Respectful-Lock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.89K

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

270

Trades

2,339

lifetime

Volume

$58.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 09-23 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 55% -$1,018

Other

9% 24% -$540

Politics

2% 44% -$265

Sports

1% 29% -$92

Tech

0% 100% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+114	$30	15¢	$17	-$13	05-04 12:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jaqueline Cristian vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	6	$4.4K	4,330	4,330	+0	cancelled	-$43	05-06 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12AM ET	51	$2.8K	2,929	1,450	+1,479	Up	+$68	05-08 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	39	$2.6K	3,230	1,249	+1,982	Down	-$90	05-08 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	39	$2.6K	2,632	1,300	+1,332	Down	+$43	05-08 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11PM ET	20	$2.3K	2,800	1,000	+1,800	Up	-$287	05-08 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET	29	$2.0K	2,360	1,000	+1,360	Down	-$46	05-08 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	38	$1.9K	1,849	982	+867	Down	+$41	05-08 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5AM ET	23	$1.6K	1,701	901	+800	Up	+$176	05-08 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	25	$1.3K	1,926	526	+1,400	Up	-$266	05-08 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5AM ET	27	$1.2K	1,200	600	+600	Down	+$25	05-08 10:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	59	$1.0K	1,104	504	+600	Up	-$37	05-08 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	73	$989	1,088	488	+600	Down	-$24	05-08 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8PM ET	23	$966	2,997	505	+2,492	Down	+$43	05-08 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10AM ET	13	$965	1,000	500	+500	Down	+$33	05-07 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	9	$831	1,638	1,538	+100	Up	+$93	05-08 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	23	$807	900	400	+500	Up	-$7	05-07 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2AM ET	22	$791	1,697	0	+1,697	Down	+$6	05-08 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	61	$680	1,800	0	+1,800	Down	+$120	05-08 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	9	$666	690	390	+300	Up	+$106	05-07 18:57
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	8	$592	600	300	+300	Up	+$7	05-07 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	4	$588	600	300	+300	Down	+$12	05-07 17:01
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	6	$588	600	300	+300	Down	+$12	05-07 17:37
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10AM ET	6	$582	600	300	+300	Down	+$18	05-07 16:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10AM ET	4	$582	600	300	+300	Down	+$18	05-07 16:02
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10AM ET	5	$582	600	300	+300	Down	+$18	05-07 16:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	4	$579	600	300	+300	Down	+$20	05-07 17:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	10	$579	600	300	+300	Down	+$21	05-07 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1PM ET	20	$564	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$36	05-06 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	12	$484	1,083	0	+1,083	Up	-$1	05-07 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	61	$462	1,100	0	+1,100	Down	-$62	05-08 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 14:09:55	Hangzhou Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Kamil Majchrzak	Kamil Majchrzak	BUY	52	57¢	$29	0x624578…
09-23 14:08:47	Bellucci vs. Majchrzak: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	41	47¢	$20	0xad033c…
09-17 22:11:19	Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd613b6…
09-15 06:48:39	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe0a172…
07-20 00:36:34	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	62¢	$40	0x9dace4…
07-14 11:21:43	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x757ea3…
07-14 11:19:32	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xc7ffe7…
07-08 13:29:01	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x0730b8…
07-07 14:32:50	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xc5c455…
06-22 09:08:10	Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xfe2366…
06-22 09:06:56	will donald trump publicly insult keir starmer by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd3bc4b…
06-19 06:39:40	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xfa1550…
06-19 06:38:13	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xa6d3ad…
06-18 12:08:07	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x44271e…
06-18 12:07:56	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x96964d…
06-03 10:57:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	35¢	$25	0xaa2f71…
06-03 10:47:26	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xc519c6…
06-03 10:44:29	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	8¢	$5	0x6cf02c…
06-03 10:42:18	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x187735…
06-03 10:15:33	Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	83	96¢	$80	0x787c35…
06-03 09:43:45	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc87f0c…
06-03 09:42:20	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	111	10¢	$11	0x18d9ea…
06-03 09:39:40	Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0x2c9645…
06-03 09:22:51	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x828b5b…
06-03 09:09:47	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x235392…
06-03 09:02:34	Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	132	91¢	$120	0xcf725f…
06-03 09:02:15	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	96¢	$127	0xb831f7…
05-30 01:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x7c5611…
05-30 01:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xaea17c…
05-30 01:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xd3fa0b…
05-28 14:51:15	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0xff8945…
05-28 04:26:14	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x077c32…
05-28 03:18:53	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xca7c05…
05-28 03:13:35	Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x5632f1…
05-18 06:49:05	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa	Madison Keys	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xd0abb8…
05-18 06:48:29	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x520fe4…
05-18 06:48:06	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa	Madison Keys	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xe82830…
05-18 06:43:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	66	1¢	$1	0xb721da…
05-18 06:41:57	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa	Madison Keys	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0xb7835b…
05-18 06:41:16	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	441	3¢	$15	0x997b75…
05-15 16:03:37	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	556	1¢	$4	0xa47be6…
05-15 16:02:09	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0xa7cb3c…
05-14 13:45:58	Will Vance say "China" during Bangor visit?	Yes	BUY	81	61¢	$50	0xe125b9…
05-14 13:44:55	Will Vance say "Bilateral" during Bangor visit?	Yes	BUY	102	59¢	$60	0x482cce…
05-14 13:41:56	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	101	15¢	$15	0x65d36a…
05-14 13:41:11	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	66	46¢	$30	0xec04b2…
05-14 13:40:57	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x0c4338…
05-14 13:38:21	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x540094…
05-14 00:44:28	Will Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0x87bd8d…
05-13 23:20:16	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	154	78¢	$120	0x076c52…
05-13 23:13:32	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x0de488…
05-13 23:12:02	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	71	79¢	$56	0x3b278d…
05-13 23:11:57	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6c20d6…
05-13 23:11:52	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x30eee4…
05-13 23:11:52	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x308446…
05-13 23:11:50	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	179	10¢	$17	0x0d08ec…
05-13 23:11:22	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	96	32¢	$31	0xfdf705…
05-13 23:10:26	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	46	78¢	$36	0xd0f3dc…
05-13 23:10:02	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x8e8752…
05-13 23:07:56	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfc46b8…
05-13 23:07:56	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0f6de6…
05-13 12:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xf878a9…
05-13 12:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xf58826…
05-13 12:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	74¢	$13	0xcb8897…
05-13 12:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0xa6bdaa…
05-13 12:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x9486a8…
05-13 12:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x77f9be…
05-13 12:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	74¢	$14	0x140361…
05-13 12:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0xe824b5…
05-13 12:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	74¢	$14	0xa945c0…
05-13 12:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x774dd4…
05-13 12:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x4da5be…
05-13 12:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x23f5c4…
05-13 12:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x2011ee…
05-13 12:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xd0ce3e…
05-13 12:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x636423…
05-13 12:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x2f0574…
05-13 12:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa697d6…
05-13 12:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x6c32d0…
05-13 12:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x5b1efb…
05-13 12:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xbcf61f…
05-13 12:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5c24ae…
05-13 12:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xfe8734…
05-13 12:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x2da278…
05-13 12:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x5014ec…
05-13 12:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xff75f3…
05-13 12:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf21a8d…
05-13 12:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	89	72¢	$64	0xcaf9c5…
05-13 12:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x795fbf…
05-13 12:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x70d6bc…
05-13 12:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x1611d7…
05-13 12:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xae51d1…
05-13 12:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xf62cda…
05-13 12:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x6645f3…
05-13 11:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xbc130e…
05-13 11:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x87d83a…
05-13 11:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x2d0f55…
05-13 11:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x91edae…
05-13 11:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7988de…
05-13 11:20:56	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xeff44a…