Assured-Gallbladder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$364

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$81

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-12 19:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

77% 50% $-12

Crypto

17% 100% +$1

Sports

5% 0% $-17

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	-44	$-37	88¢	$-38	$-1	05-07 10:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	+33	$32	96¢	$32	$-0	05-07 05:08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	+14	$7	78¢	$11	+$4	05-07 00:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev	1	$210	368	0	+368	open	—	05-12 19:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$37	0	44	-44	open	—	05-07 10:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	05-07 05:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	2	$23	24	0	+24	No	+$1	05-08 20:41
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean	1	$12	14	0	+14	Jasmine Paolini	+$2	05-07 11:20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	1	$11	30	0	+30	Yes	$-11	05-10 11:42
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5	1	$9	16	0	+16	Under	$-9	05-05 23:45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Gianluca Cadenasso	1	$8	16	0	+16	Thiago Agustin Tirante	$-8	05-07 17:21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1	$8	12	0	+12	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	+$4	05-07 11:24
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5	1	$8	16	0	+16	Under	$-8	05-05 23:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	05-07 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 19:27:21	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	368	57¢	$210	0x4462f7…
05-10 11:42:03	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	No	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xd328fa…
05-08 20:41:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xe09d93…
05-08 20:31:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf03d86…
05-07 17:21:08	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Gianluca Cadenasso	Gianluca Cadenasso	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xce8a4a…
05-07 11:24:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x8aa1be…
05-07 11:20:07	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x812bbe…
05-07 10:25:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	44	85¢	$37	0x41d363…
05-07 05:08:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xd786b8…
05-07 00:28:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x3a0a98…
05-05 23:45:24	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x2af85f…
05-05 23:35:08	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0x8f54ae…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	7	$21.8K	89	05-12 21:10
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	6	$4.50K	369	05-12 21:02
Powerless-Savannah 0x5268…135d	5	$5.28K	18	05-12 20:50
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	5	$4.97K	29	05-12 21:22
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	5	$3.12K	32	05-12 23:32
Cuddly-Will 0x7fea…8f74	5	$2.16K	27	05-12 20:46
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	5	$949	16	05-10 17:31
Welcome-Revenue 0x42c9…9623	4	$3.32K	17	05-12 20:15