Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on November 11?
No won
Total volume
$816
Trades
45
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-11-11
First seen
2026-11-10
last 11-11 18:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.6¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $53
vs crowd: 0% YES on $712)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $0 | $533 | $533 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $0 | $163 | $162 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $1 | $15 | $14 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $1 | $52 | $51 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $0 | $436 | $436 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $60 | $60 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | $69 | $69 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $0 | $94 | $94 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +383 | $382 | $382 | 4 | 11-11 14:43 |
| Triangular-Stump 0x108a…8159 | Yes | +303 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 14:43 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +120 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 16:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xbfbe…da52 | Yes | +80 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 11:09 |
| Shameful-Boxer 0xb8da…9d35 | No | +63 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 11-11 16:51 |
| Glaring-Cargo 0x4766…6e4b | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 11-11 18:03 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 11-11 11:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +40 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-11 18:03 |
| Clean-Windscreen 0x44fc…ac29 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 11-11 15:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +32 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 11-11 10:25 |
| Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-11 10:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 18:03 |
| Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 18:01 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 10:25 |
| Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 18:01 |
| Inexperienced-Downfall 0xb2f0…54e0 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-11 09:58 |
| Notable-Snuggle 0xadce…a482 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-11 10:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-11 18:03:28 | Plump-Encirclement 0xb76d…636b | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x910ef3… |
| 11-11 18:03:28 | Glaring-Cargo 0x4766…6e4b | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x910ef3… |
| 11-11 18:03:28 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x910ef3… |
| 11-11 18:03:28 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x910ef3… |
| 11-11 18:03:28 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x910ef3… |
| 11-11 18:01:12 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x504f50… |
| 11-11 18:01:12 | Plump-Encirclement 0xb76d…636b | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x504f50… |
| 11-11 18:01:12 | Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x71fe1f… |
| 11-11 18:01:12 | Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x504f50… |
| 11-11 18:01:12 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x71fe1f… |
| 11-11 16:51:30 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb632c9… |
| 11-11 16:51:30 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb632c9… |
| 11-11 16:51:30 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb632c9… |
| 11-11 16:51:30 | Shameful-Boxer 0xb8da…9d35 | No | BUY | 63 | 100¢ | $63 | 0xb632c9… |
| 11-11 16:35:55 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x85b43c… |
| 11-11 16:35:55 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x85b43c… |
| 11-11 16:35:55 | (anonymous) 0x2ebb…35d7 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x85b43c… |
| 11-11 16:35:55 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x85b43c… |
| 11-11 15:30:09 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc4f905… |
| 11-11 15:30:09 | Clean-Windscreen 0x44fc…ac29 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xc4f905… |
| 11-11 15:30:09 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc4f905… |
| 11-11 14:43:55 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x3f9fcb… |
| 11-11 14:43:55 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0x3f9fcb… |
| 11-11 14:43:55 | Triangular-Stump 0x108a…8159 | Yes | BUY | 303 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f9fcb… |
| 11-11 14:43:55 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x3f9fcb… |
| 11-11 14:43:55 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | SELL | 37 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f9fcb… |
| 11-11 14:43:55 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f9fcb… |
| 11-11 11:09:57 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 98 | 100¢ | $98 | 0x4769ae… |
| 11-11 11:09:57 | (anonymous) 0xbfbe…da52 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4769ae… |
| 11-11 11:09:57 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4769ae… |
| 11-11 11:09:51 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a1f3c… |
| 11-11 11:09:51 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x0a1f3c… |
| 11-11 10:25:27 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x816fa9… |
| 11-11 10:25:27 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xafdb3e… |
| 11-11 10:25:27 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf0675e… |
| 11-11 10:25:27 | Notable-Snuggle 0xadce…a482 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf0675e… |
| 11-11 10:25:27 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x816fa9… |
| 11-11 10:25:27 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x816fa9… |
| 11-11 10:25:27 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xafdb3e… |
| 11-11 09:58:00 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb41b23… |
| 11-11 09:58:00 | Inexperienced-Downfall 0xb2f0…54e0 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb41b23… |
| 11-10 15:37:55 | (anonymous) 0x2ebb…35d7 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9284b… |
| 11-10 15:37:55 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0xb9284b… |
| 11-10 05:10:40 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x67bb1a… |
| 11-10 05:10:40 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67bb1a… |