Realized P&L
-$1.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
3.6%
Resolved
154
Trades
4,683
lifetime
Volume
$207.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$1.32K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-17
last 11-12 06:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
97% 78% -$1,077
Politics
2% 81% -$31
Tech
1% 0% -$1
Crypto
0% 67% -$289
Sports
0% 100% +$25
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 3%-6%? No +154 $142 100¢ $154 +$12 09-26 20:20
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +105 $100 99¢ $104 +$4 10-02 23:44
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? No +93 $69 72¢ $67 -$2 09-26 09:44
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +47 $40 99¢ $47 +$7 10-20 23:27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 21? No +47 $40 98¢ $46 +$6 11-09 06:12
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +47 $40 98¢ $46 +$6 10-23 14:23
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? No +44 $40 99¢ $44 +$4 11-05 00:05
Will Jongizizwe Dlabathi be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? No +44 $39 99¢ $43 +$4 11-04 00:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of November 9 2026? No +44 $40 96¢ $43 +$3 11-09 09:44
Will Anthropic IPO on November 17, 2026? No +42 $39 100¢ $42 +$4 11-06 04:05
Will Nepal win Eurovision Asia 2026? No +43 $40 96¢ $42 +$2 11-06 00:31
Will Trump leave China on November 20? No +43 $40 96¢ $41 +$2 11-12 03:19
Will Jynxzi win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? No +46 $39 89¢ $41 +$2 11-05 00:05
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? Yes +43 $40 94¢ $41 +$1 11-03 05:28
Will PPI YoY be 6.4% in October? No +45 $40 90¢ $40 +$1 11-08 00:48
Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 18, 2026? No +42 $39 95¢ $40 +$1 11-12 00:46
Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? Yes +44 $40 90¢ $40 +$0 11-10 08:56
Will Wassily Kandinsky's “Betonte Ecken” sell for less than $60m at auction? No +45 $40 87¢ $39 $0 11-10 04:53
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +40 $36 98¢ $39 +$3 11-07 00:20
Will Rein Me In (with Olivia Dean) (Sam Fender & Olivia Dean) be nominated for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +44 $39 88¢ $39 $0 11-11 06:02
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? No +40 $37 93¢ $37 +$1 11-12 00:16
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? No +45 $34 82¢ $37 +$3 10-06 10:50
Will FURIA Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026? No +45 $40 80¢ $36 -$3 11-07 00:20
Will Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” sell for at least $70m at auction? No +40 $35 87¢ $35 $0 11-12 06:52
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? Yes +103 $70 28¢ $29 -$41 09-29 16:30
Will WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! (RAYE) be nominated for Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +43 $39 52¢ $22 -$17 11-11 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on November 12? No +28 $24 78¢ $22 -$2 11-11 01:59
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +22 $20 100¢ $22 +$2 10-11 02:22
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +21 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 10-03 18:41
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30? No +22 $20 96¢ $21 +$1 10-11 00:39