Intrepid-Hallway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$379

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.2%

Resolved

342

Trades

622

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-09 06:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

35% 85% -$209

Politics

34% 12% -$81

Other

30% 82% -$89

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	27	$1.6K	1,680	1,680	+0	No	-$34	05-08 18:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	13	$1.1K	1,137	1,137	-0	No	-$3	05-07 20:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	28	$1.1K	1,386	1,386	+0	No	-$7	05-07 15:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	22	$647	720	720	+0	Yes	-$21	05-07 20:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	13	$611	600	600	+0	No	-$32	05-08 19:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	8	$446	459	459	+0	No	+$1	05-07 07:31
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	3	$298	240	240	+0	Yes	-$24	05-05 18:42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$248	149	149	+0	No	-$3	05-07 19:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	5	$234	240	240	+0	Yes	-$1	05-06 19:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	6	$226	408	408	+0	No	-$5	05-04 20:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$218	240	240	+0	No	-$12	05-07 17:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	15	$199	480	480	+0	open	—	05-08 01:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$117	241	241	+0	No	-$5	05-09 05:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$115	240	240	+0	No	+$0	05-01 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$102	170	170	+0	Up	-$98	05-09 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$96	101	101	+0	Up	-$32	05-09 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	13	$93	85	85	+0	Up	-$7	05-01 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	6	$76	52	52	+0	Up	+$6	04-30 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$69	218	0	+218	Down	-$69	05-08 20:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	4	$69	72	72	+0	Down	+$25	05-09 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	12	$42	65	65	+0	Up	+$1	05-03 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$42	65	65	-0	Down	+$0	05-03 14:19
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$41	36	36	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	7	$39	65	65	+0	Down	-$2	05-03 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$35	49	49	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$34	99	0	+99	Up	-$34	05-08 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$34	99	0	+99	Up	-$34	05-09 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	6	$34	86	0	+86	Down	-$34	05-08 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$34	99	0	+99	Up	-$34	05-08 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$34	49	49	+0	Down	$0	05-04 15:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 06:43:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xce174d…
05-09 06:42:33	Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)	Galatasaray SK	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x3bc3e7…
05-09 06:38:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xc73929…
05-09 06:37:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	58	80¢	$46	0x32c0bf…
05-09 06:36:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	35¢	$20	0xa2ba56…
05-09 06:31:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x1d2526…
05-09 06:31:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x0d2724…
05-09 06:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x43d00f…
05-09 06:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	53	9¢	$5	0xf8658a…
05-09 06:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xf1366a…
05-09 05:59:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	31	44¢	$14	0xa08437…
05-09 05:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xd0a3a1…
05-09 05:56:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0xb52ea4…
05-09 05:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x69cd51…
05-09 05:50:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x7af695…
05-09 05:49:09	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x21894c…
05-09 05:48:51	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x24f1d4…
05-09 05:43:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0xf694fa…
05-09 05:41:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	27¢	$10	0x5f7192…
05-09 05:38:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0x7f3737…
05-09 05:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	101	32¢	$32	0x9008c5…
05-09 05:36:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x405b55…
05-09 05:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	101	64¢	$64	0x31685f…
05-09 05:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	170	1¢	$2	0x93ef0d…
05-09 05:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x5a6477…
05-09 04:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa67395…
05-09 03:22:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x95006d…
05-09 03:00:01	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c656d…
05-09 02:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3868aa…
05-09 00:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	99	35¢	$34	0x0d31ee…
05-09 00:05:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7be30a…
05-08 22:25:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x04ba3e…
05-08 22:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x27e90f…
05-08 21:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xf1dc90…
05-08 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x079b64…
05-08 20:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	99	35¢	$34	0xfec3a0…
05-08 20:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x7421ef…
05-08 20:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	81	35¢	$28	0x1935c9…
05-08 20:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x5e813b…
05-08 20:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xb57699…
05-08 20:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	98	29¢	$28	0x5e12f7…
05-08 20:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x45ea82…
05-08 20:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	99	35¢	$34	0x5bfa3d…
05-08 20:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x848c49…
05-08 19:55:00	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x381431…
05-08 19:43:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	113	38¢	$43	0xac8d7d…
05-08 19:43:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x65a51d…
05-08 19:41:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x5281c7…
05-08 18:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x62e757…
05-08 18:10:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc6eb94…
05-08 18:09:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	240	48¢	$115	0x8c148d…
05-08 16:40:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2eed8f…
05-08 16:26:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	240	47¢	$113	0x156411…
05-08 14:10:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0e4308…
05-08 14:00:02	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x60e465…
05-08 13:35:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	160	47¢	$75	0x136e0e…
05-08 13:33:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	80	47¢	$37	0xbe38c5…
05-08 12:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xfe2aa5…
05-08 12:36:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	240	44¢	$106	0x7647f8…
05-08 09:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xa023d7…
05-08 09:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x5f9027…
05-08 09:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7a4277…
05-08 09:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0xb33f34…
05-08 09:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x88d6fe…
05-08 09:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x836b64…
05-08 08:50:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea9da7…
05-08 08:09:59	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x17354f…
05-08 07:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc64472…
05-08 06:55:02	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6d2db7…
05-08 04:30:01	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x64e69d…
05-08 04:20:02	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1dc88f…
05-08 04:20:01	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e4025…
05-08 02:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	59	29¢	$17	0x708f54…
05-08 01:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0x1143bc…
05-08 01:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xc6c15b…
05-08 01:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x78fd62…
05-08 01:15:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	21¢	$8	0x087018…
05-08 01:15:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x6e9eee…
05-08 01:15:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x6b7140…
05-08 01:15:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0x468674…
05-08 01:15:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	117	21¢	$25	0x4305ab…
05-08 01:14:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x317f87…
05-08 01:14:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xd86c0c…
05-08 01:14:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x8f2f52…
05-08 01:14:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x9e4df0…
05-08 01:14:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x8d08dd…
05-08 01:14:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xfdba28…
05-08 01:14:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x59d6a6…
05-08 00:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x7f1d1b…
05-08 00:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	47	35¢	$17	0x3d218d…
05-08 00:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x90946e…
05-08 00:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x969d67…
05-08 00:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x930ee5…
05-08 00:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x004fa2…
05-08 00:08:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	240	22¢	$53	0x8a43a5…
05-07 22:25:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4ca08a…
05-07 20:54:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	240	26¢	$62	0x195752…
05-07 20:43:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	240	25¢	$60	0x802430…
05-07 20:43:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	47¢	$64	0x774ba6…
05-07 20:42:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	47¢	$16	0x555cb4…