Inexperienced-Downfall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved

2,820

Trades

3,353

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 10-21 23:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 92% -$80

Other

7% 97% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 04:30 UTC	23	$57	111	+111	Down	-$7	03-31 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 03:45 UTC	21	$52	105	+105	Down	-$2	03-31 03:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 03:30 UTC	20	$49	100	+100	Down	+$6	03-31 03:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 04:45 UTC	18	$46	91	+91	Down	-$1	03-31 04:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 05:00 UTC	17	$44	85	+85	Down	-$4	03-31 05:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 04:00 UTC	17	$44	85	+85	Down	+$1	03-31 04:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 05:30 UTC	15	$37	75	+75	Up	-$2	03-31 05:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 05:45 UTC	14	$34	75	+75	Up	-$4	03-31 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 04:15 UTC	13	$34	74	+74	Down	+$5	03-31 04:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 09:30 UTC	14	$33	71	+71	Up	-$3	03-31 09:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 06:15 UTC	14	$31	62	+62	Down	-$1	03-31 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 01:40 UTC	5	$29	30	+30	Up	+$1	04-13 01:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 04:15 UTC	12	$27	64	+64	Up	-$2	04-01 04:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 05:15 UTC	12	$27	56	+56	Up	-$2	03-31 05:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 06:30 UTC	11	$27	55	+55	Up	-$2	03-31 06:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 05:30 UTC	12	$27	60	+60	Down	-$2	04-01 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 05:45 UTC	12	$27	58	+58	Down	-$2	04-01 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 08:45 UTC	11	$26	55	+55	Down	+$9	03-31 08:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 09:00 UTC	10	$25	52	+52	Down	+$2	03-31 09:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 07:45 UTC	11	$25	57	+57	Up	-$5	03-31 07:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 04:45 UTC	10	$25	50	+50	Up	+$0	04-01 04:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 06:00 UTC	11	$25	58	+58	Down	+$0	03-31 06:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:05 UTC	5	$25	29	+29	Down	+$4	04-13 04:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 03:30 UTC	10	$24	50	+50	Up	+$6	04-01 03:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 07:00 UTC	9	$24	45	+45	Down	-$4	03-31 07:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 05:25 UTC	4	$24	24	+24	Up	+$0	04-13 05:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 06:45 UTC	9	$22	49	+49	Up	-$2	03-31 06:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 06:00 UTC	9	$22	49	+49	Up	-$2	04-01 06:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 09:15 UTC	9	$21	43	+43	Down	+$1	03-31 09:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 05:15 UTC	9	$21	43	+43	Up	-$1	04-01 05:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 23:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on October 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdbc313…
10-14 23:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on October 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9fe0ea…
10-01 23:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 2?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x87338d…
09-21 05:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x670abd…
09-21 01:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5d7f81…
09-14 14:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on September 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x28bd8a…
09-13 23:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2afb63…
09-13 23:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa0e94c…
09-10 23:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd1955b…
09-09 01:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on September 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xda02e8…
08-29 02:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2affcb…
08-29 02:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd34d57…
08-23 23:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on August 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6f7068…
08-16 23:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on August 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6e39da…
08-16 00:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C or higher on August 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb9cf12…
08-15 05:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbf3039…
08-15 03:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa3fac0…
08-14 03:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x901a29…
08-10 23:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C or higher on August 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf59896…
08-08 00:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8f022d…
08-05 01:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcdb0b5…
08-03 23:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbed7b6…
08-03 23:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x28df4a…
08-02 23:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x694cc5…
07-31 23:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x223ec4…
07-31 12:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xced333…
07-29 23:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x26e71d…
07-28 01:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6f82ce…
07-27 23:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcb6f3a…
07-27 23:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc3d883…
07-27 17:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x64a5ee…
07-27 02:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8a67d3…
07-26 23:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf35f78…
07-26 14:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd9f1da…
07-26 01:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x417f6a…
07-25 12:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x855ec9…
07-25 10:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on July 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd325c0…
07-23 02:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 23?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xeb318d…
07-18 03:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb41237…
07-17 23:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x97e583…
07-16 13:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x321304…
07-16 07:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0d7227…
07-15 23:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x714e2c…
07-15 23:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 16?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe85447…
07-14 23:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf06570…
07-13 23:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5cc2ad…
07-13 06:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4b6a8b…
07-12 18:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6e114f…
07-10 00:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2150ac…
07-09 23:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x339e78…
07-08 23:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3a23b3…
07-08 23:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xad26f6…
07-08 02:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb5c16b…
07-07 09:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x053972…
07-07 08:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5239c2…
07-06 03:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4d1afa…
07-04 23:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5c378b…
07-02 12:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x91ecae…
07-02 00:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfedc66…
07-01 00:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x99324f…
06-30 05:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb4db82…
06-30 05:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc0daf1…
06-30 04:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x821e28…
06-29 23:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9bade7…
06-29 01:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3bc1bf…
06-26 00:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on June 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf8d233…
06-26 00:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x83c0c9…
06-25 23:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7515e0…
06-19 05:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on June 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x827199…
06-16 23:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1b1e14…
06-16 23:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 18?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc3f61c…
06-16 23:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x15ad5d…
06-16 16:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6261d4…
06-15 23:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9202be…
06-15 23:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 16?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdb6953…
06-15 00:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd47bb5…
06-13 23:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 14?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x83e397…
06-12 23:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 13?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4cdce6…
06-12 02:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x06078a…
06-11 01:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe60f1e…
06-10 02:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x18a482…
06-09 03:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 10?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4b786c…
06-08 20:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x813dc4…
06-06 23:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x47a21a…
06-06 23:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3201a4…
06-06 23:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xad69bb…
06-01 08:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x350899…
05-25 23:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe8af7e…
05-24 23:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8d6cce…
05-21 01:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4464cd…
05-21 00:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 22?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xce2409…
05-21 00:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x114980…
05-19 23:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0f2b8f…
05-19 23:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd67038…
05-19 19:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbeca1b…
05-19 17:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 20?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc5b659…
05-19 17:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb84e52…
05-19 17:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 20?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8ae127…
05-19 17:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 20?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xefc2e2…
05-19 17:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on May 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x667705…