Bleak-Duel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$182

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

1,048

Trades

3,468

lifetime

Volume

$23.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 21:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Other

74% 48% +$450

Politics

14% 61% -$463

Sports

8% 74% -$49

Crypto

4% 43% -$120

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	67	$851	1,035	959	+76	Yes	+$312	01-25 02:41
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	126	$737	3,246	3,166	+79	No	-$216	01-25 02:34
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	59	$723	1,553	1,623	-70	No	-$326	02-08 15:55
will alex honnold not complete a free solo of taipei 101 by january 31	52	$666	488	448	+40	No	+$22	01-25 02:43
epl mun ful 2026 02 01 mun	26	$577	322	290	+32	Yes	+$23	02-01 16:01
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes 238 682	64	$511	541	603	-62	No	+$5	01-25 01:20
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes 638 582	106	$412	1,255	691	+564	No	+$2	01-25 01:36
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes 281	145	$387	2,149	1,356	+793	No	-$18	01-25 01:06
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	33	$379	350	350	+0	Yes	+$0	01-31 06:44
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	46	$340	242	236	+7	Yes	+$34	05-16 15:51
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours 578 355	73	$335	680	640	+40	No	+$26	01-24 14:35
over 90m committed to the ranger public sale 166	9	$325	169	169	+0	No	+$13	01-10 16:00
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes 266 694	88	$312	964	865	+99	No	+$21	01-24 12:26
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	48	$311	400	220	+180	Alcaraz	-$83	01-30 09:04
epl mun tot 2026 02 07 mun	9	$302	220	120	+100	Yes	+$21	02-07 14:10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	8	$268	200	200	+0	Yes	+$88	05-03 16:24
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	5	$237	130	130	+0	Yes	+$9	06-16 01:35
will the peoples party pple win 180 or more seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	23	$226	780	860	-80	No	-$185	02-08 15:13
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in less than 1 hour	189	$224	4,093	3,271	+821	No	+$14	01-25 02:17
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	17	$221	163	138	+25	Yes	+$58	05-17 13:26
over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	6	$218	167	167	+0	Yes	+$34	01-10 15:51
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	6	$206	210	5	+205	Yes	+$5	06-13 02:33
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	5	$198	215	0	+215	Yes	+$17	06-29 18:58
epl ars mun 2026 01 25 mun	13	$197	260	40	+220	Yes	+$66	01-25 18:17
epl ars mun 2026 01 25 ars	34	$191	250	297	-47	No	-$54	01-25 17:25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	11	$173	400	200	+200	No	-$7	05-06 19:36
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	3	$172	200	200	+0	No	-$148	07-07 17:49
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	5	$172	150	150	+0	Yes	+$122	01-10 15:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	9	$154	100	70	+30	No	+$8	01-28 06:36
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	9	$143	150	0	+150	No	+$7	01-30 22:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:17:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xf15072…
07-19 20:42:22	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x7b9666…
07-19 20:00:07	Spain to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xdba53d…
07-19 19:45:55	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x3c21c9…
07-19 19:45:39	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xb722e5…
07-19 19:45:27	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x486e26…
07-19 19:44:24	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xc03e10…
07-19 19:38:24	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xc11fed…
07-19 19:35:48	Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbb4e3b…
07-19 19:23:13	Argentina to score first vs. Spain?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x118568…
07-19 19:22:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xf42823…
07-19 19:22:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0x6db31f…
07-19 19:21:10	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x97f660…
07-19 19:20:57	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x068953…
07-19 19:20:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x908359…
07-19 19:18:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xb60936…
07-19 19:16:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6f7de9…
07-19 18:53:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x215a81…
07-19 18:50:04	Argentina to score first vs. Spain?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x20a33d…
07-19 18:49:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf17897…
07-19 18:48:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xcb7ac6…
07-19 11:29:01	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xf8dff1…
07-19 11:19:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x9ac943…
07-19 06:46:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xacd2c9…
07-19 06:29:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf83aad…
07-18 22:21:52	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x7a6c27…
07-18 21:22:09	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x804c71…
07-18 21:21:40	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x539064…
07-18 21:12:22	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x127a07…
07-18 21:06:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x181621…
07-18 21:01:55	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x04a6c5…
07-18 21:00:42	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xaf5621…
07-18 21:00:12	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x0026cf…
07-18 20:57:21	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x858f0e…
07-18 20:56:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xe9e08f…
07-18 20:56:00	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x966464…
07-16 15:14:58	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x7255f3…
07-15 20:53:34	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5e99d4…
07-15 20:43:23	Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xd7156f…
07-15 20:42:25	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x2d782b…
07-15 20:40:26	Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x7cae53…
07-15 20:37:58	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x6b7ba8…
07-15 19:46:41	Argentina to score first vs. England?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x277a43…
07-15 19:33:53	Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x615dec…
07-15 19:29:07	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xdb5209…
07-15 19:28:26	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9e94d1…
07-15 18:59:43	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x207cfb…
07-15 18:59:01	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x2699f7…
07-15 18:58:37	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xdb9143…
07-15 18:58:02	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0x28147e…
07-15 18:57:47	Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x885fce…
07-15 18:57:16	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x12b338…
07-15 18:56:44	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	250	23¢	$57	0xd8c89b…
07-14 20:41:11	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	160	4¢	$7	0x52ef39…
07-14 20:40:58	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x172a40…
07-14 20:40:31	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	260	2¢	$6	0xb29f61…
07-14 20:39:34	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total away 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xb8d6b9…
07-14 20:39:02	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x2bed6a…
07-14 20:37:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 2pt5	France	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xb95932…
07-14 20:37:26	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 1pt5	France	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xa47e40…
07-14 19:23:20	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x6a1236…
07-14 19:06:34	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf3e326…
07-14 19:05:40	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x192fd0…
07-14 16:57:35	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x85b562…
07-14 16:56:38	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1c08e2…
07-14 08:15:44	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xfe81fe…
07-14 07:51:16	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 2pt5	France	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x81f069…
07-14 07:48:47	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xa31a1e…
07-14 07:43:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 second half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x34a94f…
07-14 07:10:14	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x723f24…
07-14 04:00:46	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 3pt5	France	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf8e60e…
07-14 03:59:58	France to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x7f0f6c…
07-14 03:50:31	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x676ad1…
07-14 03:48:59	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x107611…
07-14 03:23:46	France to score first vs. Spain?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xde6079…
07-14 02:43:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 penalty shootout	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x239357…
07-14 02:43:05	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 extra time	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3157b1…
07-14 02:42:23	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xce8431…
07-12 23:06:11	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xa4bfe3…
07-12 02:41:44	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe25b4e…
07-12 02:40:47	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xf08267…
07-12 02:38:43	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x16b447…
07-12 02:38:07	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$2	0x381ede…
07-12 02:36:34	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xe100c4…
07-12 02:35:59	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0x8b24a9…
07-12 02:35:11	Argentina vs. Switzerland: Second half draw?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x668964…
07-12 02:34:34	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x0c97e0…
07-12 02:34:20	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0xb66ad6…
07-12 02:33:47	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x7552ec…
07-12 00:28:28	Argentina vs. Switzerland: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x761f15…
07-12 00:28:08	Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x014c1b…
07-12 00:25:01	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x03508b…
07-12 00:08:35	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x460930…
07-11 23:48:34	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	70	17¢	$12	0x4eae02…
07-11 23:25:28	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x30f72a…
07-11 23:06:38	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x07c425…
07-11 22:55:29	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x83c7b4…
07-11 22:45:14	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0x6a1bc5…
07-11 22:38:55	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals jude bellingham gte2	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa15654…
07-11 22:33:56	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbacdc9…