Acrobatic-Vampire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$872

Unrealized P&L

+$73

Hit rate

88.6%

Resolved

135

Trades

372

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Politics

55% 77% +$540

Other

29% 67% +$255

Sports

15% 63% +$72

Tech

0% 100% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes		-130	-$84	8¢	$-11	+$73	05-22 23:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	9	$2.0K	1,501	1,501	+0	Yes	+$49	03-25 20:47
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$821	519	519	+0	No	+$21	03-22 02:54
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	11	$629	432	432	+0	Yes	+$5	02-15 11:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$502	480	480	+0	No	+$42	03-25 20:32
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	5	$458	385	385	+0	Yes	+$18	03-06 14:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$433	253	253	+0	No	+$33	04-29 16:09
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 50m and 75m views in its first 7 days	3	$404	204	204	+0	No	+$4	02-12 04:21
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	13	$360	467	467	+0	No	+$70	02-15 11:21
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	4	$359	249	249	+0	No	+$59	05-18 14:37
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	6	$311	270	270	+0	open	—	06-06 21:08
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	4	$293	184	184	+0	No	+$53	01-25 20:23
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	6	$287	225	225	+0	open	—	06-28 20:20
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	4	$274	251	251	+0	Yes	+$14	03-04 18:12
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	6	$228	235	235	+0	Yes	+$28	01-27 19:14
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	6	$220	183	183	+0	No	+$23	03-08 18:42
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	2	$215	128	128	+0	No	+$15	06-13 14:21
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$207	110	110	+0	No	+$7	05-18 13:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$204	160	160	+0	No	+$4	04-18 16:08
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	2	$202	106	106	+0	No	+$2	01-21 17:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	2	$202	106	106	+0	No	+$2	06-18 02:44
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$201	103	103	+0	No	+$1	03-01 20:54
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$200	122	122	+0	Yes	$0	06-13 14:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$198	0	200	-200	Yes	-$2	05-09 11:20
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	4	$194	206	206	+0	Yes	+$54	05-18 14:38
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	3	$190	134	134	+0	No	+$19	05-21 13:55
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$183	192	192	+0	Yes	+$43	03-02 23:37
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	5	$177	185	185	+0	Yes	+$43	03-21 11:49
James Comey arrested by May 15?	4	$149	83	83	+0	Yes	+$9	04-29 13:56
will heather mcpherson win the canadian ndp leadership election	2	$139	425	425	+0	No	-$61	03-14 00:51
starmer out by june 22 2026	3	$130	83	83	+0	Yes	+$10	06-21 22:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 15:25:37	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	4¢	$10	0x8aa697…
06-28 20:30:22	Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Canada?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbf77f8…
06-28 20:20:37	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	225	76¢	$171	0xfbbdf7…
06-28 20:18:58	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team total home 0pt5	Under	SELL	16	72¢	$11	0xa731f2…
06-28 20:18:44	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	No	SELL	26	86¢	$23	0xbed910…
06-28 20:08:19	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x8c05e8…
06-28 20:07:23	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x8dff85…
06-21 22:45:47	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	43	34¢	$14	0x3cb71e…
06-21 22:38:49	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	83	4¢	$3	0x18937c…
06-21 22:38:38	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	83	84¢	$70	0xc821ac…
06-21 20:51:47	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe60171…
06-21 11:24:07	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x303779…
06-21 11:23:38	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0xb7e194…
06-21 11:23:05	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x8fec9c…
06-18 02:44:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	106	96¢	$102	0x3e006d…
06-16 13:49:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xeb4818…
06-13 14:21:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	128	90¢	$115	0x0cdb3b…
06-13 14:21:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	122	82¢	$100	0x84e126…
06-13 12:16:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x86bb3f…
06-13 12:16:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x642b6a…
06-11 16:43:36	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	2¢	$5	0x6eb8d3…
06-11 16:40:36	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xc1d07a…
06-11 13:54:30	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x2d4d30…
06-11 11:34:40	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x6adcb3…
06-11 11:34:07	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4423d6…
06-08 00:38:09	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	46	63¢	$29	0x462507…
06-07 02:00:15	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x274519…
06-06 21:08:06	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	198	60¢	$119	0xbb7e99…
06-06 09:47:34	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0xd80f3f…
06-06 04:38:03	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0x8cf272…
06-06 01:21:15	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x71caa4…
06-05 20:24:01	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	60¢	$23	0xaadfdf…
06-05 01:11:13	graham platner drops out before maine senate dem primary	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xbe5183…
06-04 20:20:57	graham platner drops out before maine senate dem primary	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x56dd4c…
06-04 14:25:36	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xe7686c…
06-03 15:12:48	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?	Yes	SELL	101	77¢	$78	0xaa0a67…
06-03 00:45:43	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	53¢	$63	0x2147b3…
06-01 18:32:33	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	65¢	$46	0xfacb5a…
06-01 01:12:47	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?	Yes	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0x7e05d0…
06-01 01:12:14	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0xd9d6a3…
05-22 23:55:04	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	130	65¢	$84	0x7ce456…
05-21 13:55:25	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	SELL	134	78¢	$105	0x73daed…
05-20 03:01:50	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xa49149…
05-20 03:01:09	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x79018d…
05-20 02:59:23	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	196	11¢	$21	0x5beb25…
05-19 22:56:51	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0x2e8cd5…
05-18 14:38:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	148	63¢	$93	0xc77232…
05-18 14:37:20	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	143	91¢	$130	0xa760d6…
05-18 13:15:19	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	110	98¢	$107	0xcdb68a…
05-17 18:35:01	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xd508e6…
05-17 18:33:55	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x2b7652…
05-17 18:33:39	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xd432ba…
05-17 18:31:51	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	148	34¢	$50	0x34a35a…
05-13 19:27:55	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	23¢	$31	0x315f7a…
05-12 21:01:44	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xc99e5c…
05-12 20:54:25	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x81856b…
05-12 17:57:12	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	106	74¢	$79	0xd909de…
05-12 17:57:00	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	54¢	$31	0x11fdb1…
05-12 17:56:39	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	69	93¢	$64	0xde73bb…
05-12 02:51:15	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x80b766…
05-12 02:49:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0xdece85…
05-12 02:49:16	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xf539ff…
05-12 02:49:02	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x752519…
05-10 12:18:29	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x18546b…
05-10 12:18:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x4052ee…
05-09 17:14:18	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2c7801…
05-09 11:20:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x9a77de…
05-08 12:12:03	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	SELL	62	93¢	$57	0x2f8fed…
05-08 02:36:53	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xcde22a…
05-07 19:25:48	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x06a6ca…
05-06 23:07:48	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xde5c71…
05-06 03:45:30	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0xaaa4e0…
04-29 16:09:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	253	92¢	$233	0xe9cf42…
04-29 16:08:32	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0xe1cb8b…
04-29 13:56:42	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	SELL	83	95¢	$79	0xab7bc0…
04-29 12:41:22	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	31	66¢	$20	0xf24551…
04-29 12:40:44	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x09e78c…
04-29 04:15:50	James Comey arrested by April 28?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x695342…
04-29 00:53:44	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x33a739…
04-29 00:47:06	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x17c838…
04-29 00:37:40	James Comey arrested by April 28?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x231d24…
04-24 18:55:22	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x2ca169…
04-21 11:01:56	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	No	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0xbcf403…
04-20 03:29:34	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	206	9¢	$18	0xe9dda1…
04-19 22:28:24	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x7900ca…
04-19 22:04:24	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x0bfb1b…
04-19 02:50:18	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	SELL	91	62¢	$57	0x725b6f…
04-19 02:14:24	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xd78833…
04-18 23:45:00	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	233	7¢	$15	0x005785…
04-18 23:44:12	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	240	24¢	$59	0xd0d4a8…
04-18 16:08:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	160	65¢	$104	0x6b685e…
04-16 20:22:26	Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x8b0c0a…
04-16 20:18:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	160	62¢	$100	0x028728…
04-16 20:11:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xce01a6…
04-14 02:26:19	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xb2d6ef…
04-14 01:35:27	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xe8ff49…
04-13 14:05:11	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x9d9f14…
04-11 19:44:49	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	196	5¢	$10	0x0ffe75…
04-11 19:44:41	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	206	5¢	$10	0xde37db…
04-11 18:08:49	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	194	15¢	$30	0x05a994…