Clean-Windscreen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$584

Unrealized P&L

+$68

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

124

Trades

3,236

lifetime

Volume

$316.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

$349

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 07-19 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 98% +$566

Tech

7% — —

Other

6% — —

Politics

5% 100% +$18

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes		+500	$200	42¢	$212	+$13	07-02 13:02
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No		+179	$82	76¢	$137	+$55	07-18 08:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	30	$5.7K	2,863	4,863	-2,000	open	—	05-14 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	13	$5.4K	2,104	5,284	-3,180	open	—	05-14 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	10	$4.7K	2,359	4,359	-2,000	open	—	05-14 12:14
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	6	$4.4K	4,881	4,881	+0	open	—	07-16 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	8	$4.0K	2,002	4,002	-2,000	open	—	05-14 14:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$18	05-08 20:52
grok 4pt4 released by june 30	21	$3.9K	4,956	594	+4,363	open	—	06-30 05:54
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	3	$3.8K	3,601	2,115	+1,486	open	—	07-16 23:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	3	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-09 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	7	$3.1K	1,544	1,544	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	25	$3.0K	908	4,110	-3,202	open	—	05-14 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	6	$2.8K	2,840	0	+2,840	Down	+$3	05-13 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	8	$2.7K	2,004	1,453	+551	open	—	05-14 16:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	19	$2.4K	0	4,840	-4,840	open	—	05-19 23:23
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	18	$2.3K	2,611	26	+2,584	open	—	07-16 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	6	$2.1K	2,002	2,100	-98	open	—	05-14 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$2.0K	2,020	2,000	+20	open	—	05-14 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	14	$2.0K	2,002	2,020	-18	Up	+$4	05-14 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$2.0K	2,024	946	+1,078	open	—	05-14 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	15	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	Up	+$9	05-12 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$2.0K	1,009	1,009	+0	Up	+$9	05-12 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$2.0K	1,009	1,009	+0	Up	+$9	05-12 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	3	$2.0K	0	2,881	-2,881	Down	+$7	05-14 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	4	$2.0K	1,009	1,009	+0	Down	+$8	05-11 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$2.0K	2,002	2,000	+2	open	—	05-14 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	3	$2.0K	1,004	1,004	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	3	$2.0K	0	4,000	-4,000	open	—	05-14 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	4	$2.0K	1,001	2,000	-999	open	—	05-16 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	3	$2.0K	1,001	2,000	-999	open	—	05-17 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	5	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:48:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x350090…
07-18 08:00:03	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0xfb91a5…
07-18 06:58:00	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xa83e1e…
07-17 21:16:51	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	2,506	14¢	$349	0x1e0647…
07-17 21:15:28	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	Yes	SELL	956	21¢	$197	0x57904c…
07-17 21:14:51	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	SELL	146	91¢	$133	0xa6a77b…
07-17 21:14:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xdc17c6…
07-17 07:42:06	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0x2ba51d…
07-17 06:59:10	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xcd00df…
07-17 04:06:58	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	Yes	SELL	44	26¢	$11	0x1bd09e…
07-16 23:21:56	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x4752fa…
07-16 23:21:32	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	380	90¢	$340	0x095eb8…
07-16 22:47:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	SELL	2,115	16¢	$348	0x0cbf09…
07-16 22:39:47	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	BUY	3,588	97¢	$3,490	0x107301…
07-16 22:19:16	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x824b4a…
07-16 20:59:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x6e5be3…
07-16 20:24:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x3506f6…
07-16 18:35:38	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x4a8d0c…
07-16 17:24:38	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x2fbf20…
07-16 15:58:46	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0x5f363b…
07-16 15:28:20	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xfe53f5…
07-16 14:41:02	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x520e96…
07-16 14:03:23	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe9f992…
07-16 13:54:44	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xdf1a03…
07-16 13:35:58	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	34	20¢	$7	0x86d9d1…
07-16 13:27:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	721	96¢	$692	0xa9b21b…
07-16 12:54:10	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0x6a43d0…
07-16 12:50:13	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	202	95¢	$192	0xe67d36…
07-16 10:46:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0xc2f447…
07-16 08:29:56	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	SELL	549	92¢	$505	0xa015dd…
07-16 06:27:49	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x08313c…
07-16 06:27:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0xd49866…
07-16 05:20:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xc4db44…
07-16 04:11:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0xcd2950…
07-16 03:32:41	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	4,240	45¢	$1,908	0xd974bc…
07-15 23:37:22	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	SELL	98	92¢	$90	0xb8f4cf…
07-15 22:52:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	Yes	SELL	240	6¢	$14	0x6bfa58…
07-15 22:21:58	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	No	SELL	500	51¢	$255	0x9aac9a…
07-15 22:20:01	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	No	SELL	130	51¢	$66	0xb3651b…
07-15 21:48:34	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	No	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x07d4c7…
07-15 21:24:23	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	No	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0xf4b15c…
07-15 20:50:26	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x51c914…
07-15 20:44:58	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	No	SELL	25	51¢	$13	0x38509d…
07-15 20:40:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x0536da…
07-15 20:35:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xc5144d…
07-15 20:33:14	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x5633ad…
07-15 20:23:29	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	No	SELL	125	51¢	$64	0xab2759…
07-15 18:50:02	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1dcc3e…
07-15 17:57:26	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x23a6ff…
07-15 17:40:46	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	SELL	82	92¢	$76	0x50a23f…
07-15 14:58:20	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbea6c8…
07-15 13:59:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0xeca379…
07-15 13:59:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	70	88¢	$62	0xd64833…
07-15 13:58:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	80	88¢	$70	0xba91de…
07-15 13:56:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	250	79¢	$198	0x0a4c2b…
07-15 12:49:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	400	80¢	$320	0x352567…
07-15 12:49:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	300	88¢	$263	0xed8b4d…
07-15 12:48:25	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	289	95¢	$274	0x258cbe…
07-15 06:17:19	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	294	46¢	$135	0x317f70…
07-14 22:10:29	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	BUY	884	90¢	$795	0x2bdeac…
07-14 13:57:07	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x495135…
07-14 08:16:59	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x4f4a52…
07-14 07:43:31	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x64d320…
07-14 07:35:29	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	35	24¢	$8	0x67ee92…
07-14 07:14:19	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	417	24¢	$100	0xb1ba45…
07-14 05:03:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	238	95¢	$226	0xde5b8c…
07-14 03:59:26	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0xa6a6bc…
07-14 03:25:34	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x254b76…
07-14 01:55:56	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	316	48¢	$152	0x7552a7…
07-13 22:04:25	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0xddf79d…
07-13 22:02:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x8c5894…
07-12 20:43:56	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	842	90¢	$756	0xefe1a0…
07-12 20:43:43	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x8fe3b9…
07-12 20:43:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	751	94¢	$708	0xbcf112…
07-07 13:19:17	google x spacex agree to put data centers in space by december 31	Yes	BUY	133	56¢	$75	0x54ae4e…
07-06 21:50:29	google x spacex agree to put data centers in space by december 31	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x5faff2…
07-06 21:43:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	219	30¢	$67	0x6ef6e4…
07-06 21:28:10	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	4,881	44¢	$2,160	0xb4d9f7…
07-06 21:22:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	498	80¢	$399	0xa1ee1e…
07-06 21:10:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	298	67¢	$200	0xa78dba…
07-06 12:24:44	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2,000	38¢	$760	0x5b9ea0…
07-06 12:24:02	will tesla launch robotaxis in california by december 31 20260630142749586	No	BUY	244	84¢	$204	0x844637…
07-06 12:23:22	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x7201ca…
07-06 12:20:59	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,097	3¢	$30	0xb082b6…
07-04 13:09:22	will tesla launch robotaxis in california by december 31 20260630142749586	No	SELL	101	83¢	$84	0xf4c355…
07-02 13:17:59	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xa68d6f…
07-02 13:17:46	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xa35207…
07-02 13:17:10	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,097	5¢	$60	0x1edd22…
07-02 13:10:20	will tesla launch robotaxis in california by december 31 20260630142749586	No	BUY	150	78¢	$116	0x996e22…
07-02 13:02:50	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x991500…
07-02 12:50:31	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x7951d9…
07-02 12:50:29	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	1,017	36¢	$366	0x0e9948…
07-01 12:32:53	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	99	0¢	$0	0x34cc53…
07-01 12:32:32	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	127	0¢	$1	0x52abb4…
07-01 12:32:02	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	144	0¢	$1	0x7594d8…
07-01 08:02:47	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb0fcf0…
07-01 02:36:19	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x374696…
07-01 02:35:52	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5696de…
07-01 02:35:35	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x158b36…
07-01 02:35:34	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3344ad…