Positive-Antique — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-06 13:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

46% 4% -$3

Crypto

42% 94% +$13

Politics

10% 0% $0

Sports

2% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$398	200	200	+0	No	$0	01-14 10:49
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	04-29 08:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	04-17 06:45
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	06-03 13:45
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	03-27 13:28
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$255	128	128	+0	open	—	08-06 13:07
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	05-21 08:01
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	05-28 06:06
Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	07-02 05:20
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	04-24 05:27
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	06-23 11:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$254	128	128	+0	No	$0	03-26 09:03
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$254	128	128	+0	open	—	05-14 08:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$253	128	128	+0	No	$0	03-30 09:56
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-02 13:08
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-04 13:51
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 80 99	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-09 12:30
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 100 119	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-07 11:04
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 260 279	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-18 09:16
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-23 15:26
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 280 299	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-11 06:02
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 140 159	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-29 14:56
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-16 06:16
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-02 09:53
elon musk of tweets january 2026 840 879	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-09 13:01
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 140 159	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-13 13:00
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 40 59	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-07 14:26
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-17 16:30
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 280 299	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-21 13:52
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-22 09:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 13:09:24	will bitcoin reach 69k on august 6	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xf28573…
08-06 13:07:09	Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0xb61d9c…
08-06 13:06:56	Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xa9bea5…
07-02 05:21:10	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0xfc51fb…
07-02 05:20:17	Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x056724…
07-02 05:19:58	Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xd6975c…
06-23 11:48:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 23?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x3dc5d4…
06-23 11:45:37	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x244233…
06-23 11:45:07	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x5afc89…
06-03 13:46:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x30e028…
06-03 13:45:35	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x3ab6ff…
06-03 13:45:19	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xe0359f…
05-28 06:45:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x955aa1…
05-28 06:06:59	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x799ecb…
05-28 06:06:48	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xeb4796…
05-21 08:01:53	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x005e2e…
05-21 08:01:14	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x8de551…
05-21 08:01:06	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xd46570…
05-14 08:01:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xce1ee0…
05-14 08:00:22	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0xbd0f3c…
05-14 08:00:04	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0x264624…
04-29 08:13:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x7b0a05…
04-29 08:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x749046…
04-29 08:12:12	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xab61c7…
04-27 04:24:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0xd8cb2b…
04-24 05:28:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on april 24	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xaa25e8…
04-24 05:27:26	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x3687f2…
04-24 05:27:14	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x4992a4…
04-21 06:34:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xa8f4e6…
04-17 06:46:12	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xbe8768…
04-17 06:45:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x6a5fdd…
04-17 06:44:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x8b1841…
04-07 11:41:55	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x8d0809…
04-02 10:55:07	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x232675…
03-30 09:56:50	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x81d1d2…
03-30 09:56:26	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	128	99¢	$126	0xd0a9a9…
03-30 09:56:14	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	128	99¢	$126	0xed1acd…
03-27 13:30:31	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x4d45fd…
03-27 13:28:47	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x3c19f1…
03-27 13:28:27	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x0d6b64…
03-26 09:03:55	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 26	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x2a478f…
03-26 09:03:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x19b385…
03-26 09:02:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0xceffc0…
03-23 15:35:45	bitcoin above 80k on march 24	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x80ebf8…
03-23 15:26:37	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd87c37…
03-23 15:26:25	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x32d536…
03-21 13:53:33	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0d5d65…
03-21 13:52:45	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 280 299	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x65b40a…
03-21 13:52:33	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 280 299	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4d6ab5…
03-17 16:31:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 18	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb566cc…
03-17 16:30:07	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6d50af…
03-17 16:29:49	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdcbefc…
03-16 06:17:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbad87f…
03-16 06:16:41	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x558389…
03-16 06:16:27	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc8422a…
03-13 13:01:57	bitcoin above 68k on march 13	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xab3cd7…
03-13 13:00:57	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 140 159	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0ed619…
03-13 13:00:43	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 140 159	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7ab507…
03-11 06:12:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 11	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x23e833…
03-11 06:09:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x8e0b85…
03-11 06:04:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xca2470…
03-11 06:02:09	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 280 299	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5202b7…
03-11 06:01:55	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 280 299	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x687330…
03-07 14:27:37	bitcoin above 56k on march 8	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfc72b5…
03-07 14:26:47	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 40 59	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc08b84…
03-07 14:26:35	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 40 59	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x003e0d…
03-04 10:01:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0f5d5d…
03-04 10:01:09	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0a1f21…
03-04 10:00:57	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe78d27…
03-01 10:52:27	bitcoin above 72k on march 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9d9e82…
03-01 10:52:03	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x7b221b…
03-01 10:51:45	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8b1a4f…
02-09 12:31:57	bitcoin above 74k on february 9	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x217813…
02-09 12:30:57	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 80 99	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc7868f…
02-09 12:30:43	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 80 99	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x337bac…
02-04 13:51:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2d1290…
02-04 13:51:18	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8d0145…
02-04 13:50:46	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x176993…
02-02 09:54:04	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xebf6a5…
02-02 09:53:46	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x63530d…
02-02 09:53:34	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xccca7b…
01-31 13:17:12	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0650e4…
01-29 14:56:40	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 29	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa84f54…
01-29 14:56:12	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 140 159	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x1d123a…
01-29 14:55:48	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 140 159	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x81030b…
01-27 06:30:19	bitcoin above 84k on january 27	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xde8615…
01-27 06:29:39	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 100 119	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x51d000…
01-27 06:29:05	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 100 119	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc6cddc…
01-22 09:10:54	bitcoin above 98k on january 23	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdaa4b0…
01-22 09:10:14	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb4b587…
01-22 09:10:00	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf88a4d…
01-21 10:37:08	bitcoin above 94k on january 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd882a4…
01-21 10:36:48	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc9b763…
01-21 10:36:26	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x561efc…
01-18 09:17:38	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 19	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7d9394…
01-18 09:16:50	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 260 279	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5298f6…
01-18 09:16:28	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 260 279	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x310826…
01-14 10:50:52	bitcoin above 100k on january 14	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa36fb3…
01-14 10:49:52	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x477f61…
01-14 10:49:10	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb32ac9…