Bountiful-Hull — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$129

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$29.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$343

Open exposure

$105

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-22 02:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

67% 100% +$113

Crypto

25% 92% +$8

Tech

5% 100% +$7

Politics

2% 100% +$1

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No		-110	-$99	95¢	$-105	-$6	05-27 12:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	4	$3.3K	1,674	1,674	+0	No	+$5	06-25 06:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$2.1K	1,064	1,064	+0	No	+$2	04-23 06:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$2.1K	1,043	1,043	+0	No	+$16	08-11 14:49
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$1.8K	886	886	+0	No	+$3	04-18 09:41
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	2	$1.7K	864	864	+0	No	+$4	03-29 04:13
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$1.6K	790	790	+0	No	+$7	08-22 02:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	4	$1.3K	649	649	+0	No	+$3	06-16 12:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$1.2K	594	594	+0	Yes	+$8	06-10 16:46
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$1.1K	539	539	+0	No	+$1	05-19 00:17
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	4	$1.1K	535	535	+0	No	+$3	06-24 12:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	Yes	+$2	04-26 13:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$1.1K	532	532	+0	No	+$3	06-10 06:47
Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.1K	537	537	+0	No	+$3	05-19 00:21
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	12	$1.0K	518	518	+0	No	+$6	03-24 15:27
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$667	340	340	+0	No	+$7	03-24 15:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 9	2	$659	330	330	+0	No	+$0	03-09 14:26
will bitcoin reach 84k february 9 15	2	$638	320	320	+0	No	+$1	02-14 13:52
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$603	343	343	+0	Yes	+$34	02-14 09:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$591	300	300	+0	No	+$2	08-17 13:22
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$573	287	287	+0	No	+$0	03-06 13:24
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$568	285	285	+0	No	+$1	01-25 08:21
Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?	5	$559	289	289	+0	No	+$14	03-03 00:36
solana above 120 on april 6	2	$478	240	239	+0	No	+$1	04-04 06:02
will coinbase list hype in 2025	1	$403	0	403	-403	No	$0	01-01 01:03
solana above 130 on april 6	2	$367	367	0	+367	No	+$0	04-03 01:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$335	168	168	+0	No	+$1	07-29 18:29
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$335	168	168	+0	No	+$1	07-12 03:32
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$333	167	167	+0	No	+$1	06-30 07:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 9	1	$329	330	0	+330	No	+$1	03-09 14:52
will solana reach 140 march 30 april 5	1	$275	275	0	+275	No	+$0	04-03 01:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 02:05:22	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	790	99¢	$785	0x88dd48…
08-17 13:23:00	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	141	93¢	$131	0x30465d…
08-17 13:22:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$296	0x4fbf1e…
08-12 01:08:01	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	790	99¢	$779	0x587428…
08-11 14:49:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	783	99¢	$779	0x448424…
08-01 06:08:51	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	141	92¢	$130	0xb2ce91…
07-31 21:00:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0x391b29…
07-29 18:30:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0x400787…
07-29 18:29:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0x2cc44a…
07-29 18:18:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	130	99¢	$128	0xf13eea…
07-12 07:32:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0xcd5d8b…
07-12 03:32:44	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0x4b9dbb…
07-03 01:36:13	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	168	99¢	$167	0xbc3a7d…
06-30 07:42:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0x6f9743…
06-28 12:05:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,043	98¢	$1,019	0x59ba62…
06-25 06:55:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1,022	100¢	$1,020	0x57c45c…
06-25 06:28:14	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$166	0xf29f2c…
06-25 06:27:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1,022	100¢	$1,018	0x21f5f7…
06-24 23:56:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	652	100¢	$651	0xdeb810…
06-24 12:01:47	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	407	100¢	$406	0xb3d306…
06-24 11:55:58	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x0b9868…
06-24 10:57:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x159d56…
06-18 11:43:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	652	99¢	$648	0xbdd6d7…
06-16 12:41:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	594	100¢	$593	0x1509cb…
06-15 16:44:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xc43454…
06-13 15:10:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	594	99¢	$590	0xd967d9…
06-10 16:46:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	594	99¢	$591	0xd30593…
06-10 07:34:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	535	99¢	$531	0x3bb3cf…
06-10 06:47:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x399b9d…
06-10 06:47:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	460	100¢	$459	0x927f10…
06-10 06:47:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xad2070…
06-03 04:40:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x727f55…
05-27 12:59:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xe79264…
05-27 12:55:39	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0xf78c6b…
05-19 00:24:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	532	99¢	$528	0x76c56b…
05-19 00:21:10	Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	537	98¢	$528	0xc17cf9…
05-19 00:19:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	594	98¢	$583	0x490a98…
05-19 00:17:43	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x71751d…
05-19 00:17:31	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	539	100¢	$537	0xd1aad2…
05-16 00:53:29	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x1ac38d…
05-11 10:24:43	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xe71c65…
05-06 02:40:50	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	539	100¢	$537	0xd09976…
05-06 02:40:12	Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	537	98¢	$525	0x18f610…
04-26 13:15:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,062	0xd52f6f…
04-23 06:01:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	1,064	100¢	$1,062	0xb03ac8…
04-18 09:42:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,060	0x7007c1…
04-18 09:41:14	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	886	100¢	$884	0x01ae1b…
04-07 10:51:25	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	886	100¢	$882	0x1fe732…
04-04 06:02:17	solana above 120 on april 6	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0xb71f43…
04-03 01:06:13	solana above 130 on april 6	No	BUY	267	100¢	$267	0x1903e6…
04-03 01:06:03	solana above 120 on april 6	No	BUY	240	100¢	$238	0xe74b5c…
04-03 01:05:57	solana above 130 on april 6	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x15483d…
04-03 01:04:45	will solana reach 140 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0xe6e5a4…
03-29 04:13:52	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	No	SELL	864	100¢	$863	0xc69e00…
03-24 15:28:59	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	No	BUY	864	99¢	$859	0xb89ac2…
03-24 15:28:07	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	340	99¢	$337	0xa122cc…
03-24 15:27:59	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	452	100¢	$450	0x444a02…
03-22 03:56:01	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5adae6…
03-22 03:55:01	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcb072e…
03-22 03:41:37	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xac8fd7…
03-22 03:39:53	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x28919b…
03-22 03:32:37	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5e8b09…
03-22 03:11:21	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa6d71c…
03-22 03:03:47	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5bf5a0…
03-22 02:59:45	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x630235…
03-22 02:51:25	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa092c0…
03-22 02:45:01	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x303374…
03-16 14:48:43	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	518	98¢	$510	0xdb9ce8…
03-11 15:25:13	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	340	97¢	$330	0x76a9b2…
03-09 14:52:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 9	No	BUY	330	100¢	$329	0x2be5d0…
03-09 14:26:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 9	No	SELL	330	100¢	$329	0x1a705e…
03-09 12:08:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 9	No	BUY	330	100¢	$329	0xeb7630…
03-06 13:26:07	will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	No	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0x76273b…
03-06 13:24:21	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	287	100¢	$287	0x113a37…
03-03 12:35:09	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	287	100¢	$287	0x1ce5ec…
03-03 00:36:19	Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	146	99¢	$145	0x4573c6…
03-02 15:26:25	Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0xfc4c37…
03-02 13:53:23	Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xd9c0f3…
03-02 10:55:13	Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x19edf6…
02-14 13:52:55	will bitcoin reach 84k february 9 15	No	SELL	320	100¢	$320	0xb6b836…
02-14 09:39:55	will bitcoin reach 84k february 9 15	No	BUY	320	100¢	$319	0x507d3d…
02-14 09:39:39	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	343	93¢	$319	0xd97d33…
01-25 13:11:36	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	343	83¢	$284	0x5f0d19…
01-25 08:21:50	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	285	100¢	$284	0x7f92d2…
01-04 11:55:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	285	100¢	$284	0x88f514…
01-04 11:54:33	Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	289	94¢	$272	0x065b65…
01-01 01:03:45	will coinbase list hype in 2025	No	SELL	403	100¢	$403	0x2d904a…