Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$540

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-02 08:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Politics

24% 100% +$1

Crypto

22% 0% $-1

Sports

1% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No		-5	$-4	71¢	$-4	+$0	06-02 08:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+2	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-28 08:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	6	$70	71	71	+0	open	—	03-10 14:36
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	11	$43	61	27	+34	open	—	03-12 15:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$33	28	28	+0	Yes	+$1	03-12 07:55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	03-20 08:59
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	03-20 08:59
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	2	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	01-06 15:59
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	2	$18	29	29	+0	open	—	01-06 15:59
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	04-25 06:18
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$16	40	40	+0	open	—	01-30 20:06
will russia strike kyiv on february 7 2026	4	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	02-08 10:01
over 120m committed to the ranger public sale 394 737 727 472 842	2	$16	37	37	+0	open	—	01-06 15:59
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 9 2026	3	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	03-12 18:46
will iran strike israel on march 10	5	$15	16	16	+0	open	—	03-13 07:03
will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	3	$12	18	4	+14	open	—	02-24 18:48
will russia strike kyiv on february 21 2026	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-23 08:12
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-14 07:27
will russia strike kyiv on february 16 2026	4	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	02-15 07:20
will russia strike kyiv on february 17 2026	4	$9	12	3	+9	open	—	02-16 16:06
will russia strike kyiv on february 15 2026	4	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	02-15 07:21
will russia strike kyiv on february 18 2026	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-18 06:59
will russia strike kyiv on february 13 2026	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-13 10:06
will russia strike kyiv on february 14 2026	4	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	02-15 07:20
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-04 07:13
will tisza win 50 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-14 07:27
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	3	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	02-19 07:11
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	01-15 08:21
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	02-19 07:11
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 06:08
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	01-15 08:21
will russia strike kyiv on february 5 2026	2	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	02-05 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 08:18:08	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x1699d4…
05-28 08:47:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0080b0…
04-25 06:18:10	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x9b3ac0…
04-18 12:52:18	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x85fab6…
04-18 12:49:16	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x981392…
04-18 09:45:26	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xe951c9…
04-18 09:45:14	will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcba9a6…
04-17 08:38:12	Will Bayern München score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x5b2fef…
04-14 07:27:37	will tisza win 50 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xaec778…
04-14 07:27:31	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x787e44…
04-14 07:27:23	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x4424d5…
04-14 07:26:49	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xe5752d…
04-14 07:26:47	Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x74d6df…
04-14 07:26:31	USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x04ef45…
04-12 10:15:17	will voter turnout be 7174 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x5ae78b…
04-11 12:52:51	will fidesz kdnp win 70 84 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xae9ad9…
04-11 12:52:51	will fidesz kdnp win 85 99 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x433636…
04-11 12:50:57	Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xeb7700…
04-11 12:48:45	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x574f69…
04-11 12:35:17	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdd5035…
04-10 08:30:43	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xb1c90d…
04-09 06:08:09	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xd6a07c…
04-08 11:50:23	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x599ee2…
04-08 11:20:57	Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xf58616…
04-08 09:06:01	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x05921c…
04-07 12:26:19	Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x67b694…
04-07 12:25:15	USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc3cbbf…
04-07 12:23:45	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x7e1ad7…
03-29 10:01:24	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x30e100…
03-27 08:08:13	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x64b351…
03-27 08:07:33	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xca50b5…
03-25 17:45:17	will voter turnout be 7174 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x6754f6…
03-25 17:45:07	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1b3093…
03-25 17:34:31	will tisza win 46 50 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xb5be65…
03-25 17:34:11	will tisza win 50 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe7628b…
03-24 17:20:21	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6ca957…
03-23 15:58:57	will fidesz kdnp win 70 84 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x159cff…
03-23 15:58:43	will fidesz kdnp win 85 99 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe4ba01…
03-23 15:38:49	will tisza win 110119 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x2beb4e…
03-23 15:38:41	will tisza win 120 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe2128c…
03-20 08:59:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	15	63¢	$10	0xe473a0…
03-20 08:59:41	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0xe32c04…
03-18 09:24:43	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7a8fff…
03-18 09:24:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x0de3c4…
03-18 08:32:05	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x9e8975…
03-18 08:31:57	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x913627…
03-13 07:03:45	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x7da3f3…
03-12 18:46:33	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 9 2026	No	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0xa5dd90…
03-12 15:27:29	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xfdf9dc…
03-12 14:22:47	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	No	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xd97a2f…
03-12 14:07:09	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xa081d9…
03-12 11:53:25	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x57b18b…
03-12 08:46:11	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd99c5c…
03-12 08:44:27	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x7a8554…
03-12 08:41:31	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x1d92dd…
03-12 07:58:39	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 9 2026	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x39cb0b…
03-12 07:58:33	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x7bb651…
03-12 07:57:11	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x44777e…
03-12 07:55:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	18	58¢	$11	0x098100…
03-10 14:36:41	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x0afed8…
03-10 14:36:35	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x1ed8ec…
03-10 14:27:15	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x1a3c7f…
03-10 14:27:09	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xb01d0a…
03-10 07:02:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xa80753…
03-09 07:12:39	will iran strike israel on march 9	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x3f346e…
03-07 15:43:31	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xaddf50…
03-07 13:36:09	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x13c3f5…
03-07 13:35:57	will iran strike israel on march 9	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x05688f…
03-07 13:35:35	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4012f8…
03-07 12:25:51	will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x2f444e…
03-07 11:29:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2bd559…
03-07 11:00:31	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x603903…
03-07 07:57:41	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x94d721…
03-07 05:50:53	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	No	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0xf6f6b5…
03-04 18:15:47	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 9 2026	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x07587c…
03-04 18:15:29	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x249246…
03-04 07:13:49	Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1fd9e2…
03-03 12:34:19	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x47940c…
03-02 20:11:21	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x319c13…
03-01 18:19:23	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xc0fd30…
03-01 18:14:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x475875…
03-01 17:43:23	Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd2bd18…
03-01 17:43:15	Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x9edc49…
03-01 17:39:41	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8f1ccd…
03-01 17:33:35	Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb2284e…
03-01 17:19:15	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x41dfa8…
03-01 17:19:07	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x13ef8d…
03-01 17:15:05	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0x0263cb…
03-01 17:11:21	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6cd945…
03-01 17:11:09	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6841c2…
03-01 17:03:05	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x9e7a55…
02-25 13:25:14	Will Bayern München score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1beea0…
02-25 13:25:08	Will Manchester City score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd361fb…
02-25 08:39:20	will frankenstein win exactly 3 awards at the oscars	No	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x3e69f2…
02-24 18:48:42	will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd54622…
02-24 18:48:42	will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xb3bd08…
02-24 18:12:08	will mrbeasts next video get 37pt0 million or more views on day 4	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x8edee5…
02-24 18:11:08	will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x74b2bc…
02-23 17:44:06	will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xdbb2d4…
02-23 10:14:22	will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	No	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xa811d8…