Conscious-Collateral — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$177

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$2.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$141

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 09-05 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 45% -$62

Sports

18% 64% -$27

Other

17% 36% -$85

Pop-Culture

5% 50% -$2

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+559	$80	13¢	$75	-$5	07-27 19:24
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+1,379	$40	5¢	$63	+$23	07-27 19:24
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	+54	$14	6¢	$3	-$10	09-05 11:01
is earth flat 20260608195956112	Yes	+95	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	06-10 12:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	9	$261	243	243	+0	Down	+$51	05-23 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	9	$227	223	197	+26	Down	+$2	05-24 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	8	$204	204	204	+0	Down	+$4	05-23 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	11	$194	829	329	+500	Up	+$14	05-23 21:35
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	6	$166	238	111	+127	Knicks	-$54	05-24 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	7	$148	497	497	+0	Up	-$2	05-24 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	5	$138	171	90	+81	Down	-$12	05-24 00:02
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$112	1,413	1,060	+353	open	—	07-19 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$107	129	129	+0	Down	+$7	05-23 21:37
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	2	$82	48	48	+0	Yes	+$13	05-25 18:20
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$80	559	0	+559	open	—	07-27 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$79	115	58	+57	Up	-$21	05-24 01:13
will sal da vinci win sanremo 2026	2	$60	119	0	+119	Yes	+$8	02-28 23:48
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$57	96	96	+0	Yes	+$7	05-16 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$53	47	47	+0	Up	+$3	05-24 01:17
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$40	1,379	0	+1,379	open	—	07-27 19:24
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$39	61	0	+61	Yes	+$22	07-01 18:15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$37	74	74	+0	No	+$11	07-01 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$36	2,506	6	+2,500	Up	-$24	05-23 00:10
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$35	680	680	+0	No	+$1	07-06 09:52
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$34	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	07-10 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	6	$32	129	20	+109	Down	-$8	05-17 21:02
Will "COWARD by Lukas DHONT" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	1	$30	254	0	+254	No	-$30	05-22 10:50
will arisa win sanremo 2026	1	$30	168	0	+168	No	-$30	02-28 23:32
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	1	$29	80	0	+80	Yes	+$50	07-07 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:00 UTC	5	$28	42	42	+0	Down	+$8	07-16 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$25	43	0	+43	Up	-$25	05-24 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$25	119	0	+119	Down	-$25	05-23 21:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$25	44	0	+44	Down	-$25	05-23 21:38
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$25	59	0	+59	Spain	-$25	07-16 23:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 11:01:48	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	BUY	54	26¢	$14	0x4f22db…
07-27 19:24:55	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	559	14¢	$80	0xb98cc4…
07-27 19:24:22	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,379	3¢	$40	0x6cab4e…
07-19 21:01:30	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,060	8¢	$82	0x8e2424…
07-16 23:03:32	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0xeb7803…
07-16 23:02:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xa952e6…
07-16 23:02:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xb047e4…
07-16 23:01:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9bff4a…
07-16 23:00:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0x505436…
07-16 23:00:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x2532c7…
07-16 22:59:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0x08b60d…
07-10 19:47:50	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	29	57¢	$17	0x5cfa88…
07-10 19:43:08	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0x37a983…
07-10 19:42:41	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	145	14¢	$20	0xe122d2…
07-08 23:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	536	4¢	$20	0x30879d…
07-08 23:03:07	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x926501…
07-07 17:14:37	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	80	37¢	$29	0xe9d2cb…
07-07 06:05:55	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	179	6¢	$10	0x59ec52…
07-07 05:13:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 05:10 UTC	Up	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x99dc13…
07-07 05:12:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x47bf94…
07-07 05:08:35	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	69	18¢	$13	0xb09ae0…
07-06 09:52:25	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	680	3¢	$18	0xb04602…
07-05 22:59:56	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x8cb291…
07-05 22:10:58	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	71	9¢	$6	0xdc07aa…
07-01 18:15:58	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	61	63¢	$39	0xa3bace…
07-01 18:15:10	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	680	2¢	$17	0x5c8ee7…
07-01 18:02:14	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	429	3¢	$12	0xad0d44…
07-01 12:08:22	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	26	53¢	$14	0xccef02…
07-01 12:08:11	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	74	33¢	$24	0x58047c…
06-19 21:19:38	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0xc1fe92…
06-19 19:13:49	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe3af0b…
06-19 19:11:17	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	33	23¢	$8	0x41a56d…
06-14 20:43:49	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$6	0x810721…
06-14 16:04:24	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,413	2¢	$30	0xb444d8…
06-10 12:56:54	is earth flat 20260608195956112	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0xbba998…
05-25 19:18:21	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x732f1f…
05-25 19:17:50	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x62bf41…
05-25 18:47:14	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	71	11¢	$8	0x95c372…
05-25 18:46:42	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	69	17¢	$12	0xa11471…
05-25 18:46:20	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	74	18¢	$13	0xc7d80a…
05-25 18:20:31	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x8397e1…
05-24 01:19:15	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xdb56e1…
05-24 01:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	47	60¢	$28	0x5e9abc…
05-24 01:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x48ea0d…
05-24 01:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xa109f8…
05-24 01:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	58	50¢	$29	0x7b616e…
05-24 01:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xfd55f7…
05-24 01:04:14	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x652fc2…
05-24 01:02:05	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xf3cc11…
05-24 01:01:31	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	SELL	111	50¢	$56	0x7ca865…
05-24 00:59:53	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xcf14a4…
05-24 00:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0xe2b561…
05-24 00:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xcdbf11…
05-24 00:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	66	13¢	$9	0xc0ffe8…
05-24 00:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	126	15¢	$19	0x12a1e5…
05-24 00:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xecbb72…
05-24 00:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	278	7¢	$19	0x773ddb…
05-24 00:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x60a599…
05-24 00:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xe6ccec…
05-24 00:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x8d9fb2…
05-24 00:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	29	91¢	$27	0xe017cd…
05-24 00:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x1900b5…
05-24 00:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	42	72¢	$30	0x1a4fdf…
05-24 00:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x9cb69d…
05-24 00:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	83	18¢	$15	0xbe1fb1…
05-24 00:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x7aee34…
05-24 00:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	42	70¢	$30	0xd251c4…
05-24 00:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xff59a0…
05-24 00:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xddeaf4…
05-24 00:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	33	72¢	$24	0xe6524c…
05-24 00:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x4aaee4…
05-24 00:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	57	69¢	$39	0xa2e117…
05-24 00:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xcc28fb…
05-23 23:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29	75¢	$22	0xf2de66…
05-23 23:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xd3320a…
05-23 23:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	47	52¢	$25	0x0be23b…
05-23 23:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x8f046a…
05-23 23:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	86	34¢	$29	0x5cfa53…
05-23 23:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xc2e13e…
05-23 23:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	42	67¢	$28	0x2c701a…
05-23 23:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x181c03…
05-23 23:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	26	64¢	$17	0x218a28…
05-23 23:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xfa2012…
05-23 23:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	81	72¢	$58	0xcec4ee…
05-23 23:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x3bbc7f…
05-23 23:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	39	81¢	$32	0x92e5e7…
05-23 23:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x006bc0…
05-23 23:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	97	51¢	$49	0x16fa27…
05-23 23:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdd88e0…
05-23 23:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xb21497…
05-23 21:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x659bff…
05-23 21:38:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xb6e7ad…
05-23 21:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x51bbc3…
05-23 21:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x1b3eb4…
05-23 21:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	99	32¢	$32	0xafc9e1…
05-23 21:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0x96b0f9…
05-23 21:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb1aaa3…
05-23 21:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	36	93¢	$33	0x733b77…
05-23 21:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x33f208…
05-23 21:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	227	14¢	$32	0xb4b871…