12	$307	611	0	+611	Astralis	-$1	04-30 16:43
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	11	$297	625	0	+625	Astralis	-$10	04-30 16:42
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	12	$294	502	0	+502	Gen.G	+$6	05-06 09:26
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9	$282	555	0	+555	Spirit	-$29	05-11 16:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	13	$268	277	258	+19	Yes	+$7	10-15 21:01
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	11	$253	495	0	+495	FaZe	-$110	05-01 22:27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	9	$245	454	0	+454	G2	-$43	04-30 19:12
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	6	$240	252	0	+252	Bilibili Gaming	+$12	04-29 13:12
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	9	$234	451	0	+451	Team WE	-$36	05-06 11:09
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	11	$228	454	0	+454	L1ga Team	-$26	05-05 21:42
cs2 navi furia 2026 04 14	6	$223	307	301	+6	FURIA	-$15	04-14 21:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	16	$210	385	285	+100	Yes	+$19	10-29 00:56
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	17	$209	658	155	+503	G2 Esports	-$31	04-29 16:23
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	7	$206	356	0	+356	MOUZ	+$47	05-12 07:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 11:16:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x03aeab…
11-02 15:33:48	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x18acdf…
11-02 13:00:57	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0xb56bd2…
11-01 22:58:37	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xabf5b5…
11-01 16:46:46	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xd7a0dd…
10-31 05:57:09	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x365193…
10-30 23:36:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	64	2¢	$2	0x8c3308…
10-30 22:07:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xe1a752…
10-30 21:36:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x430132…
10-30 18:39:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	51	86¢	$44	0x0071e4…
10-30 18:07:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc5c0c0…
10-30 05:16:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x6a15ec…
10-30 03:51:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	48	59¢	$28	0x2986d4…
10-29 00:56:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xdc8c4a…
10-28 10:54:20	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	46	5¢	$2	0xcc7dd3…
10-28 08:29:49	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0xab776b…
10-28 06:29:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x883913…
10-28 02:10:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0xea014b…
10-27 23:46:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x676af9…
10-27 20:39:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0xa3c48d…
10-27 20:35:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	51	72¢	$37	0x2e4362…
10-27 20:32:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xca71f6…
10-27 20:31:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xcb81a8…
10-27 20:31:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	51	72¢	$37	0xf45a59…
10-27 20:31:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	51	72¢	$37	0x38473f…
10-27 19:19:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x4e07b4…
10-27 19:18:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x6247a7…
10-27 16:09:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xaa391d…
10-27 14:54:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xd59295…
10-27 08:25:21	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x1f5fb3…
10-27 06:57:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xb32d3b…
10-27 06:50:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xd688b3…
10-27 06:42:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xf2ec75…
10-27 01:54:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xe0eaa8…
10-26 22:49:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x8f56e2…
10-26 18:53:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	42	92¢	$39	0xadd6df…
10-26 18:52:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xd0a63f…
10-26 13:25:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x6f1df9…
10-26 12:50:35	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x61e092…
10-26 10:58:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x0697cd…
10-26 10:34:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x295770…
10-26 02:46:35	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x1c3d6d…
10-25 21:21:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xa4b8c1…
10-25 21:21:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	51	34¢	$17	0x75d772…
10-25 21:20:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	51	34¢	$17	0xc363d0…
10-25 21:20:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x57ca4a…
10-25 21:20:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x04908b…
10-25 21:20:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x5135b2…
10-25 21:20:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	51	34¢	$17	0xef523c…
10-25 21:20:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xbc0b62…
10-25 21:19:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xea9ada…
10-25 21:18:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7774d4…
10-25 21:18:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xb7ba5d…
10-25 21:17:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x5d8cfb…
10-25 21:17:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xeea559…
10-25 21:16:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x9c1e69…
10-25 21:15:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xa431d3…
10-25 21:01:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x6c2c72…
10-25 20:57:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7e4cf7…
10-25 20:56:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xe795d7…
10-25 20:55:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x48d511…
10-25 20:54:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xf679c6…
10-25 20:53:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x6d1c52…
10-25 20:51:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x8721c6…
10-25 20:50:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xb27389…
10-25 20:49:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x73ce6f…
10-25 20:47:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x8c9046…
10-25 20:46:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x304050…
10-25 20:43:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x2fde66…
10-25 19:51:50	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe725d5…
10-25 19:49:29	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x70f657…
10-25 17:06:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x5b351d…
10-25 17:06:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	41	15¢	$6	0xfd8989…
10-25 14:52:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xb2e5af…
10-25 11:11:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	21	71¢	$15	0x33d3c5…
10-25 10:56:29	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x0000f5…
10-25 07:07:09	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x1bf446…
10-25 01:12:50	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x60e700…
10-24 22:49:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0xca3514…
10-24 16:36:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x2415e6…
10-24 15:58:53	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x3501e0…
10-24 13:08:05	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xef11b4…
10-24 11:58:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	29	71¢	$21	0x74d5fc…
10-24 11:40:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xa85706…
10-24 11:34:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	27¢	$13	0x8fb367…
10-24 10:32:38	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x2e1ad8…
10-24 10:27:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x8402ef…
10-24 10:00:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x8e3081…
10-24 05:03:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x4932be…
10-24 04:50:50	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x30909c…
10-24 03:02:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x889e07…
10-24 01:48:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x6683bd…
10-23 22:49:05	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x030cda…
10-23 19:45:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xea1664…
10-23 13:51:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x43dbb4…
10-23 12:08:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x76b50c…
10-23 12:05:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xf4ad02…
10-23 05:49:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x42e005…
10-23 05:27:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x928bb4…
10-23 04:09:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xb7473f…