(anonymous) 0xb4b61a…a5af2d
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
65
lifetime
Volume
$141
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$6
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 06-09 18:21
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
79% — —
Other
17% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 06-09 18:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3 $1 29¢ $1 $-0 06-09 18:21
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +9 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-09 18:21
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +22 $1 4¢ $1 $-0 06-09 18:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-09 18:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +9 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-09 18:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +59 $1 1¢ $1 $-0 06-09 18:20