Realized P&L (90d)
+$18
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
99.4%
Resolved (90d)
353
Trades (90d)
500
2,153 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$4.40K
$130.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$307
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 16:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Politics
52% 33% -$84
Other
47% 92% -$226
Crypto
1% 99% +$13
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Micron (MU) Up or Down on November 12? Down +20 $19 89¢ $18 -$1 11-12 15:51
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-11 16:56
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 02:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 11? Yes +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-11 12:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 09:55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 05:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 02:12
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 06:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 12? Yes +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 01:20
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 06:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-11 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-11 13:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 12? Yes +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-11 22:49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-11 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-11 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? Down +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 14:12
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF + Maori? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-07 08:26
Will the price of Solana be above $75 on November 12? Yes +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 02:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 12? Yes +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 05:26
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on November 12? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-11 22:47
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 12? Yes +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-11 17:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 12? Yes +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-11 17:24