(anonymous) 0xb240ae…d553cb
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$598
Unrealized P&L
+$831
Hit rate
88.9%
Resolved
16
Trades
68
lifetime
Volume
$3.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$3.24K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-20
last 10-30 16:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
75% 73% +$538
Other
25% 100% +$60
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +594 $449 99¢ $590 +$141 10-28 02:04
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +241 $149 97¢ $233 +$84 10-29 16:31
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +344 $100 62¢ $213 +$114 10-26 13:35
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +212 $100 98¢ $207 +$107 10-26 01:38
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +222 $140 85¢ $188 +$48 10-27 20:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +283 $150 65¢ $184 +$34 10-30 16:40
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +185 $150 99¢ $184 +$34 10-27 22:50
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +201 $144 84¢ $170 +$25 10-28 07:35
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +156 $83 100¢ $156 +$73 10-20 22:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +137 $80 86¢ $119 +$38 10-30 00:11
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +120 $100 98¢ $118 +$19 10-26 05:16
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +169 $100 59¢ $100 $0 10-22 12:02
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +99 $55 99¢ $98 +$43 10-28 11:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +98 $50 92¢ $90 +$40 10-29 22:47
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +93 $63 89¢ $83 +$20 10-22 21:21
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +243 $66 33¢ $80 +$15 10-25 13:08
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +81 $47 94¢ $76 +$29 10-29 11:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +73 $50 95¢ $69 +$19 10-29 22:51
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +195 $96 32¢ $61 -$34 10-28 18:16
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +47 $26 99¢ $47 +$20 10-28 12:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +139 $67 31¢ $43 -$24 10-28 20:02
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +42 $24 90¢ $38 +$14 10-21 19:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? Yes +31 $10 98¢ $30 +$20 10-29 20:33
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +108 $26 27¢ $29 +$3 10-30 14:32
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +18 $11 92¢ $17 +$6 10-23 16:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +13 $7 100¢ $13 +$6 10-21 19:55
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +30 $21 3¢ $1 -$20 10-29 06:55
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +33 $20 2¢ $1 -$19 10-25 19:46
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +42 $12 2¢ $1 -$11 10-25 20:31
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +27 $14 2¢ $0 -$13 10-29 08:36