Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

48.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$133

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-27

last 10-19 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

72% 48% +$5

Politics

23% 31% -$9

Tech

4% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No		+3	$2	95¢	$3	+$1	08-18 17:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	3	$7	16	+16	No	$0	08-02 21:00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	2	$4	11	+11	Yes	+$2	09-07 14:24
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	08-01 02:39
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-13 22:17
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-19 07:28
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-23 11:06
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 05:20
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-11 15:19
wti closes above 91 on september 23 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-23 03:02
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	09-16 07:03
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?	1	$2	10	+10	Down	+$7	09-22 18:48
will xagusd reach 65 by september 21 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-24 03:10
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$2	09-20 21:32
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-24 03:14
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-12 15:10
spx up or down on september 11 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	09-11 01:37
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-03 09:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	08-01 17:13
Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-23 19:08
spy closes above 755 on september 17 2026	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-17 03:25
will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-18 08:40
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-18 22:44
tko quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 1pt34	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-02 02:56
spy up or down on september 10 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Down	+$5	09-10 05:25
will trump say golf or golfer during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556644	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	07-28 10:23
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-03 09:46
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-17 04:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-04 05:51
xagusd up or down on august 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	08-16 22:39
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	08-18 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 04:04:15	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7beadc…
10-18 20:04:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc1764e…
10-18 11:51:53	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xeda50f…
10-18 01:04:02	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x40eb92…
10-17 15:43:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x29f223…
10-15 18:58:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x77d651…
10-15 10:48:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x85e8c9…
10-15 01:59:37	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x27f8db…
10-14 17:59:16	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf1a361…
10-14 09:52:29	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x497df3…
10-14 01:37:41	will meta reach 770 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8fe81e…
10-11 05:09:06	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5486d4…
10-10 19:22:21	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb42065…
10-09 13:47:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x52ec02…
10-09 05:27:02	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xca4392…
10-08 07:56:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8402b6…
10-07 23:56:26	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3d00c4…
10-07 03:51:56	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x65abd2…
10-07 03:51:51	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x236fa3…
10-06 19:51:12	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 6?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb3ec54…
10-06 11:45:22	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcd015c…
10-06 03:44:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x51234a…
10-05 16:51:41	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9d5505…
10-05 00:48:52	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6ce9b4…
10-02 15:26:14	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2f9c9e…
10-02 06:59:57	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf0f0e9…
10-01 16:52:56	will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x11ff61…
10-01 08:52:05	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfdf9d3…
09-30 11:55:45	meta up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x91001e…
09-30 03:33:12	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8c3ee0…
09-29 19:30:45	will ewy dip to 181 by september 28 2026 from september 28	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd0cd33…
09-29 10:55:09	spx up or down on september 29 2026	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x78470b…
09-29 02:54:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x088ee7…
09-28 18:54:27	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xaf058c…
09-28 10:49:41	will meta reach 780 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2ffba4…
09-28 00:56:14	will ng reach 3 30 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8f41ab…
09-27 16:45:12	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xae94b5…
09-27 16:45:02	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe332d1…
09-27 05:58:39	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2a60c6…
09-27 02:53:38	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf0e436…
09-26 07:37:30	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2a49b9…
09-25 21:42:08	will spy dip to 770 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc67b08…
09-25 13:41:57	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf35380…
09-24 03:14:04	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x71dda0…
09-24 03:10:38	will xagusd reach 65 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xbafc2d…
09-23 19:08:49	Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa98c3c…
09-23 11:06:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb3465d…
09-23 03:02:31	wti closes above 91 on september 23 2026	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xe592cb…
09-22 18:48:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x04726e…
09-20 21:32:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa7fdfe…
09-19 07:28:24	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x84c245…
09-18 22:44:13	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x759ed7…
09-17 12:10:58	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc8342b…
09-17 03:25:24	spy closes above 755 on september 17 2026	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x65d005…
09-16 07:03:22	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xee530c…
09-13 22:17:42	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xb4d881…
09-12 15:10:40	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x22af4e…
09-11 15:19:43	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x450a6d…
09-11 01:37:06	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb44bca…
09-10 05:25:43	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x02be17…
09-08 05:20:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x294e7b…
09-07 14:24:21	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf46ef5…
09-03 08:48:46	spx up or down on september 3 2026	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf596fa…
09-02 20:59:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x313c1d…
08-18 17:00:31	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x327741…
08-18 08:40:21	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xb9b907…
08-17 12:14:06	wti closes above 82 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x025d62…
08-17 04:11:58	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xef9a41…
08-16 22:39:37	xagusd up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc5cb84…
08-04 05:51:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc4c2df…
08-03 09:47:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2824a9…
08-03 09:46:56	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x9ea3cf…
08-02 21:00:56	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x073439…
08-02 20:53:18	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xc8c58b…
08-02 02:56:50	tko quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 1pt34	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x8a83cb…
08-01 17:13:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xcc6037…
08-01 17:13:08	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2a88ad…
08-01 02:39:08	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf2cb15…
07-31 18:38:42	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1f6518…
07-31 10:37:42	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xe28e20…
07-30 20:19:03	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa2936c…
07-29 22:36:08	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xaa2565…
07-29 08:18:56	Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9c8bbd…
07-28 10:23:52	will trump say golf or golfer during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556644	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe5ebfc…
07-28 01:32:40	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8a496a…
07-27 16:10:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x2f1956…