Inexperienced-Downfall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

90.7%

Resolved

2,877

Trades

3,412

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 11-13 16:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 92% -$80

Other

9% 98% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C or below on November 14?	No		+6	$6	100¢	$6	+$0	11-13 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C or below on November 15?	No	—	+5	$5	99¢	$5	$0	11-13 16:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 04:30 UTC	23	$57	111	+111	Down	-$7	03-31 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 03:45 UTC	21	$52	105	+105	Down	-$2	03-31 03:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 03:30 UTC	20	$49	100	+100	Down	+$6	03-31 03:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 04:45 UTC	18	$46	91	+91	Down	-$1	03-31 04:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 05:00 UTC	17	$44	85	+85	Down	-$4	03-31 05:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 04:00 UTC	17	$44	85	+85	Down	+$1	03-31 04:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 05:30 UTC	15	$37	75	+75	Up	-$2	03-31 05:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 05:45 UTC	14	$34	75	+75	Up	-$4	03-31 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 04:15 UTC	13	$34	74	+74	Down	+$5	03-31 04:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 09:30 UTC	14	$33	71	+71	Up	-$3	03-31 09:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 06:15 UTC	14	$31	62	+62	Down	-$1	03-31 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 01:40 UTC	5	$29	30	+30	Up	+$1	04-13 01:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 04:15 UTC	12	$27	64	+64	Up	-$2	04-01 04:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 05:15 UTC	12	$27	56	+56	Up	-$2	03-31 05:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 06:30 UTC	11	$27	55	+55	Up	-$2	03-31 06:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 05:30 UTC	12	$27	60	+60	Down	-$2	04-01 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 05:45 UTC	12	$27	58	+58	Down	-$2	04-01 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 08:45 UTC	11	$26	55	+55	Down	+$9	03-31 08:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 09:00 UTC	10	$25	52	+52	Down	+$2	03-31 09:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 07:45 UTC	11	$25	57	+57	Up	-$5	03-31 07:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 04:45 UTC	10	$25	50	+50	Up	+$0	04-01 04:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 06:00 UTC	11	$25	58	+58	Down	+$0	03-31 06:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:05 UTC	5	$25	29	+29	Down	+$4	04-13 04:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 03:30 UTC	10	$24	50	+50	Up	+$6	04-01 03:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 07:00 UTC	9	$24	45	+45	Down	-$4	03-31 07:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 05:25 UTC	4	$24	24	+24	Up	+$0	04-13 05:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 06:45 UTC	9	$22	49	+49	Up	-$2	03-31 06:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 06:00 UTC	9	$22	49	+49	Up	-$2	04-01 06:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 09:15 UTC	9	$21	43	+43	Down	+$1	03-31 09:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 05:15 UTC	9	$21	43	+43	Up	-$1	04-01 05:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 16:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C or below on November 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbeb496…
11-13 07:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C or below on November 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x98011e…
11-11 23:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C or higher on November 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x79249d…
11-11 23:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C or higher on November 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7100da…
11-11 20:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C or higher on November 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf263e7…
11-11 09:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on November 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb41b23…
11-11 05:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C or below on November 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbdd441…
11-10 18:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or higher on November 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x82841e…
11-10 17:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 12°C on November 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6cc8d0…
11-10 14:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C or higher on November 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6302f4…
11-10 05:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or below on November 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf5fb2d…
11-10 05:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on November 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf95673…
11-10 00:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C or below on November 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x162b46…
11-09 19:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on November 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5393d8…
11-09 16:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on November 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4ce00e…
11-09 09:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 8°C or below on November 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfb1298…
11-09 08:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or below on November 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdc041e…
11-09 01:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on November 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9b3e96…
11-08 23:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C or higher on November 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x29d18a…
11-08 20:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C on November 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x15d544…
11-08 12:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 25°C or higher on November 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x896c61…
11-08 00:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on November 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x93ba9a…
11-07 23:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C on November 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x93bfc9…
11-07 23:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C or below on November 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb46a0d…
11-07 05:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on November 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x23654b…
11-07 01:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on November 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa5383a…
11-06 23:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C or below on November 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf6a3e0…
11-06 23:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on November 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2fc48e…
11-06 05:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x55e6cc…
11-06 05:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on November 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x687efc…
11-06 00:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on November 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xab37d8…
11-05 23:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1a5c6a…
11-05 17:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 12°C on November 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9b1fc2…
11-05 17:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 11°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4bad0d…
11-05 13:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on November 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x751637…
11-05 02:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x064304…
11-04 23:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5eb62e…
11-04 23:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on November 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf09ab6…
11-04 16:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0f721b…
11-04 16:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8e68df…
11-04 06:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on November 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf7857f…
11-03 23:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeb7aab…
11-03 23:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x86465b…
11-03 23:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfec26b…
11-03 23:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe11e17…
11-03 08:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2036d8…
11-03 00:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3dc5d4…
11-02 23:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C or below on November 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf46e53…
11-02 23:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C or higher on November 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc4d3c3…
11-02 18:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 12°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe9cf5a…
11-02 05:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C or below on November 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf3a624…
11-02 02:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C or below on November 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7de4bb…
11-02 00:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3d062e…
11-02 00:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1db0b8…
11-01 23:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 12°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5b0f1f…
11-01 23:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C or below on November 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2329ba…
11-01 11:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6abf4c…
11-01 08:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x30addb…
11-01 08:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x59bb05…
10-21 23:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on October 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdbc313…
10-14 23:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on October 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9fe0ea…
10-01 23:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 2?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x87338d…
09-21 05:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x670abd…
09-21 01:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5d7f81…
09-14 14:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on September 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x28bd8a…
09-13 23:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2afb63…
09-13 23:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa0e94c…
09-10 23:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd1955b…
09-09 01:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on September 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xda02e8…
08-29 02:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2affcb…
08-29 02:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd34d57…
08-23 23:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on August 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6f7068…
08-16 23:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on August 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6e39da…
08-16 00:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C or higher on August 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb9cf12…
08-15 05:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbf3039…
08-15 03:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa3fac0…
08-14 03:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x901a29…
08-10 23:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C or higher on August 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf59896…
08-08 00:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8f022d…
08-05 01:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcdb0b5…
08-03 23:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbed7b6…
08-03 23:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x28df4a…
08-02 23:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x694cc5…
07-31 23:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x223ec4…
07-31 12:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xced333…
07-29 23:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x26e71d…
07-28 01:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6f82ce…
07-27 23:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcb6f3a…
07-27 23:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc3d883…
07-27 17:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x64a5ee…
07-27 02:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8a67d3…
07-26 23:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf35f78…
07-26 14:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd9f1da…
07-26 01:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x417f6a…
07-25 12:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x855ec9…
07-25 10:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on July 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd325c0…
07-23 02:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 23?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xeb318d…
07-18 03:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb41237…
07-17 23:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x97e583…
07-16 13:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x321304…