Clean-Windscreen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.76K

Unrealized P&L

-$90

Hit rate

91.1%

Resolved

2,273

Trades

5,757

lifetime

Volume

$397.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$1.07K

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 10-30 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 93% +$3,914

Tech

11% 67% -$3,035

Other

10% 73% -$307

Politics

8% 81% +$1,048

Sports

0% 100% +$137

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 359 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-1,000	-$772	85¢	$-848	-$76	08-13 21:54
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-1,000	-$208	15¢	$-152	+$56	08-04 21:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+200	$82	32¢	$63	-$19	10-30 12:29
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+903	$59	1¢	$8	-$51	09-02 20:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	30	$5.7K	2,863	4,863	-2,000	Up	+$3	05-14 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	13	$5.4K	2,104	5,284	-3,180	Up	+$6	05-14 10:59
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	7	$5.3K	4,000	2,000	+2,000	Yes	+$180	05-18 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	10	$4.7K	2,359	4,359	-2,000	Up	+$16	05-14 12:14
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	6	$4.4K	4,881	4,881	+0	open	—	07-16 03:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	13	$4.3K	3,775	735	+3,040	Yes	+$184	06-29 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	8	$4.0K	2,002	4,002	-2,000	Up	+$17	05-14 14:29
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	23	$4.0K	2,353	2,353	+0	open	—	07-29 07:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$18	05-08 20:52
grok 4pt4 released by june 30	21	$3.9K	4,956	594	+4,363	No	+$1,602	06-30 05:54
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	3	$3.8K	3,601	2,115	+1,486	No	-$3,143	07-16 23:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	3	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$77	05-09 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	7	$3.1K	1,544	1,544	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	25	$3.0K	908	4,110	-3,202	Down	+$27	05-14 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	6	$2.8K	2,840	0	+2,840	Down	+$3	05-13 06:43
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	5	$2.8K	1,535	1,535	+0	No	+$98	07-26 09:17
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	6	$2.8K	2,301	665	+1,636	Yes	+$3	09-28 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	8	$2.7K	2,004	1,453	+551	Up	-$2,151	05-14 16:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	24	$2.6K	1,764	1,564	+200	Yes	-$100	07-21 20:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$2.5K	1,864	1,864	+0	No	-$739	06-03 21:53
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	19	$2.4K	0	4,840	-4,840	No	-$14	05-19 23:23
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	18	$2.3K	2,611	26	+2,584	Yes	+$288	07-16 23:21
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	9	$2.1K	1,653	1,653	+0	No	+$17	07-26 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	6	$2.1K	2,002	2,100	-98	Up	+$5	05-14 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$2.0K	2,020	2,000	+20	Up	+$75	05-14 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	14	$2.0K	2,002	2,020	-18	Up	+$4	05-14 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$2.0K	2,024	946	+1,078	Up	+$30	05-14 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	15	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	Up	+$9	05-12 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$2.0K	1,009	1,009	+0	Up	+$9	05-12 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$2.0K	1,009	1,009	+0	Up	+$9	05-12 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 12:29:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x2536c4…
10-13 21:51:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 16?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x88fea2…
10-13 21:49:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9e494c…
10-13 21:49:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xba2ccf…
10-13 21:49:09	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xdde6f9…
10-13 21:45:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x546f82…
10-13 21:41:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4147e9…
10-13 21:41:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7c2162…
10-13 21:41:13	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd9ffd8…
10-13 21:39:52	bitcoin above 74k on october 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30708d…
10-13 21:39:46	ethereum above 2200 on october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x87c1cc…
10-13 21:39:39	ethereum above 2200 on october 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ee42a…
10-13 21:39:28	bitcoin above 72k on october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5fbc6…
10-13 21:33:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x04144f…
10-13 21:30:09	Will Solana dip to $90 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x83e058…
10-13 21:07:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 16?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf73c40…
10-13 21:07:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8eb8f7…
10-13 20:59:34	will ethereum reach 2550 on october 13 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x28819c…
10-13 20:52:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb33f0d…
10-13 20:46:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbb1cc1…
10-13 20:46:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xce9c39…
10-13 20:46:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5ab03b…
10-13 20:46:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbe4736…
10-13 20:45:58	bitcoin above 74k on october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb05502…
10-13 20:45:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6a6db7…
10-09 18:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x37f347…
10-09 17:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x717c92…
10-09 17:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x72bcc4…
10-09 17:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xac9063…
10-09 17:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x193bb7…
10-09 17:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x5667d5…
10-09 17:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2be248…
10-09 17:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbec2c1…
10-09 16:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc14301…
10-09 15:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe7d695…
10-09 15:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xaebae6…
10-09 15:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2e9c5e…
10-09 14:59:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x723117…
10-09 14:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0258cf…
10-09 14:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd8d428…
10-09 12:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc917bb…
10-09 11:56:01	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	266	92¢	$244	0x0b181a…
10-03 05:31:54	Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	101	45¢	$46	0xd0208f…
10-03 05:06:23	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0x66f063…
09-30 12:40:36	Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0x5c96a7…
09-29 22:01:54	Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	49¢	$26	0xd8148d…
09-29 22:01:35	Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	123	86¢	$106	0x71d9c4…
09-29 22:01:03	Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x254f69…
09-29 22:00:29	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	358	91¢	$326	0xf985e9…
09-29 14:30:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	487	99¢	$482	0xd687b7…
09-28 12:47:15	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	Yes	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0xabeef2…
09-28 12:46:56	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x736fc8…
09-28 12:26:26	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x2bd143…
09-28 12:25:14	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x257115…
09-28 12:23:53	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 28	No	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x4c242b…
09-28 06:15:06	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	Yes	SELL	600	86¢	$513	0x4dba49…
09-27 12:27:20	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	No	BUY	104	99¢	$104	0x3d07ae…
09-23 23:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x427fbb…
09-23 23:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x47f5b0…
09-23 23:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7257fc…
09-23 23:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7c4cab…
09-23 23:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61f2b0…
09-23 23:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on September 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2d8b3…
09-23 23:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ce099…
09-23 23:41:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xadbf3b…
09-23 23:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xda0c7c…
09-23 23:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcda89d…
09-23 23:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff13e0…
09-23 23:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x340153…
09-23 23:41:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on September 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x831448…
09-23 23:41:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on September 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x08dc97…
09-23 23:41:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 23?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbceef2…
09-23 23:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23b5bd…
09-23 23:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c9976…
09-23 23:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44942b…
09-23 23:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x780334…
09-23 23:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c45df…
09-23 00:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd86508…
09-23 00:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x288b6a…
09-23 00:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x324621…
09-23 00:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a5408…
09-23 00:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdcee3e…
09-23 00:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x35d503…
09-23 00:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb334ea…
09-23 00:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x36d178…
09-23 00:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfeac18…
09-22 22:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f66c8…
09-22 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2af3c7…
09-22 22:21:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6ac2ed…
09-22 22:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x994661…
09-22 22:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3eab76…
09-22 22:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf37b11…
09-22 22:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x00f38a…
09-22 22:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ce39b…
09-22 22:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec5bf3…
09-22 22:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x484b5d…
09-22 22:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6565c4…
09-22 00:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x29366d…
09-22 00:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1a68c…
09-22 00:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xace55a…