Meager-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.6%

Resolved

Trades

234

lifetime

Volume

$47.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$203

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 07-16 01:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Politics

37% 0% -$2

Other

32% 12% -$7

Sports

25% 22% +$49

Crypto

7% 67% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$1.4K	707	707	+0	No	-$1	03-04 14:22
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	4	$1.2K	609	609	-0	No	-$1	05-10 05:03
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.2K	602	602	+0	No	-$1	05-13 10:37
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.1K	563	563	+0	No	-$1	04-30 13:49
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.1K	561	561	+0	No	-$1	04-07 05:30
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	4	$1.1K	557	557	+0	No	-$1	03-20 09:32
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	4	$1.1K	551	551	+0	No	$0	03-27 06:40
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$1.0K	526	526	+0	No	-$1	05-20 05:41
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	6	$768	387	387	+0	open	—	07-06 18:37
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$698	351	351	+0	open	—	06-21 02:17
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$680	342	342	+0	open	—	04-29 06:27
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$670	337	337	+0	No	$0	04-19 09:42
Will Jan-Lennard Struff win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$666	333	333	+0	No	$0	04-29 08:23
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$664	334	334	-0	open	—	05-06 19:07
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$664	333	333	+0	No	$0	04-10 16:23
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$664	333	333	+0	No	$0	03-23 16:47
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$664	333	333	+0	No	$0	04-16 11:59
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$660	331	331	+0	No	$0	05-28 11:07
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$658	329	329	+0	No	$0	05-12 00:35
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$656	329	329	+0	No	$0	04-24 05:41
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$654	328	328	+0	No	$0	04-15 12:17
will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$652	327	327	+0	No	$0	03-26 18:31
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$646	325	325	-0	open	—	05-01 06:24
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$624	312	312	+0	No	$0	05-02 16:02
will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$624	313	313	+0	No	$0	03-22 16:32
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$622	311	311	+0	open	—	05-12 11:14
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$618	310	310	+0	open	—	05-10 16:35
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$618	310	310	+0	No	$0	04-06 04:51
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$616	308	308	+0	No	$0	05-01 21:00
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$616	311	311	+0	open	—	05-09 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 01:38:02	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xd9abc8…
07-13 07:28:52	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x8573be…
07-13 00:41:56	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x68be26…
07-12 16:45:20	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6ad538…
07-12 11:58:47	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x47d7cb…
07-12 09:06:11	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x81fa6c…
07-12 03:05:13	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xbf7b71…
07-11 22:27:22	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xcf63a9…
07-11 15:30:23	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x0130ba…
07-11 11:36:10	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xb68696…
07-10 15:50:14	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x9d2def…
07-09 09:26:37	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x7b6f5b…
07-08 10:34:17	Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x0d82a9…
07-06 18:37:52	Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x5172a5…
07-06 18:37:28	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x35876a…
07-05 15:32:14	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x880066…
07-05 11:45:14	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x883c06…
07-05 02:02:41	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x88e975…
07-04 14:35:14	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x7434bf…
07-03 04:32:55	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x08f211…
07-03 01:39:35	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xc8701c…
07-02 18:33:26	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x37cabc…
07-02 18:33:07	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x1b83b7…
07-02 11:38:32	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x7534b0…
07-02 05:00:07	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xe431bf…
07-02 02:14:25	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xb937f0…
07-01 10:28:25	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x461c47…
06-27 19:53:41	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x876657…
06-23 10:09:13	will solana reach 140 in june 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x3b5f37…
06-23 10:08:47	will wti dip to 20 in june 2026 685 856 769	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xde4371…
06-23 10:08:23	will xrp reach 2pt6 in june 2026	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x8f5228…
06-23 10:08:07	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xaae3b2…
06-22 02:18:34	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x3a026a…
06-22 00:44:02	Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xe76fdb…
06-21 22:45:14	Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x1b11b5…
06-21 18:41:23	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xc2af41…
06-21 15:15:41	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xea0e0f…
06-21 15:15:23	Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xcc006f…
06-21 09:13:56	Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf0440b…
06-21 02:17:19	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x38282b…
06-21 00:18:46	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x0a3af5…
06-20 18:15:41	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x6c7ac4…
06-20 07:51:11	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x657d04…
06-19 21:55:23	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0xd8ab6a…
06-19 11:26:55	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0xc41796…
06-19 02:57:38	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x4ecc7f…
06-14 20:44:28	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xc35bfa…
06-11 16:55:00	Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x1d469c…
06-09 06:40:30	Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x500798…
06-07 21:18:39	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xe84388…
06-07 00:43:40	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x55ee20…
06-07 00:43:18	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x669e89…
06-05 06:18:21	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xa6ec4b…
05-28 11:07:27	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	331	100¢	$330	0xeba1fb…
05-28 05:38:24	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	331	100¢	$330	0x878c69…
05-26 18:45:58	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	278	99¢	$276	0x2e009d…
05-26 00:10:03	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	279	99¢	$276	0x44092b…
05-25 14:41:34	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	294	100¢	$294	0xe1e3a0…
05-25 07:23:44	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0x77ccfb…
05-24 13:58:47	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	243	99¢	$242	0x8cba1d…
05-24 09:04:45	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	243	99¢	$242	0x62fade…
05-23 14:56:33	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	227	99¢	$225	0xa2bfaf…
05-21 20:58:55	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	227	99¢	$225	0x597bea…
05-21 00:11:25	Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$275	0xdab695…
05-20 16:27:18	Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x721349…
05-20 05:41:55	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$229	0x91af97…
05-20 00:26:41	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0x58a5db…
05-19 23:05:24	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	274	100¢	$274	0x9768ab…
05-19 17:52:56	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0x037e13…
05-18 23:05:07	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	230	99¢	$228	0x1d054b…
05-18 10:47:12	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	230	99¢	$228	0x94e2cb…
05-18 10:46:55	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	261	99¢	$259	0x671042…
05-17 21:25:34	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	261	99¢	$259	0xe47dd0…
05-17 19:04:29	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	244	99¢	$243	0x5b56c9…
05-17 14:55:20	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	244	99¢	$243	0x1d2664…
05-17 11:39:03	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	313	99¢	$311	0x1e3e7a…
05-16 13:41:39	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	313	99¢	$311	0x8e41f5…
05-15 23:36:19	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	278	99¢	$276	0xd7063c…
05-15 09:15:41	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	278	99¢	$276	0x558aea…
05-15 09:15:22	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$298	0xdc5676…
05-13 17:11:38	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x57df1f…
05-13 10:37:54	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	326	100¢	$326	0x2b304d…
05-13 01:10:04	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	326	100¢	$326	0x45ed02…
05-13 01:09:43	Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	279	100¢	$279	0x6b01bc…
05-12 22:31:06	Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	279	100¢	$279	0x15c5f1…
05-12 11:14:59	Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	311	100¢	$311	0x8433dc…
05-12 09:22:17	Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	311	100¢	$311	0xdf9493…
05-12 00:35:34	Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	329	100¢	$329	0x526eba…
05-11 18:47:16	Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	329	100¢	$329	0x9199c2…
05-11 04:49:58	Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	283	100¢	$282	0xca8539…
05-11 02:21:12	Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	283	100¢	$282	0x5a9f8a…
05-11 02:20:56	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$243	0xe2fc84…
05-10 20:16:21	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0xc68c60…
05-10 16:35:12	Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0xe72448…
05-10 09:12:29	Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	310	100¢	$309	0x0f7adf…
05-10 09:12:12	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	251	100¢	$250	0xc81030…
05-10 05:04:08	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x4bd708…
05-10 05:03:49	Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	311	100¢	$311	0x5db56b…
05-10 00:11:37	Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	311	100¢	$311	0x30db50…
05-09 17:37:49	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	311	99¢	$308	0x0a17e2…